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September 2023 General Discussion


hardypalmguy
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5 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Cedar Rapids has set a new record, hitting 93º at 3pm.

Update:  Cedar Rapids topped out at 94º.

Wow! Very impressive reading. Breaks the daily record by 3F. Dating to 1893, only one year had a later reading of 94F or better - 1997, when it reached 94F on October 3. Obviously, that means had it reached that temperature on tomorrow's date, it would have tied a monthly record for October.

image.thumb.png.590b8388880791853c9ccae5e1377e26.png

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Also, looking at the table, only 10 days have ever reached or exceeded 90F at Cedar Rapids in the month of October: October 1, 1976 (90F); October 1, 1897 (90F); October 2, 1953 (92F); October 3, 1997 (94F); October 3, 2006 (90F); October 3, 1897 (90F); October 4, 1938 (91F); October 4, 1897 (90F); October 6, 1963 (92F); and October 10, 1962 (90F). Three of those dates were in 1897, so only 8 unique years since 1893.

While 94F seems unlikely at KCID tomorrow, 90F is certainly possible. Fairly rarified air for October, should it reach that temperature. Would be only the 11th 90+ day on record in October, and 9th year to reach 90F or better in the month of October (and first since 2006).

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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

September finished +1.3° at DTW, the first warmer than avg month since April.

Community Notes: To date, it has been the 11th warmest year on record at DTW (out of 150 years). Prior to 2006, only 4 warmer starts to a year were observed (1921, 1998, 1991, and 1955). In the 117 years from 1874 to 1990, only 2 years were warmer (1921 & 1955).

image.png.a9239f92dbf8b49c06e553a71871670f.png

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24 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Community Notes: To date, it has been the 11th warmest year on record at DTW (out of 150 years). Prior to 2006, only 4 warmer starts to a year were observed (1921, 1998, 1991, and 1955). In the 117 years from 1874 to 1990, only 2 years were warmer (1921 & 1955).

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Jan and Feb were the mildest in years

Jan: +7.7

Feb: +6.0

Mar: +0.6

Apr: +1.3

May: -0.6

Jun: -1.3

Jul: -0.4

Aug: -2.0

Sep: +1.3

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3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Jan and Feb were the mildest in years

Jan: +7.7

Feb: +6.0

Mar: +0.6

Apr: +1.3

May: -0.6

Jun: -1.3

Jul: -0.4

Aug: -2.0

Sep: +1.3

I mean those are some huge departures and we are going into mod to strong El Nino winter which isn't almost certainly going to be above normal maybe significantly above normal.

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17 hours ago, Stebo said:

I mean those are some huge departures and we are going into mod to strong El Nino winter which isn't almost certainly going to be above normal maybe significantly above normal.

I know Jan & Feb were huge departures, thats why I said thats why its the 11th warmest year thru Oct 1st. Last winter was a great example of how even in the mildest winters (7th mildest winter on record last year) we can get plenty of winter storms. In fact, I cant recall a more destructive winter for trees than last year. So honestly, no idea what to expect this winter. Id bet money its colder than last winter. But storm tracks/precip trends are far more important for snow-lovers than temps are in this region. (Of course, for us "deep winter" fans of snowcover and cold in addition to snowfall, the colder the better). Waiting for the NMME model consensus update for Oct, but the last run was surprisingly tame for a stronger el nino winter (DJF departure approx +0.5C).

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Last Saturday, September 30th I went up to the Wisconsin Rapids area for some railfanning. I neglected to check the forecast, assuming the forecast of sunny for Madison also applied to the rest of Wisconsin. Instead, thunderstorms moved in just as I was arriving, and lingered through the early afternoon. Me and my cameras got drenched, and it took until the mid-afternoon to finally get some nice sun-lit train shots. Consolation prize...
 

Lightning in a Bottle

 

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