TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 hour ago, Rd9108 said: Are you KPITTS alt account. You are so negative on every post. Stop just looking at model runs and taking them as gospel. I’m as much a fan of cold as I am as a fan of snow, which is to say a pretty big fan. These seemingly endless streaks of above normal months that have become so common, especially in the past five years, are exhausting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 9 hours ago, TimB84 said: I’m as much a fan of cold as I am as a fan of snow, which is to say a pretty big fan. These seemingly endless streaks of above normal months that have become so common, especially in the past five years, are exhausting. We had one of our best months ever this season...simmer down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutnOakmont Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I'd be happy if we could get 2" or maybe even 3" tonight just to spruce our leftover snow up again. Whatever hasn't melted in my yard is starting to look real sad haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like a good shot at two separate 2-4” snows this week. Latest GFS also shows a bigger storm for Valentines Day. Verbatim it cuts a deepening storm towards a 1036 high up the Ohio River. Would be a big hit for central Ohio, with a rain to snow here. But plenty of time there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 hour ago, KPITSnow said: We had one of our best months ever this season...simmer down. Valid point. Can’t have it all, and it’s nice to be worried about “how much snow?” and “how much cold?” rather than “will it ever snow?” or “will it ever get cold?” or “how many February days will hit 76 degrees or more this year?” At the end of the day, while we likely won’t hit -10 or 75 this month, one is certainly exponentially more likely than the other. Side note: after all this time I’ve spent bashing the GFS, the Euro is now showing us as almost the coldest spot in the lower 48 next week at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 11 hours ago, TimB84 said: I’m as much a fan of cold as I am as a fan of snow, which is to say a pretty big fan. These seemingly endless streaks of above normal months that have become so common, especially in the past five years, are exhausting. Your bar for cold is pretty high. 12 degrees out right now, and hasn’t hit 40 this month. Hasn’t hit 50 since just after Christmas. Some bitter cold still chances in the pipeline Not sure if “84” is your birth year...but if it is...trust me it will start to feel colder the next 10 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: Your bar for cold is pretty high. 12 degrees out right now, and hasn’t hit 40 this month. Hasn’t hit 50 since just after Christmas. Some bitter cold still chances in the pipeline Not sure if “84” is your birth year...but if it is...trust me it will start to feel colder the next 10 years I recognize that it’s truly irrational of me to enjoy seeing remarkable weather like a nice brutal cold snap - it’s certainly not comfortable, my house has plumbing that doesn’t enjoy it, and of course a few people die during periods of extreme weather. I also recognize that the 50 degree thing is remarkable in and of itself, on Thursday it will make it into the top 3 all time at Pgh International to begin a calendar year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like a wintry week setting up. Will be interesting to see if we can get better than 10:1 ratios with either of the waves this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 59 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: Looks like a good shot at two separate 2-4” snows this week. Latest GFS also shows a bigger storm for Valentines Day. Verbatim it cuts a deepening storm towards a 1036 high up the Ohio River. Would be a big hit for central Ohio, with a rain to snow here. But plenty of time there. The first chance tonight looks like a solid 2-3 inches, but looks like a smaller stripe where 3-5 inches could be possible. 12z NAM has that right across Allegheny county. Hopefully some more clarity on that as we get in range of the meso models. The event later in the week Wed-Thurs might target areas SE of us but we are still in the game and hopefully worst case we grab a few inches on the northern fringe. Models probably won't nail it down until tonight's system is out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 32 minutes ago, TimB84 said: I recognize that it’s truly irrational of me to enjoy seeing remarkable weather like a nice brutal cold snap - it’s certainly not comfortable, my house has plumbing that doesn’t enjoy it, and of course a few people die during periods of extreme weather. I also recognize that the 50 degree thing is remarkable in and of itself, on Thursday it will make it into the top 3 all time at Pgh International to begin a calendar year. This whole board is irrational if you think about it lol People rooting for severe thunderstorms, hurricanes, crippling blizzards, epic heatwaves etc. Thing is these weather events will happen whether someone is "rooting" for it or not. The raw power of nature and the struggle to understand it and make sense of a phenomenon that affects me everytime I walk out my front door is I think my motivation. We are all free to find joy in whatever aspect, you want a cold outbreak, some want weeks of snow cover, some want cold powder, some want heavy wet snow.. the list goes on and on. Take it day by day and make the best of what happens. Living and dying every 6 hours taking model output verbatim is a sure guarantee you will have stress and an anxiety from this hobby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 ,This is the NAM for this evenings snow and the midweek snow. Cut these totals in half and I will take it but the way this winter is going I could see us maxing out on the higher totals. A fun week nevertheless. 3 potential storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just a weird looking map, with the thin strip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ahoff said: Just a weird looking map, with the thin strip. Upstream advisories continue that thin strip through southern IL, IN, and OH. Of course, their criteria are lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stjbeautifulday Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 It’s been updated since that one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Oh boy, the 12Z GFS run of that Sunday storm would be a dream! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I can see how this week is shaping up... Looking like some nice little snow events this week. But we may not enjoy them since we will be obsessed chasing what the GFS is advertising Sunday. Reminder - enjoy the snow that’s falling since the 6 day GFS is likely going to change :-) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 26 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I can see how this week is shaping up... Looking like some nice little snow events this week. But we may not enjoy them since we will be obsessed chasing what the GFS is advertising Sunday. Reminder - enjoy the snow that’s falling since the 6 day GFS is likely going to change :-) Not me. I will enjoy them all. I am one to enjoy a 2-4 clipper any day. And you can shovel a little at a time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Yeah that Sunday look is nice! Obviously will change, don't want to be bullseyed this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just think of the snow ratios in that depiction... I’ll take the GFS’s depiction of that system and the Euro’s depiction of the magnitude of cold air behind it, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 The storm next Wednesday on the Euro looks insane. Those snowfall rates look crazy. Showed about 4.4" over 6 hours, looks like it would potentially be 1-2" per hour rates at a time. Bottom line potential continues into next week after Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 The Euro keys on a different wave than the GFS and develops a more significant coastal early next week instead of Sunday. Don't recall seeing that shade of pink over us before for snow haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 The national advisory map is so strange with that really narrow strip of advisories. I've never seen as narrow a strip for that many miles, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 The Nam has a really narrow max precip band and you couldn't draw it up more perfect for Allegheny County. With cold temperatures and most of this falling overnight I wonder if this overperforms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 17 minutes ago, dj3 said: The Nam has a really narrow max precip band and you couldn't draw it up more perfect for Allegheny County. With cold temperatures and most of this falling overnight I wonder if this overperforms. I’m hoping we max out on this one, I’m thinking the next wave will be less of an impact possibly for us and more so SE. That’s usually how these things go, each successive weak wave targets further South as the boundary gets pushed South by its departing predecessor. I could be wrong, but if I had to guess that’s how I would hedge my bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Yeah if we get that much moisture we could be looking at a 3-6" event instead of a 2-4" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Idk KDKA is saying snow showers so I believe them. Let's go for the record year of snow. I wonder what our top years are. I'm guessing 2010 is top 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Just now, Rd9108 said: Idk KDKA is saying snow showers so I believe them. Let's go for the record year of snow. I wonder what our top years are. I'm guessing 2010 is top 3. Record is 82” I believe, 09-10 is #3 with 77”. Doubt we get near those this year, but 60” isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Ahoff said: Record is 82” I believe, 09-10 is #3 with 77”. Doubt we get near those this year, but 60” isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Never say never but I agree. If we get a 12+ storm next week we could definitely make a run at getting on the list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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