• Member Statistics

    16,059
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Cat Lady
    Newest Member
    Cat Lady
    Joined
George BM

August Discobs 2020

Recommended Posts

It seems that high and associated dry air is going to do a number on attempts for significant moisture to advance too far north and east. Euro is on its own att, although some of the CAMs have at least a little rain. GFS is now mostly dry north and east of DC.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, CAPE said:

It seems that high and associated dry air is going to do a number on attempts for significant moisture to advance too far north and east. Euro is on its own att, although some of the CAMs have at least a little rain. GFS is now mostly dry north and east of DC.

24hrs ago looked like a lock for 1-2" needed rain up here but now ( .1-.2") looks more likely lol through tomorrow.  Euro has been deadly accurate up here lately with skimpy qpf . This go around likely wayy too wet . I had my doubts with that High wedge and once guidance started trimming back yesterday that was it . I'll take sprinkles and like it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Weird. Rain now just hits a wall at the Potomac. Euro still has rain, but it is drying up a bit as it approaches us so it's not like it isn't picking up on the drying effect the other models seem to show.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This looks like a Blue Ridge special, with up slope enhancement due to the position of that high and the shortwave focusing the lift there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

6z Euro continues to trim back :sun:

12z GFS gives your yard a respectable amount of rain. Pretty big shift.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just prepped and seeded a large section of my back yard. Really hope the next few days are cloudy and wet.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Just prepped and seeded a large section of my back yard. Really hope the next few days are cloudy and wet.

Just seeded my fall salads greens. Cloudy, cooler and rainy would be ok with me. Radar looking much healthier the past hour for the DC area. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Rain so far has been focused on the southern part of the county but light rain just started.  HRRR advertising about 0.5" after all is said and done.  NAM was showing 2"+ yesterday.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Certainly a wait and see situation but a heavy rain/ flooding threat certainly looms in the LR....even if there is no organized TC that gets involved.  That is one deep moisture feed and over a long duration.  D8-15 on the 12z GFS

r7bYo4D.gif

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 1
  • Sad 2
  • Weenie 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

^^^Very cool animation.

Also, has anyone noticed that we've gotten precip from all angles this past summer? We've had SE rain. Left right rain, Upper midwest rain, stationary blob rain,  I'm pretty sure we got some rain that came down from New England (hadn't seen that one ever, i think).

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Para-GEFS and euro both much more progressive with that front that the GFS is stalling next week.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

radar really doesnt look awful...I guess if it were winter lol. Those greens just arent producing much in the way of steady rain...must be kinda dry out

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
56 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Para-GEFS and euro both much more progressive with that front that the GFS is stalling next week.

Good...Im rooting against heavy rains...the top of my jeep is damaged (my fault) but im afraid if it rains hard itll leak inside some

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Baltimorewx said:

radar really doesnt look awful...I guess if it were winter lol. Those greens just arent producing much in the way of steady rain...must be kinda dry out

It’s been deceptive. Mostly glorified sprinkles despite some greens and yellows on radar.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tornado Warning for Lunenburg and Mecklenburg VA

Edit: Apparently this started over half an hour ago, and I didn’t notice.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
35 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

It’s been deceptive. Mostly glorified sprinkles despite some greens and yellows on radar.

Of course as soon as I posted this it started raining for real.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.