Central PA Summer 2020: Hoping The Heat Makes a Hasty Retreat

[Itstrainingtime]

24 minutes ago, canderson said:

MDT is only 93. 

93 on the button here. You my friend, are the new DCA station. :) 

[paweather]

13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

12Z drives the remnants even further South now.  Going through NC.  Still lots of rain on Monday and Tuesday for East of the Susquehanna.  

Thanks, so night and day different from the GFS. 

[Bubbler86]

28 minutes ago, paweather said:

Thanks, so night and day different from the GFS. 

In other words, normal.  LOL

[canderson]

The Euro was AWFUL with Laura. The GFS nailed it. 

[MAG5035]

21 minutes ago, paweather said:

Thanks, so night and day different from the GFS. 

The GFS/GEFS really doesn't have a lot of QPF either, it kinda loses the remnant low of Laura on the prog with the northern branch low showing. I've seen Laura's impact here as more of an influx of it's very humid tropical airmass and the potential for heavy downpours with thunderstorms that develop. It's not looking like any kind of significant intact area of heavy rain.  The pressing frontal boundary is also going to draw up it's moisture as well but the focus on that has been more on western PA. 

[paweather]

24 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

The GFS/GEFS really doesn't have a lot of QPF either, it kinda loses the remnant low of Laura on the prog with the northern branch low showing. I've seen Laura's impact here as more of an influx of it's very humid tropical airmass and the potential for heavy downpours with thunderstorms that develop. It's not looking like any kind of significant intact area of heavy rain.  The pressing frontal boundary is also going to draw up it's moisture as well but the focus on that has been more on western PA. 

True. I think from what you and Bubbler are saying the more bang for rain is the frontal passage early next week. 

[Itstrainingtime]

New severe thunderstorm watch up for a large part of the CTP area, particularly west of the river. Nasty line of storms moving rather quickly SE out of west central PA right now. Cell south of Dubois looks interesting. 

[MAG5035]

Normally I'd look at a radar like this and think heh it looks pretty stormy later. After this summer I'm looking at it thinking "Wonder how it finds a way to miss us with a light shower at best". At any rate a new severe watch has been issued for most of the central from the Susquehanna westward. 

[Cashtown_Coop]

21 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Normally I'd look at a radar like this and think heh it looks pretty stormy later. After this summer I'm looking at it thinking "Wonder how it finds a way to miss us with a light shower at best". At any rate a new severe watch has been issued for most of the central from the Susquehanna westward. 

Just a matter of how much 

[MAG5035]

Update: Holy F

[Bubbler86]

Looks like it strafes the whole LSV right now...  Need it to hold together. 

[Bubbler86]

25 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Update: Holy F

Wowza!

[paweather]

We may score tonight in the T-Storm Category. 

[Anduril]

Looks like Dauphin might get whacked but Harrisburg/Camp Hill/Carlisle gonna get Tamiqua (sp?) splitted

[MAG5035]

8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Wowza!

Wasn't too serious, pretty decent gust front before the rain really started and some half decent winds.. and a nice downpour for a change. Temps all the way back to 66. I think this was literally the first severe warned thunderstorm I've had all summer here. 

[canderson]

Yea I’m seeing already hw this is gonna split southern Dauphin/Cumberland/Perry/Historic Maytown. 

[Wmsptwx]

Lol it split me, grass still as dry as ever.

[MAG5035]

1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said:

Lol it split me, grass still as dry as ever.

Better watch out, there's a historic river crest brewing on the west branch haha.

 

 

[canderson]

Those storms were obliterated by the mountains. Might get some light rain though. 

[Itstrainingtime]

Historic Maytown is going to be lucky to see anything. What a colossal collapse of that line...

[Cashtown_Coop]

0.00.  Sad sad sad.  Lost my main irrigation pump this morning.   Running off a smaller pump now that has half the gpm.   Is 2020 over yet.  

[Bubbler86]

31 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

0.00.  Sad sad sad.  Lost my main irrigation pump this morning.   Running off a smaller pump now that has half the gpm.   Is 2020 over yet.  

Maybe a record this year for Severe Storm watches and warnings that were absolutely nothing.

 

 

[Itstrainingtime]

0.00 here as well.

[paweather]

Things fell apart quickly I got 0.0000001 rain

[canderson]

It rained for literally 45 seconds. 

[canderson]

I thought it had rained but zero evidence ... dirt isn’t even slightly wet. So maybe just wind blown mist.

[Bubbler86]

8 hours ago, canderson said:

I thought it had rained but zero evidence ... dirt isn’t even slightly wet. So maybe just wind blown mist.

Your zone has a 70% chance of rain today.  70/30 30/70 rule in effect.  Dry day coming up?   

[sauss06]

10 hours ago, canderson said:

It rained for literally 45 seconds. 

It rained hard on the other side of the crick from you, for 2 minutes.  i like to say 120 seconds, makes it seem longer

[paweather5]

Lots of talk of a tropical system hitting the east coast this year. I know It will be gone next run but watch the loop you can see this monster turning towards The coast with the ridge steering it in. 

[Bubbler86]

6 minutes ago, paweather5 said:

Lots of talk of a tropical system hitting the east coast this year. I know It will be gone next run but watch the loop you can see this monster turning towards The coast with the ridge steering it in. 

 

Here come all the stories of how NYC will be destroyed.