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BuffaloWeather

Feb 26-29 Synoptic/LES

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2" since the flip with still mod-S+ at times but it looks like its winding down so there was our whopping synoptic event now we watch a "Death Band" for hours on end across the Tri County lines of Jefferson, Lewis and Oswego city's, Good luck and Peace out!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

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Made it here before it got too bad, but the wind was already picking up and there’s a light accumulation so far. Here’s to hoping we all get crushed later on :weenie:

Decided to stick with Pulaski over Watertown. We’ll see how it goes but at any rate I’m expecting legitimate blizzard conditions so that itself should make the trip worth it. 

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4 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

2" since the flip with still mod-S+ at times but it looks like its winding down so there was our whopping synoptic event now we watch a "Death Band" for hours on end across the Tri County lines of Jefferson, Lewis and Oswego city's, Good luck and Peace out!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Yeah, I've gotta say that when I saw some of the totals being thrown around yesterday, I was a little surprised.  This storm, like every other this year, is on the move, and with the progressive theme intact, I think its tough for the widespread totals to verify.  Of course, wrt the LES banding, there will be some winners for sure, but as that band presses south tomorrow, it really never "sets up" for anyone.  IMO, I think you can take totals and divide by 2.  Boy I hope I'm wrong, but the fetch looks more like an unmanned firehose.  

All that said, I'm still really jealous and happy for you guys.  Take what you can get in this craptastic winter.  Good luck.

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5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Made it here before it got too bad, but the wind was already picking up and there’s a light accumulation so far. Here’s to hoping we all get crushed later on :weenie:

Decided to stick with Pulaski over Watertown. We’ll see how it goes but at any rate I’m expecting legitimate blizzard conditions so that itself should make the trip worth it. 

Yeah I was in Pulaski last night, was a lot of Grass showing, hopefully they covered that up for you lol

Radar is a little outdated since it's not updating but you can see the enhancement firing up..

 

TYX_loop - 2020-02-27T083600.266.gif

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1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah I was in Pulaski last night, was a lot of Grass showing, hopefully they covered that up for you lol

Radar is a little outdated since it's not updating but you can see the enhancement firing up..

Definitely covered up, and about the most winter I've seen all year. I like being out here in WNY.

Shame I couldn't make Redfield work this time, but I love the adventure of the chase. So much so...I was halfway to Utica when I realized I forgot my yardstick lol. Who cares though, it's all gonna be blowing around. 

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4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Definitely covered up, and about the most winter I've seen all year. I like being out here in WNY.

Shame I couldn't make Redfield work this time, but I love the adventure of the chase. So much so...I was halfway to Utica when I realized I forgot my yardstick lol. Who cares though, it's all gonna be blowing around. 

Go buy a yardstick, I want measurements! 

Blizzard conditions are verifying here. Light/Moderate snow with whiteouts, especially in open areas.

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6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Go buy a yardstick, I want measurements! 

Blizzard conditions are verifying here. Light/Moderate snow with whiteouts, especially in open areas.

I couldn’t believe it and sadly, this isn’t the first time it’s happened. I’m going on two hours of sleep. I was bound to forget something. 

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Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol

It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing..

If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol

The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement..

The northern
portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier
model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario
still seems to be favored
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2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol

It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing..

If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol

The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement..

The northern
portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier
model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario
still seems to be favored

Yeah the rgem caught on early it shows wsw winds 

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7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Honestly don't think your gonna need a Yard stick lol

It's hard to ignore what guidance is showing..

If they are correct the band stays north of us the entire time until tomorrow afternoon when it quickly sweeps by lol

The best part of this event will probably be till this afternoon with lake Enhancement..

The northern
portion of the Tug Hill on Friday morning looks likely as earlier
model guidance trended a bit north with the band and that scenario
still seems to be favored

Your prediction of Watertown looks legit if models keep trending north.  Sad!  May not even snow most of the day tomorrow.  

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Nam products have 2"-3" for Fulton and that includes a couple hours of snow today lol NWS still has 15" for them haha

Looking good for the Enhancement portion so far..2.6" so far..

codnexlab.NEXRAD_TYX_N0Q.20200227_1426.0

 

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Lake Erie looks like its really coming alive on IR satellite.  Perhaps as the shear decreases and the cold air deepens we can develop a nice band over Holiday Valley. I took off tomorrow so I'm going regardless at this point.  **Does snow dance in thread**

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-MI-13-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

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4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Really nasty out right now, starting to add up..

Wind direction 264° so almost due west..

IMG_20200227_101953.jpg.06d45bdfa81d517d

I’m hoping for ya Wolf. I’m also hoping on Snow Ridge. I’ll be checking in with their cam often. I’ve got nothing to offer as I’m not a LE guy. I know little about it but I’d love to see you cash in with a couple feet. 
Man, BUF has taken it on the chin with accumulation thus far. I know it’s early but those guys always freak out when a LE event comes around. 

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2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

I’m hoping for ya Wolf. I’m also hoping on Snow Ridge. I’ll be checking in with their cam often. I’ve got nothing to offer as I’m not a LE guy. I know little about it but I’d love to see you cash in with a couple feet. 
Man, BUF has taken it on the chin with accumulation thus far. I know it’s early but those guys always freak out when a LE event comes around. 

They said 4-8" for the synoptic part of this event and were pretty much spot on. Lake effect will add another 1-2' across areas south of Buffalo. This was never a metro event. Blizzard conditions occurred this morning, but not for a continuous 3 hours, a warning would have sufficed. I like saving blizzard warnings for truly bad storms. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=LSR&format=CI&version=5&glossary=0

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Just now, wolfie09 said:

Looks like a single band is starting to fire up .

TYX_loop - 2020-02-27T104020.481.gif

4” so far in 5 hours.  Keep me posted on the wind direction.  12z RGEM was WAY north but still spreads enough around for 12-18”.  Come on GFS haha

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