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BuffaloWeather

Upstate/Eastern New York

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NWS hardly even mentions the synoptic part of this system, it's all about the enhancement off the lake..I wish the gfs would of continued north like the European instead of transferring off the coast lol

As we head into mid to late week, 00z models continue to advertise a
developing large scale mid level trough which is poised to dig into
the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. This will maintain the
likelihood for precipitation across the area. Temperatures will trend
colder by Thursday as another shot of at least modified Arctic air
filters into the area, bringing the potential for lake-enhanced
snows.

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4 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

The locals aren’t wasting any time trying to hype up next weeks storm already!  
 

 

A3243940-8189-4E2E-8662-3FAC572A080A.jpeg

That's ridiculous.  Gotta sell clicks though...

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28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Verbatim the GFS is actually pretty good for mby. Obviously the storm track will determine the direction of any enhancement..

snku_acc.us_ne - 2020-02-21T112631.508.png

Road trip to Ottawa? ;)

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15 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

I'm actually surprised with the confidence this far out.

00Z runs look fugly but this is still 5-6 days out. The lead s/w looks to be a rainmaker as *shocked face* there's insufficient cold air around to keep precip frozen.  Then the main course development is up for grabs.  Plenty of time for that to change so maybe it's good that it looks as wet as white right now.

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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

GEFS

image.png.09f76fe37db38fb12c8248f470ff53ce.png

This ones close to gone. LR has trended back to crap... This pattern is just too hard to break. 

Who knows. There’s still time. I guess you don’t want to be in the bullseye yet. 
April will be cold. Lol

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12Z Euro washes out the first wave next week and then brings follow on primary sfc low up over WNY. It's almost a total bust synoptically for snow for this forum. Although...decent LES signature for a couple days as the ULL spins over southern Quebec.  

 

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