rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 GFS moving the storm west pretty rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: GFS moving the storm west pretty rapidly. Euro still big hit WNY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Down to -4 overnight.. Nws forecast was for 8° lol Are we losing another one? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 NWS hardly even mentions the synoptic part of this system, it's all about the enhancement off the lake..I wish the gfs would of continued north like the European instead of transferring off the coast lol As we head into mid to late week, 00z models continue to advertise a developing large scale mid level trough which is poised to dig into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. This will maintain the likelihood for precipitation across the area. Temperatures will trend colder by Thursday as another shot of at least modified Arctic air filters into the area, bringing the potential for lake-enhanced snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Obviously can't see in-between frames as it may cut before redeveloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Snowing pretty good at the moment, big fluff bombs, maybe I can eek out a quick inch or two lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 The locals aren’t wasting any time trying to hype up next weeks storm already! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 4 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: The locals aren’t wasting any time trying to hype up next weeks storm already! That's ridiculous. Gotta sell clicks though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Go home GFS... Your drunk! Hobblin’ and Wobblin’ like a frat boy trying to make it back to campus... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2020 Author Share Posted February 21, 2020 31 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: The locals aren’t wasting any time trying to hype up next weeks storm already! This is why I stopped watching all 3 stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Wpc D 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2020 Author Share Posted February 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Up 31° in about 4 1/2 hours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Gfs all over the place now. Always happens in midrange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Gfs had some nice enhancement east of the lakes but that's about it lol 12z icon wasn't the best either.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Verbatim the GFS is actually pretty good for mby. Obviously the storm track will determine the direction of any enhancement.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Canadian is rain-snow with the primary over lake Erie and secondary development near philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Ugly runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Ugly runs. Canadian actually turned out decent for Kroc-ksyr with some enhancement... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Verbatim the GFS is actually pretty good for mby. Obviously the storm track will determine the direction of any enhancement.. Road trip to Ottawa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2020 Author Share Posted February 21, 2020 https://wyrk.com/heavy-snow-likely-for-wny-next-week-localized-lake-effect-too/?fbclid=IwAR0kDG_k43y4gJYG72u__oONlbkdCctBcAvYMWSI4D2_UebwdN86H4j0ttU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: https://wyrk.com/heavy-snow-likely-for-wny-next-week-localized-lake-effect-too/?fbclid=IwAR0kDG_k43y4gJYG72u__oONlbkdCctBcAvYMWSI4D2_UebwdN86H4j0ttU I'm actually surprised with the confidence this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 15 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I'm actually surprised with the confidence this far out. 00Z runs look fugly but this is still 5-6 days out. The lead s/w looks to be a rainmaker as *shocked face* there's insufficient cold air around to keep precip frozen. Then the main course development is up for grabs. Plenty of time for that to change so maybe it's good that it looks as wet as white right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2020 Author Share Posted February 21, 2020 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leelee Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: https://wyrk.com/heavy-snow-likely-for-wny-next-week-localized-lake-effect-too/?fbclid=IwAR0kDG_k43y4gJYG72u__oONlbkdCctBcAvYMWSI4D2_UebwdN86H4j0ttU Yeah, but it's Cejka who's always been a hype queen. I miss Don Paul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 45 minutes ago, Leelee said: Yeah, but it's Cejka who's always been a hype queen. I miss Don Paul. Isn't that drag queen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS This ones close to gone. LR has trended back to crap... This pattern is just too hard to break. Who knows. There’s still time. I guess you don’t want to be in the bullseye yet. April will be cold. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 12Z Euro washes out the first wave next week and then brings follow on primary sfc low up over WNY. It's almost a total bust synoptically for snow for this forum. Although...decent LES signature for a couple days as the ULL spins over southern Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2020 Share Posted February 21, 2020 European looks pretty damn good, with lake effect lol Keeps the primary stronger for longer.. As good as your gonna see from this model lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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