pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Rd9108 said: Correct me if I'm wrong that's a lot of sleet. Likely yes but “snowfall” on NAM is hard to distinguish. Voyager sits in a much more favorable location being northeast of the LSV. and that doesn’t mean he’s a big winner here, but 0z was rather similar with qpf distribution. that’s my point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I’ve said it for days....wrt this system thermal profiles will determine what your backyard gets. Storm has been rather consistent in where it’s going. We still have 48 hrs to see how CAD and antecedent cold factor in. Systems like this can surprise as we approach game time. way too early to call anyone’s backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 18z kuchera 0z kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, CarlislePaWx said: Looking over the 18Z Nam I see it showing a snow to sleet storm and then ending before 7pm Saturday evening. No rain as surface remains below freezing before, during, and then after the storm passes. This seems to concur with the snow to sleet storm the GFS painted over us as well. It would be great to reach 2" of snow before the mix/changeover. My guess is there will likely be a nice burst of heavy snow for the first several hours before the mix. One thing the GFS shows is temps will be no warmer than the 30's through the end of the run with 20's for highs for quite a few of the days. I'm hoping/thinking everything you just stated as well. In truth, , you have a legit chance of this verifying just as you wish. Seeing the frozen lines continue to creep South gives hope to minimal non frozen (except for maybe far S/SW crew (and they are rather close to predominantly frozen events....just less snow and more ice Can you give me the Geenie lamp for the 1/25 event?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 0z Icon and GFS also ticked south a bit at 700/850 so ICE ICE baby may be the tune to sing yourselves to sleep w/. Gnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just give us the most qpf possible with this system. We are going to start out cold with this event. I think the cad will hang on until the precip ends. Surface temps will most likely be colder than what the globals are showing. We can only hope the upper levels hold on a little longer for snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, daxx said: Just give us the most qpf possible with this system. We are going to start out cold with this event. I think the cad will hang on until the precip ends. Surface temps will most likely be colder than what the globals are showing. We can only hope the upper levels hold on a little longer for snow/sleet. In the them of the all powerful Geenie...ask and you shall receive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 There is some convection along the MD PA border just north of Cumberland Md. Moving ENE I dont think we will see any of that but A few lightning strike and turbulance always welcome in this time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 1 hour ago, pasnownut said: Keep wishing it away and you may end up right.....but no it didnt Gives me the areas jackpot or crackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said: I feed my worm lots of oats and kelp. Makes the most biodiverse castings and leachate (Piss and Shit ) as far as bacterial / fungal diversity goes . I use the casting to brew a actively aerated compost teas or aerobic tea for short . I do a type of Japanese composting called bokashi to facilitate beneficial anaerobic bacteria colonization. What a stink fest that is if done wrong. I welcome anyone that wants to learn to come one over. lol Do you sell your worms for money or do you use them for bait only? You seem to be very knowledgeable with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 59 minutes ago, daxx said: Do you sell your worms for money or do you use them for bait only? You seem to be very knowledgeable with this. Hi there Daxx . I use the enzymes fungus and bacteria from the leachate and castings to increase photosynthetic sugar production or °BX in produce . If your looking for composting worms I would be willing to give you thousands . If you need nightcrawlers a calm cool wet night with a dim or red headlamp will give you plenty fishing worms and appreciation for how many Lumbricus terrestris there actually are under your feet and what they do. The earth would be burred in carbon and nitrates without them and all the other worm species. Good Luck with the storm on Saturday if there is much luck to be had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 The 0z GEFS looked a lot like the 18z EPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said: Hi there Daxx . I use the enzymes fungus and bacteria from the leachate and castings to increase photosynthetic sugar production or °BX in produce . If your looking for composting worms I would be willing to give you thousands . If you need nightcrawlers a calm cool wet night with a dim or red headlamp will give you plenty fishing worms and appreciation for how many Lumbricus terrestris there actually are under your feet and what they do. The earth would be burred in carbon and nitrates without them and all the other worm species. Good Luck with the storm on Saturday if there is much luck to be had. This is actually interesting! I never would have thought worms were used for such things. Good luck to you as well! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Tonights lightning strikes just north and west of Savage river state park. Precursor for that area ? I think its worth a look on Sunday. There was more strokes to the south west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I did not like the light amounts of precipitation the 00z euro showed for most of the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I see you down there Mr. Glunt I hope your working on good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I am staying brave sticking with around 7" for my area another overachiever until the end . Even if my ass is out I still got and am getting eco hints of better times soon or just a dreaded long wait until spring plantings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 THOUGH I STOP IN AND SAY HI OVER WITH THE PHILLY FOLK . I THINK THERE GONA LOVE MY DOWN TO EARTH WAYS AND MY GROUND BREAKING WEATHER FORCASTING SKILLS IF THEY HAVE GOT OVER ME CALLING THEM ALL PUSSYS TWO YEARS AGO IN MY FIRST EVER PHILLY POST. I officially declare my self the Gary Busey of weather minus the alcohol and cocaine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 I would sign up for the GFS for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 The GFS for Next weekend’s Miller B potential storm was HECS worthy ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 10 hours ago, Flatheadsickness said: I am sticking with the nuts and squirrels for the win +1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, kerplunk said: +1 I Haven't seen you around in a few Welcome back kerplunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Looks like the ens are starting to line up w/ the Ops as per blizz's map above. wrt overnights, cmc ticked north, 6z gfs ticked south, but it looks like turnpike and north mostly frozen w/ north and north of 80 seeing most white (while still seeing brief mixing. to me that 2-4 call with me closer to 2 and voyager and points north best whack at 4 or more. This is based off thermal fields and seeing them slowly eek south, which increases my confidence at frozen vs plain rain mixing in. Really looks like a decent amount of sleet for lower/mid suqu valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 yeah, the 6z gfs was by far the best run of the year (go peek at snow map). If we can keep this look on the maps, there is a nice train of events for trackin in the next couple weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yeah, the 6z gfs was by far the best run of the year (go peek at snow map). If we can keep this look on the maps, there is a nice train of events for trackin in the next couple weeks. We just need opportunities, which the GFS has plenty of. One of 'em is bound to break right for us. At the very least we'll be tracking... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 4 hours ago, Flatheadsickness said: THOUGH I STOP IN AND SAY HI OVER WITH THE PHILLY FOLK . I THINK THERE GONA LOVE MY DOWN TO EARTH WAYS AND MY GROUND BREAKING WEATHER FORCASTING SKILLS IF THEY HAVE GOT OVER ME CALLING THEM ALL PUSSYS TWO YEARS AGO IN MY FIRST EVER PHILLY POST. I officially declare my self the Gary Busey of weather minus the alcohol and cocaine. Your posts got deleted in that thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Your posts got deleted in that thread... 16 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Your posts got deleted in that thread... That sucks its not every day a guy puts his stick in a hornets nest. Is old wiggy more tolerant of vespanestality porn (hornet nest sex) ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 Just now, Flatheadsickness said: That sucks its not every day a guy puts his stick in a hornets nest. Is old wiggy more tolerant of vespanesctality porn (hornet nest sex) ? I really don't have a good answer for that... SO, it's going to get very windy later today. @canderson hopefully HBG comes through this unscathed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Looks like the ens are starting to line up w/ the Ops as per blizz's map above. wrt overnights, cmc ticked north, 6z gfs ticked south, but it looks like turnpike and north mostly frozen w/ north and north of 80 seeing most white (while still seeing brief mixing. to me that 2-4 call with me closer to 2 and voyager and points north best whack at 4 or more. This is based off thermal fields and seeing them slowly eek south, which increases my confidence at frozen vs plain rain mixing in. Really looks like a decent amount of sleet for lower/mid suqu valley. talking to a friend last night ( yes i have friends ) he is concerned of significant Sleet and a longer duration of freezing rain then snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 16, 2020 Share Posted January 16, 2020 37 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said: I Haven't seen you around in a few Welcome back kerplunk Thanks...have been lurking, but very uninteresting winter so far at UNV so nothing to post about. Your post about the earthworms reminded me of how I used to keep my nightcrawlers in a big old Zellers potato chip can in our fridge when I was young. Had holes punched in the bottom with top open and the soil covered in damp, shredded newspapers. My mom used to get really upset because they'd sometimes crawl out and get lost in the back of the fridge—only to be discovered after they'd dried up. Had to use a putty knife to scrape them off. Haha. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now