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Will - Rutgers

4/19 - 4/20 Long-Duration Heavy Rain and Wind Event

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11 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

I’m leaning towards the under on the rainfall tonight up here, we shall see. 

Terrible forecast. Not even sure if rained much. Flood watch needs to be tossed.

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13 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

I’m leaning towards the under on the rainfall tonight up here, we shall see. 

 

10 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Upton calling for .75-1” IMBY but it’s looking like I’ll split the uprights with heavier to my NE and SE.  The HRRR and NAM 3K have me under .50” tonight, the 18z Euro spits out .60” here.  Time will tell. 

.22” here last night, event total of .23” thus far

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2 hours ago, Animal said:

Terrible forecast. Not even sure if rained much. Flood watch needs to be tossed.

To be fair rain totals can vary widely with thunderstorms, as we know, but looking at the short range models and radar yesterday it wasn’t looking promising and that’s how it played out here. How did the rest of the area do?  Looks like a batch of rain will move through here this morning. 

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Heavy batch of rain now moving up the Jersey Shore into NYC metro. The current PWATS approaching 1.70 are near all-time April highs. Welcome to the tropics in April.

 

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1 minute ago, bluewave said:

Heavy batch of rain now moving up the Jersey Shore into NYC metro. The current PWATS approaching 1.70 are near all-time April highs. Welcome to the tropics in April.

 

1B841A03-27D5-4889-8DE7-A2A081FE67BD.gif.f86157b8a35e8cb2b539adfe1ffe281e.gif

 

I think this is going to be the theme going thru the rest of Spring and for the summer.

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25 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

I think this is going to be the theme going thru the rest of Spring and for the summer.

Heavy downpours here on the South Shore with Wantagh at .52 now.

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1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

 

.22” here last night, event total of .23” thus far

.52. It was raining really hard a little while ago but let off some now. If that whole firehose moving up the NJ shore comes through here we'll probably meet the high end forecast of 1.5. 

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31 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Plume of moisture beginning offshore in SC heading towards NYC metro. Looks like an all day event on tap.

Looks like areas from the city on east will have to deal with rain most of the day, areas west of the Hudson should end by late morning/early afternoon unless there is more development IMO.

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5 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Looks like areas from the city on east will have to deal with rain most of the day, areas west of the Hudson should end by late morning/early afternoon unless there is more development IMO.

Agreed. Up to .63” on the day, still raining good but that heavy band is almost through here. 

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2 hours ago, ILoveWinter said:

Plume of moisture beginning offshore in SC heading towards NYC metro. Looks like an all day event on tap.

Posted this earlier but moisture feed seems to be moving in a decidedly more NE direction. Some hope now for avoiding an all day washout.

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2 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

I think this is going to be the theme going thru the rest of Spring and for the summer.

Definitely.  I really think it's going to be a repeat of last summer.  High dews and hot. 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

The current PWATS approaching 1.70 are near all-time April highs. Welcome to the tropics in April.

New April record for OKX, beating the prior by 0.05":

OKX_PWAT_042019_12Z.thumb.png.a50e230918454cedee7afc66a0a69e00.png

WAL down on the Delmarva also set their April record at 1.77".

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More tornadoes in PA.

https://www.pennlive.com/news/2019/04/two-tornadoes-with-winds-stronger-than-100-mph-touched-down-friday-in-central-pa.html

At least two tornadoes, both with wind speeds stronger than 100 mph, touched down Friday evening in central Pennsylvania, where they damaged roofs and uprooted trees.

No one was injured by the tornadoes, which touched down after 7 p.m. in Huntingdon and Juniata counties, according to National Weather Service officials in State College.

The Friday tornadoes were among at least 11 confirmed this month across the state.

On Saturday, National Weather Service meteorologist Greg DeVoir said tornadoes are not unusual for the area, but “it’s a little early” in the year to see so many.

Typically, the area sees its most severe weather in May and June, DeVoir said.

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