Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 minute ago, 96blizz said: And still going. lol. Does anyone think this has a decent chance of verifying? Fv3 has been so consistent but it seems like a dream too good to be true tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 They pretty much match fv3 so who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I've literally been riding this model since Monday and it hasn't budged from the moment it caught on till its most recent run. Even last night when I almost had a nervous breakdown from the NAM the FV3 stayed true to its track and strength and if its wrong, kudos to at least keeping some form of consistency so we'll see as I will do a case study on this Event cause the models have been horrific evcept the FV3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 One of em will be right and I'll let everyone know which did the best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Finally fv3 finished running. Now I can leave for the gym in peace! See ya round 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, Charlee4615 said: Finally fv3 finished running. Now I can leave for the gym in peace! See ya round 9 17" at 10:1. That's gonna be very interesting at higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Seems pretty south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wpc threw out the 12k nam and then they use a very similar track lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wolf got 18z euro precip yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Run hasn't started yet, should be soon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Yeah I don't agree with that track at all cause it nowhere near any guidance, lol?? Anyway here's the WRF hasn't changed much since yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow on the FV3. If winds could crank a bit more that could lead to Blizzard Warnings. Getting pumped for tomorrow. I want a goddamn Blizzard Warning for Onondaga County! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Really shows that lake enhancement. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, phoenixny said: Wow on the FV3. If winds could crank a bit more that could lead to Blizzard Warnings. Getting pumped for tomorrow. I want a goddamn Blizzard Warning for Onondaga County! That'll never happen, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just realized the WPC is going with the navy.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm probably wrong but I'm not seeing a whole lot of "redevelopmen" on these model runs...more of a Miller A system blazing by. I realize that even Miller A's often have center jumps or quasi redevelopments but not seeing that so much. Maybe a met can comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 What model is handling this best so far. Out in plains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 24 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: That'll never happen, lol! Not a zero chance but close to it. A man can dream. I am in my 50's but that is on the bucket list. Been on this forum for years including Eastern but read more than post. You guys are "Freak"ing awesome! and I live close. God bless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Their all pretty good except the NAM, just kidding! GFS FV3 NAM CMC ICON Here you go Tim! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Gotta change my Benny Hill. Gonna work on it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I'm probably wrong but I'm not seeing a whole lot of "redevelopmen" on these model runs...more of a Miller A system blazing by. I realize that even Miller A's often have center jumps or quasi redevelopments but not seeing that so much. Maybe a met can comment. The further NW the low track the slower and lesser the transfer. Also, stronger systems with better upper level support (like the nearly perfectly coupled upper level jets in this one) allow the primary to maintain strength and prevent a secondary low from developing. That said, you can see this surface low getting real baggy and expanding South, especially as the front crosses the coast. It's trying, thankfully its just not happening on the these NW runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like 18Z EURO is a beaut! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I hear euro is more amped at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlee4615 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Woof, I’m not sure if this is pure fv3 or what...but I’ll take it (ithaca) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Sunday morning looks like the South Shore should really get some good lake enhancement. Unidirectional winds from the surface to 800, Delta T's near of almost 20 degrees and a column saturated to 400mb. Hot damn! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: The further NW the low track the slower and lesser the transfer. Also, stronger systems with better upper level support (like the nearly perfectly coupled upper level jets in this one) allow the primary to maintain strength and prevent a secondary low from developing. That said, you can see this surface low getting real baggy and expanding South, especially as the front crosses the coast. It's trying, thankfully its just not happening on the these NW runs. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Sunday morning looks like the South Shore should really get some good lake enhancement. Unidirectional winds from the surface to 800, Delta T's near of almost 20 degrees and a column saturated to 400mb. Hot damn! That's when you can get 3 4 inch a hour stuff in roc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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