Thinksnow18 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: I’ll take the 10 inches in my area. Same at KBUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 0z ICON coming in HOT!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Snow is up to my knees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Still cautiously optimistic, need to wait on some meso's. The 12z euro had a mainly W-WSW wind while the Ukmet is nearly due west for the duration and GFS para was mostly WNW lol I myself am going all in on the ukie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 GFS looked better for that day 7 system, bringing the system south of us.. NWS has all snow at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Rochester's already up to 31F so that already means we're doomed, lol, with lots of liq precip rather than zr! The pack we have can suck up at least an 1" of liq and still be ok so thats probably the only silver lining in this debacle. From Arctic air then in 1 day up to the low 40's, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Sorry to say this but we're getting a shit load of rain in the small amount of time it does rain, so that sucks and its just funny how it happens to precipitate the hardest when its warmest, understandable but annoying! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 The euro just like the gfs has several opportunities for snow over the next 10 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Well it looks like the pixie dust has returnedSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Actually, its a mixture of snow and ggrauple?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 33 at the KROC, only 29 to the NE by the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 RGEM has a nice band of LES across Central/Southern Erie county for the last 12 hours of its run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 This is very similar too. Be interesting to see what the mesos say today into tomorrow for the event. Really hoping for one last hurrah from the southtowns to the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 @Thinksnow18 Did you see the in house models from any of the networks? Do they also show it going that far north? The NAM starts SW and quickly goes W/WNW during Friday then going SW on Saturday an weakening the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 51 minutes ago, vortmax said: 33 at the KROC, only 29 to the NE by the lake. Still 24 here so there’s a ways to go before I hit the freezing mark. Had 0.3 inch of snow/graupel and sleet overnight. Currently light freezing rain with an occasional pinger mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 35 at KBUF with 32 dewpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @Thinksnow18 Did you see the in house models from any of the networks? Do they also show it going that far north? The NAM starts SW and quickly goes W/WNW during Friday then going SW on Saturday an weakening the band. Yeah Mike has backed off considerably on the LES potential for the weekend in the Metro. He is now looking at Sunday afternoon for our next snow change with accums Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 I know you can't expect much but globals look like crap lol Heck the GFS doesn't even have a West wind anymore lol Nam has pretty much no lake effect at all, just a quick moving transient band.. At least we have those europeans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Seriously...I was checking models, and it looks like ANOTHER Nw flow quickly transitioning to SW flow. Why can't we get a good WESTERLY flow this winter?!? This pattern. Grrr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Seriously...I was checking models, and it looks like ANOTHER Nw flow quickly transitioning to SW flow. Why can't we get a good WESTERLY flow this winter?!? This pattern. GrrrYeah weird when you read the KBUF discussion they are hyping a up a big event for your area but none of the models really support the idea. Maybe this is where the human factor comes into play? I know they keep talking about the convergence zone setting up down the length of Ontario maybe it’s not really picked up well by the computer? And on the flip side they down play any activity of Erie but if anything the models seem to show a nicer response coming of Erie. I’ll be interested to line up all the midday runs and see what the general consensus is... . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Euro and Ukmet FTW lol I would guess kbuf is going with pattern recognition over what global models show verbatim.. I've also noticed some models like the Fv3 retract the band once winds turn Westerly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just went above 32 here now...can't fight that S wind...scours out the cold are very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Euro at 6z still with the West-WSW flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Yeah I don't know what happened but the LES event vanished from all guidance, lol, except EURO and I wouldn't depend on that for LES but ya never know! WOW, WTF cant get a westerly flow event for shit, crazy! I think Westerly needs to change his screen name fir sure! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 32 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro at 6z still with the West-WSW flow. Yeah, but 6-8" isn't a real respectable LE event though, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 Its now a NW-WNW flow, lol, seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 Just now, CNY-WXFREAK said: Its now a NW-WNW flow, lol, seriously? RGEM has full fledged lake snow warning event off Erie for buffalo and southtowns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 23, 2019 Share Posted January 23, 2019 14 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: If only we believed in the GEM!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 23, 2019 Author Share Posted January 23, 2019 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If only we believed in the GEM!!! It’s the best lake effect model. Euro shows wsw winds too as wolfie posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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