CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 This next cold shot is not a direct discharge as it would be much more severe than what their calling for. It's also more of a reach around, lol, as the cold is coming in on a SW flow as opposed to a N or NW flow. These SW flow cold intrusions usually le as d to some incredible LE yo ther ENE of both lakes. This happens quite often in November, and not usually late Jan!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Definitely not a normal Winter Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Buffalo twice in week, say it ain't soooo..lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Wpc snowfall till Tuesday evening.. High end is 2 feet lol Would be nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Idk bro. This is the coldest air of the season Dude BUFKIT profiles look great, NWS seems a little cautious with this upcoming one not sure why lol.. run after run of the GFS has shown a consistent moist SW'ly flow with little to no shear. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Goin to be some wicked winds buffalo to Rochester to Watertown. Wednsday Thursday. 40 to 60 mph. Can you say blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 That down-sloping screws everything up to its East as the model can't resolve where the DS'ing ends as its a DSing issue vs a upsloping event over me, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 56 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Dude BUFKIT profiles look great, NWS seems a little cautious with this upcoming one not sure why lol.. run after run of the GFS has shown a consistent moist SW'ly flow with little to no shear. They are worried about dry air, that cold air mass, and a quickly freezing lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: It's been 13 years since we've made that list. Unreal. It's been a southtown special for the last decade. Actually that list is 8 years old. There's been quite a few more added to that list. Nope! This list was current as of yesterday. This will be the first addition since 2006! Both 2014 totals were multiday events. Not sure the exact 24 hour max yesterday... at least the 17.2”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Buffalo takes the lead in the snow contest! Also 10” ABOVE average now... Crazy how all you need is one good storm to get you going again.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 50 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Nope! This list was current as of yesterday. This will be the first addition since 2006! Both 2014 totals were multiday events. Not sure the exact 24 hour max yesterday... at least the 17.2”. Oh those are 24 hour records, not lake effect event totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 hour ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Buffalo takes the lead in the snow contest! Also 10” ABOVE average now... Crazy how all you need is one good storm to get you going again. . Also helps they saw over 1 foot last weekend too. That’s almost 3 feet in the last week, even things play out right this week it could be 4 feet or even more in a 10 day period which is pretty incredible from where we were just a week and a half ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Also helps they saw over 1 foot last weekend too. That’s almost 3 feet in the last week, even things play out right this week it could be 4 feet or even more in a 10 day period which is pretty incredible from where we were just a week and a half ago. My Epic January call in December might just work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 The Wednesday to Friday timeframe is going to feature the most severe weather conditions in a long time. The NAM looks fantastic for lake effect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 RLMAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Nam is LOL worthy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Nam is LOL worthy And That’s not even showing the best lake effect period. You guys are Ganna get hit hard, especially Matt. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 00Z Nam looks ok I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 34 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: And That’s not even showing the best lake effect period. You guys are Ganna get hit hard, especially Matt. Yeah, that is perfect for me. Hopefully this one works out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Can't even watch it on radar as the returns dry up as they approach only to blossom to my N and E, so funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 CMC just loves snow, too bad it doesn't deliver, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 What down-sloping, lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Both GFS and Para look pretty good as well.. Ukmet also doubled it's 12z output and now has over an inch LE for north/East oswego county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 It's gonna be interesting to watch the radar the next couple days as some models have us getting .2 lq eq and some 1" lq eq so I don't know what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 It goes from .2" in the sw corner of Onondaga county to 1.5" in NE corner of Oswego county, lol. Thats less than 40 miles, so this should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 New map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 So why am I under WWA then? Makes no sense what so ever!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Split the damn Ciunty up, North and South, easy!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 7 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Split the damn Ciunty up, North and South, easy! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I said that earlier in the season and got some flack for it. I think most people around the county hear of the adv./warning, check the radar and maps, and figure out if they're actually set to get hit. The way Oswego county wraps around the lake sets it up for many different wind flow LES events that really narrow down to specific sections of the county....specifically southwest and northern. It would seem to make sense to thus split the county then. But, for now, we continue to check the maps and radar when we hear of advisories. Part of life living where we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: New map If you ask me these maps are getting to be something of a joke. How much faith can anyone put in them when they seem to change significantly every time they’re updated. Just yesterday they had 4-6 inches for southern Oswego County which is a stone throw from where I live. Now it’s down to <1 inch. Someone would need to be constantly checking for updates to see what the latest forecast is and how many people outside of us s do that? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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