wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 To be honest I'm pretty sure the general public doesn't look at KBUF clown maps nor do they read the AFD lol More people pay attention to the twc or AccuWeather then the NWS lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Well now...BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDFlash Flood WarningNational Weather Service Buffalo NY840 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2019The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a* Flash Flood Warning for... North central Erie County in western New York... Southwestern Niagara County in western New York...* Until noon EST.* At 834 AM EST, the Niagara River Control Center reported rising water on the Niagara River due to an ice jam. This will result in flash flooding in low-lying areas along the Niagara River.* Some locations that will experience flooding include... LaSalle Yacht Club, Cayuga Island, and the immediate river shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. Flood waters can also back up through storm drains.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 To be honest I'm pretty sure the general public doesn't look at KBUF clown maps nor do they read the AFD lol More people pay attention to the twc or AccuWeather then the NWS lol That our they pay attention to the TV clowns who can’t grasp the concept of creating a simple snow map.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 We are a special breed lol Majority of the population is weather illiterate... I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Went from some tiny flakes to big fluffy flakes over the last 10-15 min, only about 1/2" new snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 ...A SNOW SQUALL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM EST FOR NORTHERN CAYUGA AND ONONDAGA COUNTIES... At 925 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from 7 miles north of Central Square to Marcellus to Union Springs, moving northeast at 60 mph. HAZARD...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Wind gusts up to 30 mph. SOURCE...Radar and webcams. IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel. This includes the following highway exits... Interstate 90 between 34A and 39. New York Interstate 81 between 16A and 30. Locations impacted include... Onondaga, Syracuse, Clay, Cicero, Auburn, De Witt, Van Buren, Baldwinsville, North Syracuse and Solvay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Ripping right now with huge flakes, it has been now for the better part of an hour.. Kbgm early guess on mon/tue time frame.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Snowing nicely, pack is strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Pouring snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Suns out, nice 10 minute squall and I believe the KBGM map over KBUF any day, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Surprised there is no WWA for southern Erie and Wyoming county. It's gotta be pretty nasty in that band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 It actually has the band dropping South this evening for a few hrs. That band up in Watertown is just awesome with a cyclonic curvature to it, wow, and it extends the whole length of the lake! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Sounding out of KFZY at 07Z and it looks like the band up North finally makes its way down but in what form and for how long? lol. It won't be a single band and it'll op right off the lake once it passes Oswego so...... maybe an inch or two as it drops but then heads back North quickly in response to Tomorrows event. You have a good chance of getting crushed Wolf, for sure, so we'll see and variables are off the hook, look at sng, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 Wow silver creek with 2 feet from that band yesterday. NEW YORK ...Chautauqua County... Silver Creek 24.0 700 AM 1/27 Co-Op Observer 1 S Dunkirk 16.7 700 AM 1/27 Co-Op Observer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 20 minutes ago, southbuffalowx said: Surprised there is no WWA for southern Erie and Wyoming county. It's gotta be pretty nasty in that band No need I don't think as there's a CF that's about to take the band with it, lol, then perhaps another will set-up on a more 270 flow?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: We are a special breed lol Majority of the population is weather illiterate... I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong" I work with a girl who think she knows weather more than I do. We were talking about the LES band the other day and she said it looks like its going to stay here until midnight. She pulled up the future look radar from accuweather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Look at the hole over KROC and pts east, RLMAO! This is one pattern that I will never ever ask for that's a guarantee, horrific! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I also didn't notice much dsling in the Finger Lakes as they got just as much precip as we did this morning when that batch came through! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Balmy, lol! DC approaching 70F, nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Oh and I guess all the talk pf a mix perhaps Tomorrow thru Wed but I guess that can be thrown out the window and after next weeks cool down we're gonna need a couple -few days to recuperate, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 look at how disgustingly close we are to that band CNY, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: look at how disgustingly close we are to that band CNY, lol! I was tempted to post the same thing. Par for the course, not that it will amount to anything but a mile south of me it’s probably snowing pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 Buffalo already has 80-90% pops for that lake effect event Weds-Fri. Tuesday Snow. High near 31. Southwest wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday Night Snow. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 3. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Wednesday Occasional snow. Areas of blowing snow. High near 7. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Wednesday Night Occasional snow. Areas of blowing snow. Low around -3. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Thursday Snow likely. Areas of blowing snow. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 7. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Thursday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 1. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Friday Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 13. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 It looks like next week will be dominated by a WSW/SW flow, not sure why I have high end pops all week, probably be watching a mile north get hammered lol This system on Monday/Tuesday still looks ok with about 3/4"-1"+ liquid on the majority of models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 55 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: It looks like next week will be dominated by a WSW/SW flow, not sure why I have high end pops all week, probably be watching a mile north get hammered lol This system on Monday/Tuesday still looks ok with about 3/4"-1"+ liquid on the majority of models.. Oh....my......URGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I think I am just going to have to rely on system snows most of this winter. Picked up between 3 and 4 inches of enhanced fluff this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Finally some clearer skies. Not seeing too much ice. Anyone seen any MODIS views? All the links I have just go to the shutdown notice... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 16 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Finally some clearer skies. Not seeing too much ice. Anyone seen any MODIS views? All the links I have just go to the shutdown notice... . Do you have the link to this page? I'm really surprised by this. Even near Cleveland there is just broken ice. Monday and Tuesday look around 32 which will stop the icing. Even more intrigued for the Weds-Fri event now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 Those are some high probs for 12+ near the tug for day 3 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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