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Well now...
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
840 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2019

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
North central Erie County in western New York...
Southwestern Niagara County in western New York...

* Until noon EST.

* At 834 AM EST, the Niagara River Control Center reported rising
water on the Niagara River due to an ice jam. This will result in
flash flooding in low-lying areas along the Niagara River.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
LaSalle Yacht Club, Cayuga Island, and the immediate river
shoreline between North Tonawanda and Niagara Falls. Flood waters
can also back up through storm drains.


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We are a special breed lol

Majority of the population is weather illiterate...

I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol

Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha

I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong"

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...A SNOW SQUALL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM EST FOR
NORTHERN CAYUGA AND ONONDAGA COUNTIES...

At 925 AM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line
extending from 7 miles north of Central Square to Marcellus to Union
Springs, moving northeast at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Heavy snow and blowing snow. Wind gusts up to 30 mph.

SOURCE...Radar and webcams.

IMPACT...Dangerous life-threatening travel.

This includes the following highway exits...
Interstate 90 between 34A and 39.
New York Interstate 81 between 16A and 30.

Locations impacted include...
Onondaga, Syracuse, Clay, Cicero, Auburn, De Witt, Van Buren,
Baldwinsville, North Syracuse and Solvay.

 

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Sounding out of KFZY at 07Z and it looks like the band up North finally makes its way down but in what form and for how long? lol.  It won't be a single band and it'll op right off the lake once it passes Oswego so......  maybe an inch or two as it drops but then heads back North quickly in response to Tomorrows event.

nam3km sounding

nam3km sounding

You have a good chance of getting crushed Wolf, for sure, so we'll see and variables are off the hook, look at sng, wow!

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2 hours ago, wolfie09 said:

We are a special breed lol

Majority of the population is weather illiterate...

I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol

Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha

I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong"

I work with a girl who think she knows weather more than I do. We were talking about the LES band the other day and she said it looks like its going to stay here until midnight. She pulled up the future look radar from accuweather. ^_^

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Buffalo already has 80-90% pops for that lake effect event Weds-Fri.

Tuesday
Snow. High near 31. Southwest wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Snow. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 3. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday
Occasional snow. Areas of blowing snow. High near 7. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
Occasional snow. Areas of blowing snow. Low around -3. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
Snow likely. Areas of blowing snow. Cloudy and cold, with a high near 7. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 1. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 13. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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55 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

It looks like next week will be dominated by a WSW/SW flow, not sure why I have high end pops all week, probably be watching a mile north get hammered lol

This system on Monday/Tuesday still looks ok with about 3/4"-1"+ liquid on the majority of models..

download (30).png

Oh....my......URGH

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16 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

Finally some clearer skies. Not seeing too much ice. Anyone seen any MODIS views? All the links I have just go to the shutdown notice...
067eac8f82d3a0132757f5061c9f5b4d.gif


.

Do you have the link to this page?

I'm really surprised by this. Even near Cleveland there is just broken ice. Monday and Tuesday look around 32 which will stop the icing. Even more intrigued for the Weds-Fri event now. 

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