40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 GFS looks better with the PNA ridge, but the H5 low is still too far north in the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: James is on to sonething HYA 4 1 1 6 Days and days of snow. Although I think for most of us Tuesday and Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Not good enough for a big dog this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Meh.... end result is even less impressive than 18z... less robust all around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Less impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Days and days of snow. Although I think for most of us Tuesday and Wednesday. Weak sauce 0Z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Less impressive. The CMC and GFS don’t even get it going period this run... never turns into anything noteworthy for anybody. This is def heading in the meh direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Weak sauce 0Z runs H5 low over Montreal leaves something to be desired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Idk if it's already been discussed, but methinks that, ultimately, the big problem is the kicker shortwave coming in from the Pacific. That thing means business and pushes the pattern so quick this thing never has a chance to dig and go negative... in fact, the trough gets more positively tilted on the 00z GFS as time progresses We need that s/w to be much weaker and/or to tilt negatively off the west coast allowing it to pump the ridge rather than kick it eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Still have good snow numbers. Also, ensembles look better than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 We’re close to losing this season guys.....I’m starting to feel it a bit.....I’ll guve it another 2 weeks but the melt is coming..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Lol... Wee need WOW now.....it worked in previous seasons.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, weatherbear5 said: Idk if it's already been discussed, but methinks that, ultimately, the big problem is the kicker shortwave coming in from the Pacific. That thing means business and pushes the pattern so quick this thing never has a chance to dig and go negative... in fact, the trough gets more positively tilted on the 00z GFS as time progresses We need that s/w to be much weaker and/or to tilt negatively off the west coast allowing it to pump the ridge rather than kick it eastward I agree...said the same thing on my blog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Euro=nuke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Euro=nuke I need maps......talk to me..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 H5 closed low goes under SNE. I dont care about the thermal profiles shown-that’s a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 D6 though so lots of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro=nuke I was going to say, it looked like it was a much better solution through 144... much sharper trough axis tilted near neutral at the coast... looks like it cuts the energy from the Pacfic under the ridge rather than having it shunt it eastward super quickly. heck, I can't see precip but I'd imagine it even gets going fast enough for NYC... can anyone confirm though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I saw it going further south and got giddy, but wasn't sure what to make of H5 being open for so long.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Goes over the elbow and backs into Portsmouth...oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That would nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: ouch. That is what I named the file when saving it to my desktop to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I saw it going further south and got giddy, but wasn't sure what to make of H5 being open for so long.. I was surprised how far north the ULL closed off... just looking at the vorticity maps, I would have imagined it closed off further south. Oh well, just shows that the threat is still on the table, just have to wait out the next several days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 H7 Low tracks right over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 That is a blue bomb from near Boston points north and west...with dry slot issues over sne verbatim. Night- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What in the world? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, ice1972 said: What in the world? Way too soon to fret over virtual snowfall accumulations for any specific area. It's highly unlikely that it will verify verbatim at 6 days out. Right now, just be encouraged that you/we have one model run showing potential for a significant system affecting the NE...at least for the next 12 hours. Plenty of time for substantial adjustments in track or even complete dissolution of the pseudo "low", altogether. Edit: Like you, and most here, I'll be hoping this potential threat persists on the EURO, and other guidance latches on to it, as well. I'd love a return trip to SNE in about a weeks time. If it does manifest itself, and I do choose to chase it, I might be looking for a new residence while I'm there...as it's quite possible my wife will be changing the locks on the one, here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.