• Member Statistics

    15,888
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Binworkin
    Newest Member
    Binworkin
    Joined
JoMo

MO/KS/AR/OK 2019-2020 Winter Wonderland Discussion

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, NwWhiteOut said:

Down to 39 here now, slowwwwwly falling. Kinda misty outside

34 in Monett, seems models might be a little too warm but I'm not positive. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, MUWX said:

This is their 24 hour snow total, but their 7 day snow total has amounts of about half this. Not sure what the disconnect is. 

NWS Tulsa updated the graphic.  Looks more realistic now.  Fayetteville is 1.2 inches.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, The Waterboy said:

NWS Tulsa updated the graphic.  Looks more realistic now.  Fayetteville is 1.2 inches.  

Yea, must have had an issue that popped up that one graphic.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sgf pulled the trigger on a WWA and went with ~3 inches along the I44 corridor. Seems like a good bet to me, most models seem to be locking in on that solution. We still need to watch temps and see if they fall faster than anticipated. Monett has been locked in at 34 for quite some time now. Airport dropped to 32 earlier, but I'm not sure they was accurate 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, MUWX said:

Sgf pulled the trigger on a WWA and went with ~3 inches along the I44 corridor. Seems like a good bet to me, most models seem to be locking in on that solution. We still need to watch temps and see if they fall faster than anticipated. Monett has been locked in at 34 for quite some time now. Airport dropped to 32 earlier, but I'm not sure they was accurate 

I've got to think based off OKC and SGF that we will see Tulsa fill in the gap on the advisory around 5 PM today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

I've got to think based off OKC and SGF that we will see Tulsa fill in the gap on the advisory around 5 PM today.

NWS SGF Facebook live said Tulsa is in the process of issuing a WWA. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, GSwizzle83 said:

NWS SGF Facebook live said Tulsa is in the process of issuing a WWA. 

 

Good to know, thanks! Tulsa just updated their site as well to indicate 1-3 inches now, instead of 1-2.

image1.png?68e8a7e7bfdacea10a0e04122fb4a

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

37 here now, curious to see how fast these temps wetbulb (if they do) now that light rain has started here. Have read about an inch here(if it happens lol), mainly slush on grass. I believe it with all the warm crazy weather we have had recently. Nice to see it chilly for once again though for sure!

WWA here now, temps have actually bumped up 2 degrees since the rain started. 1-2" tulsa is saying possible 2-4" in some areas

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Far north side of Oklahoma City here (near Quail Springs Mall for those familiar with the city).  Temperatures have been hovering right at freezing for much of the day.  Right now, I am showing 31.5 F.  Dew points are in the mid-20s.  

Driving home from work (about 45 minutes ago), I saw a couple of wet snow flakes and a couple of sleet pellets mixed in with mostly rain in a passing shower.  The rain did not seem to be freezing on anything at that point, but the sun has now set so anything new, if it isn't already frozen, is likely to freeze, at least on elevated surfaces.  

Right now, nothing is falling but the radar is suddenly showing a bit of weather incoming and likely to be overhead any minute.  If it reaches the ground, I am very curious what the p-type will be.  

EDIT:  NWS is now saying Chickasha, which is 35 miles or so to my southwest, is getting light snow.  That would seem to answer the p-type question here.... if anything reaches the ground in this first batch. 

EDIT #2:  Around 7:30 pm now.  We've been getting really light snow... literally an occasional flake floating by... for about 90 minutes.  No accumulation.  Roads wet.  According to the radar, heavier stuff is falling... and this is not an exaggeration... 5 miles south of me.  If I can get out and about in the next few hours, I will see if the radar was deceiving.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

NWS is buying the HRRR and holding the snow off until way after midnight. Sounds about right, never easy to get snow here. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
42 minutes ago, MUWX said:

NWS is buying the HRRR and holding the snow off until way after midnight. Sounds about right, never easy to get snow here. 

Nothing here either going south.. gahh never get a break wherever I am.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Spot said:

Nothing here either going south.. gahh never get a break wherever I am.

We are just in bad areas for snow that's all man :(. Winters just dont seem the same anymore anywhere really. I'm ready to move back north, way further north like KC. I really miss it there, was one of the nicest cheapest cities I have ever lived in or outside of it in the country somewhere.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The radar... at least around here in Central OK... was very deceiving.  We've had extremely light.... I mean REALLY light... snow for a few hours.  No accumulation at all on the far north side of town.  I ran some errands over the past hour (and detoured a bit to see how things looked a bit closer to downtown where radar returns looked pretty respectable.  It was snowing a bit harder down that way (still REALLY light) but there no accumulation there either other than a barely perceptible coating on parked cars.  There was a bit of light sleet mixing in and presumably that accounted for the good looking radar returns.  Oh well.  Maybe this final band is the real deal. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Shame it was not colder earlier this evening! Man it poured down rain here for a while, not sure we were even supposed to get that much rain!! Still coming down but sitting at 34 here.

33 now and pouring buckets again wow!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We moved to the Glenpool/Sapulpa area on the SW side of Tulsa Metro, and it's FINALLY sleeting and everything has a glaze to it. Still no snow...been hovering between 32-33 for the last several hours.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tulsa not throwing in the towel yet.

 

.DISCUSSION...
A little bit of everything going on this evening...with
exiting thunderstorms across far southeast OK and a wide
variety of rain/freezing rain/sleet and snow across much
of the remainder of the forecast area.

00Z OUN sounding showed an impressive warm layer from
900-700mb ensuring that much of the precip was falling as
sleet this evening (with some freezing rain mixed in) over
most of northeast OK. Radar suggests that we`ll see a brief
lull in precipitation later this evening before another
area of mostly snow associated with the upper low lifts into
the region. The last several runs of the HRRR seem to have a
reasonable handle on the situation...with the deformation
zone setting up across northeast OK into northwest AR/southwest
MO later tonight. Highest snow totals look to set up from near
Tulsa and points east-northeast (also supported by recent SREF
plumes)...with 1-2 inches possible although there could be
isolated spots that get 3-4 inches.

Lowered PoPs some across southeast OK where the dry slot is
working in...and also kept a mention of freezing rain for
northeast OK the remainder of the evening hours.


Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Watching the local news here in OKC, and they breathlessly reported that they had a storm spotter driving west into what looks like an impressive snow band heading this way (and eventually to points north and east).  The spotter's report:  nothing..... literally not a flake reaching the ground.  

Me thinks it is time to put a fork in this one, folks.  At least in this part of the world.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Owasso has had moderate sleet off and on with rain tonight. Had heavy enough sleet to accumulate on sidewalk and cars.

it transitioned to freezing rain and glazed everything and has been off and on snow or sleet since. Had a 15 minute period of moderate snow with big flakes around 10 that started to accumulate before it ended. Back to sleet right now with some light accumulations on cars and roofs.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Starting to give up hope that this is ever going to transition in Monett. Moderate "freezing" rain has been occurring for hours, but only a few slick spots on elevated surfaces. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, JoMo said:

Been sleeting forever here. 

I can see a few stars up this way. Hope you guys get something down there. Models of course try and paint another system in the days ahead but you all know how that is.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.