tnweathernut Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 I think there is enough evidence at this point (and under 5 days) to go ahead and pull the string on a new thread for it. Most modeling shows the potential and local AFD's are highlighting the possibilities. At the very least, we have something significant to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 There is a BNA alert on the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 There is a BNA alert on the 12z GFS. Would like the euro to show it,we know how the GFS can screw you 4 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trying to figure out where I should go on a snow chase late week. Does anyone think places like crossville could get a lot of snow ? Obviously I have NC mtns in mind but I'm not sure about driving on those mountain roads in the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trying to figure out where I should go on a snow chase late week. Does anyone think places like crossville could get a lot of snow ? Obviously I have NC mtns in mind but I'm not sure about driving on those mountain roads in the snow. I would park myself somewhere in northwest, NC...Boone is where I would go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Trying to figure out where I should go on a snow chase late week. Does anyone think places like crossville could get a lot of snow ? Obviously I have NC mtns in mind but I'm not sure about driving on those mountain roads in the snow. If you want to get a huge amount of snow, looks like any of the North Carolina ski areas would do really well. I expect Banner Elk/Beech Mountain to get upwards of 18-24 inches and hotels are available there for under 100 a night. Just try and not drive in the snow, get there early and leave after plowing. There's not really any guaranteed area here yet imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Runman292 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 David Aldrich posted the following on his Facebook: "If you LOVE SNOW...good things come to those who wait." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I would park myself somewhere in northwest, NC...Boone is where I would go. I was actually considering west Jefferson, NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I was actually considering west Jefferson, NC Map please! Lol. I am going to have to look that one up. If it is in nw NC, should be a great place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Hinkin has us changing over to rain because of course he does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 I was actually considering west Jefferson, NC Boone is roughly 400 ft higher in elevation. It's the best you can do short of renting a cabin on one of the higher peaks. Blowing Rock, which is just south of Boone, sits an additional 200 ft higher. I'm not sure what lodging options outside of spa resorts and B&Bs Blowing Rock offers, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BamaChemE Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Any chance this system slides far enough south to bring Huntsville in on the party? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro running. Cheers coming from Carolina folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Any chance this system slides far enough south to bring Huntsville in on the party? We've been discussing the southern end quite a bit here in the office today...given the temp/dew point spread, if the precip gets in quickly enough tomorrow then it could be a skating rink for a little while right in morning rush...it should go over to rain by mid morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 Euro running. Cheers coming from Carolina folk. There's going to be 50,000 posts in that forum between now and 00Z when it goes away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 There's going to be 50,000 posts in that forum between now and 00Z when it goes away. It's very similar to the Ukie. You think that combo gets beat by the Americans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 The EPS will be interesting to say the least.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 There's going to be 50,000 posts in that forum between now and 00Z when it goes away. Dammit Carolina, get your s*** together and stop crashing the server! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 MRX PM disco will be out soon to rain on NE TN's parade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 MRX PM disco will be out soon to rain on NE TN's parade. Haha, how true. I am guessing they will leave it purposely vague, but hedge toward the GFS and NAM. Let's see if I am right. I bet they are looking at the Euro OP and now the EPS and saying, "well crap, that doesn't help".... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 MRX PM disco will be out soon to rain on NE TN's parade. If I were in their shoes, I would not touch this with a 10 foot pole....not this run. They have enough problems with tomorrow's mess.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If I were in their shoes, I would not touch this with a 10 foot pole....not this run. They have enough problems with tomorrow's mess.... Exactly. I am more fired up for the 2-4 that dies further east that we may be looking at tomorrow morning. Likely going to be a messy commute in mid Tn and further east later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 If I were in their shoes, I would not touch this with a 10 foot pole....not this run. They have enough problems with tomorrow's mess.... FWIW, Peachtree upgraded North GA border counties to a WSW. I realize criteria differ, but...still interesting. Of course, they're probably playing it as safely as possible after the Atlanta mess last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 FFC put a Winter Storm Warning for the counties bordering us.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 They have a much lower threshold. I think 2 inches in 12 hours is enough to get a warning out of their wfo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 MRX dropped the D word in the afternoon AFD...so much for raining on a parade or steering clear altogether. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 They have a much lower threshold. I think 2 inches in 12 hours is enough to get a warning out of their wfo. And that is all well and good, but 2" is really pushing it for the non-mountainous counties just to our south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 19, 2016 Share Posted January 19, 2016 And that is all well and good, but 2" is really pushing it for the non-mountainous counties just to our south.. A few models are spitting out 2 inches for that area and there's also some prospects of icing down that way, it likely takes very little icing there to cause a WSW. From their afd. TO ADD TO THE SENSITIVITY. COULD SEE UP TO 0.2 INCHES OF ICEACCUMULATION AND UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW SO HAVE UPGRADED THE PREVIOUS WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AREA TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 12Z WED TO 06Z THU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 19, 2016 Author Share Posted January 19, 2016 A few models are spitting out 2 inches for that area and there's also some prospects of icing down that way, it likely takes very little icing there to cause a WSW. From their afd. . Ok, then....I guess it's valid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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