Gilbertfly Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Cell to my south in southern will county should bring down some nice gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 I would be really surprised to see this line make it all the way to Chicago (in it's current intensity), let alone Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Thunder is already rumbling here. So what do we think, will the line survive through Chicago or will it die after it passes I-39? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL643 PM CST WED NOV 11 2015ILZ003>005-008-010-011-120115-BOONE IL-OGLE IL-LEE IL-WINNEBAGO IL-DE KALB IL-MCHENRY IL-643 PM CST WED NOV 11 2015...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR EASTERN OGLE...EASTERN WINNEBAGO...NORTHWESTERN DE KALB...NORTHEASTERN LEE...BOONE AND NORTHWESTERNMCHENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CST...AT 643 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORMNEAR HILLCREST...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROCHELLE...MOVING NORTHEASTAT 70 MPH.HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHTHIS STORM.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...ROCKFORD... BELOIT... BELVIDERE...LOVES PARK... MACHESNEY PARK... ROCHELLE...SOUTH BELOIT... ROCKTON... ROCKFORD AIRPORT...ROSCOE... POPLAR GROVE... CHERRY VALLEY...KIRKLAND... CAPRON... HILLCREST...STILLMAN VALLEY... TIMBERLANE... CALEDONIA...DAVIS JUNCTION... CRESTON...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FORNORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS.LAT...LON 4249 8864 4176 8902 4197 8925 4250 8912TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 201DEG 63KT 4201 8912$MTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Thunder is already rumbling here. So what do we think, will the line survive through Chicago or will it die after it passes I-39? It isnt really showing signs of weakening, so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 This LEWP is actually persisting even with little in the way of SBCAPE, <20J/KG per 0z soundings. However, there is MUCAPE of 250-550 over the area, which combined with the strong flow/shear, appears to be enough right now to sustain the line. If there was even just a bit more instability and moisture, no doubt things would be even more significant right now. I'd say there's 5 areas of interest that would be of concern for tornadoes in the line of that we're the case. Given the current organization and strong low level jet, it wouldn't really shock me to see this thing charge eastward to Chicago with little loss in strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Quite the wind signature on the line from Dixon south to Princeton. Look forward to that blowing through shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Storm rapidly approaching me from the southwest. Winds have been kicking up more lately so wonder what this will bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Given the current organization and strong low level jet, it wouldn't really shock me to see this thing charge eastward to Chicago with little loss in strength. Didnt you mention that a few short term models showed it re-organizing over LM, as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Those cells are picking up more and more steam, I'd expect a warning soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Winds roaring outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Didnt you mention that a few short term models showed it re-organizing over LM, as well? Well it was more like another area of development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Lighting a few candles just in case. haha. Winds really ramped up now. Just had a gust around 45mph. Thundering outside too. Power outages starting to increase. https://www.comed.com/_layouts/comedsp/outagemap.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Impressive system all around, line looking healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 the Rockford NWR Station has been knocked out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 out of DVN... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL712 PM CST WED NOV 11 20150610 PM TSTM WND DMG ROSEVILLE 40.73N 90.66W11/11/2015 WARREN IL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE IN ELLISON AND ROSEVUILLE TOWNSHIPS... POWER POLES SNAPPED. PORCHES BLOWN OFF 2 HOMES. GRAIN BINS DAMAGED. TREES DOWN. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL739 PM CST WED NOV 11 20150611 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W INDUSTRY 40.33N 90.63W11/11/2015 MCDONOUGH IL TRAINED SPOTTER LARGE TREE AROUND 4 FEET IN DIAMETER BLOWN DOWN ON A HOUSE. ESTIMATING WINDS OF 60 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Down tree a couple blocks over here. Seeing quite a bit of lightning now. Winds sustained over 30mph now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Winds gusting to 70 mph at Peoria: KPIA 120144Z 22046G61KT 1/4SM R13/2000VP6000FT +RA FG SCT007 OVC012 13/11 A2941 RMK AO2 PK WND 21061/0144 WSHFT 0126 RAB33 P0027 T01330111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Great light show off to the west with these storms in front of the main line. Nothing like a November lightning show! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Winds gusting to 70 mph at Peoria: KPIA 120144Z 22046G61KT 1/4SM R13/2000VP6000FT +RA FG SCT007 OVC012 13/11 A2941 RMK AO2 PK WND 21061/0144 WSHFT 0126 RAB33 P0027 T01330111 It was actually 71 mph and broke the November record of 70 mph, set on 11/17/13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 leading edge of main line was pretty lifeless coming through here. Nothing to talk about. I was just going to say that. Leading edge is directly over head right now and it sounds the calmest of the last 12 hours right now. I suspect the wind is rapidly shifting to the west right now and is being blocked by the big barn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Have been gusting up around 40mph here with the storms that have been moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 leading edge of main line was pretty lifeless coming through here. Nothing to talk about.Environment might be finally catching up to it, preventing higher gusts from reaching the surface. Lightning has been trending down as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Comed outages of about 3100 customers in Chicago. Main line entering McHenry Co. now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Had one house rattling gust, otherwise just extremely breezy heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Main line entering McHenry Co. now. That main line is nowhere near as intense as the radar wold lead you to believe. Complete non-event as it passed me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Environment might be finally catching up to it, preventing higher gusts from reaching the surface. Lightning has been trending down as well. Appears to be exactly what is happening based on the velocity radar vs observed as the line pushed through. Had a ~50mph gust, then breezy rain with 25-35mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Some areas hit by tornadoes this afternoon are actually seeing snow right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 The high non thunderstorm winds are coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Had some big gusts about 10 minutes ago with the area of moderate rain. I'd have to think well into the 40s if not 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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