IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Rgem crushes LI and NYC tomorrow with 3"-5" of rain. Same general idea, just some noise with convection placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Rgem crushes LI and NYC tomorrow with 3"-5" of rain. Talk dirty to me. Please let that verify. Any maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Talk dirty to me. Please let that verify. Any maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Models have been showing the same general 1-3" with locally higher amounts for a few days now. Looks like there will be a coastal wave developing on the front which will enhance an area as it moves Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The good news is that even if that busts and only 50% verifies, we all get a good soaking. Big leaf drop in progress here. Outside of the 8/11 deluge, we've had close to nothing here since late July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Friday and Saturday are going to be salvaged luckily, the big rains are tomorrow and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The good news is that even if that busts and only 50% verifies, we all get a good soaking. Big leaf drop in progress here. Outside of the 8/11 deluge, we've had close to nothing here since late July. I wouldn't be expecting more than 1" + with locally higher amounts. These are very tough to predict and most of the rain will probably fall in a very narrow axis. It should be hauling as well. It's a good soaking, don't get me wrong, but it doesn't have as much upside as Sunday does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 This will verify. I will be halfway across the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Models are closing off the 500mb low over Ohio instead of West Virginia, we need the trough to dig further South in order to drive that surface development well South instead of off the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Models are closing off the 500mb low over Ohio instead of West Virginia, we need the trough to dig further South in order to drive that surface development well South instead of off the NJ coast. This is the Sunday event I assume? What happens if the low is off the NJ coast versus further south? Would think more rain if it's further north no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 This is the Sunday event I assume? What happens if the low is off the NJ coast versus further south? Would think more rain if it's further north no? Yes this is for Sunday, and no what ends up happening is a lot of the rain goes further Northwest into Upstate NY instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Yes this is for Sunday, and no what ends up happening is a lot of the rain goes further Northwest into Upstate NY instead. I think yesterday's Euro showed that. In that case we won't see much then. Hope tomorrow pans out. Wouldn't mind Sunday busting since it's a weekend day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The GGEM closes off near Louisville and wow does that make a huge difference for Sunday/Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Would assume a widespread 1.5" but some of those totals must be overdone. I've heard this story before. Wouldn't rule out local amounts of 5+ but I think the duration and severity of the rain is being overestimated in the metro area as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Just one time please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The temp reached 90F at 12:26 PM at NYC, which makes the second heat wave for this month. First time of 2 heat waves on record for Sep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The 12z GEFS mean jackpots NJ and Upstate NY tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwarn Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Just one time please Yes PLEASE!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The 12z SPC WRF has a nice squall line moving through tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Might wanna start a new thread for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 12z Ukmet is in agreement with the Rgem. Widespread 1"+ of rain for all with a maximum precip of 2"-4" near the coast on LI. Much needed: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Newark hit 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 The 12z SPC WRF has a nice squall line moving through tonight What time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Might wanna start a new thread for this event done... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Oh my goodness we might actually see rain soon. By the way it feels just as hot as yesterday with the higher dews. It hit 94F IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 done... Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted September 9, 2015 Author Share Posted September 9, 2015 Showers. Less than 0.09 " and it's been raining for a good hour. Seems like it doesn't want to rain anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Looks like cell headed my way in a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Looks like it wants to pour but it is holding back. A decent amount of thunder and lightning in Bushwick though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Today's Highs; HPN: 89 TEB: 91 NYC: 90 EWR: 91 LGA: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 94 BLM: 88 TTN: 93 PHL: 93 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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