A-L-E-K Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Yep moisture is the issue Feels bone dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Just missed the apex of that bow that is going toward Alpena. All we had in Oscoda county at the cabin was some very heavy rain. I am guessing from Comins to Atlanta got hit pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Good view of the healthy TCU field from here. Tall rock hard convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Surprisingly, starting to feel moist here a little. 65 dew point and 55 humidity with not a cloud in the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Lead tower looking pretty good visually...starting to punch up pretty high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Special 16z sounding from far north Michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Special 16z sounding from far north Michigan Good speed shear below 500 mb, directional shear is pretty lame though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 IWX's new AFD (One hour early) say's thing's should pick up in the shear department when the cold front get's closer tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Really nice day... 88 degrees, 64 dew point. Pretty dry for early August. Might take my dog for a walk soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Lead tower looking pretty good visually...starting to punch up pretty high Getting a mothership look to it now as I watch from the NW of it...cell trailing it by about 20 miles looking good now too....nice rapid verticle growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Getting a mothership look to it now as I watch from the NW of it...cell trailing it by about 20 miles looking good now too....nice rapid verticle growth About to get clipped by the north edge of the leader Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 87/70 at DeKalb in front of the developing cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Dime to quarter sized hail falling, very little rain at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Getting a mothership look to it now as I watch from the NW of it...cell trailing it by about 20 miles looking good now too....nice rapid verticle growth Yeah to the north of that complex looks good for vertical growth. Pretty quickly too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 If this cell keeps on growing, it will need a warning soon. Started with dime size hail with a couple quarters, then heavy rain and pea size hail with a 46mph wind gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 Isolated Supercells were possible this afternoon before the main event tonight, nice to see one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Had some very large rain drops sprinkling down here a little bit ago from an elevated tower. 80% of the sky is completely sunny. Pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Svr warning issued for eastern DeKalb, Kane, DuPage.....good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 If this cell keeps on growing, it will need a warning soon. Started with dime size hail with a couple quarters, then heavy rain and pea size hail with a 46mph wind gust It's warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Main cell with renewed verticle growth in the center of it...she's not done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Main cell with renewed verticle growth in the center of it...she's not done yet And intuition plus a little science tells me this is only the appetizer for what may occur this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1587NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0200 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SRN/CNTRL WI...WRN/SRN MI CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 021900Z - 022100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT SUMMARY...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO A S/SEWD-PROGRESSING SQUALL LINE...WITH THE SEVERE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONALLY...A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...RECENT SFC OBSERVATIONS EXHIBIT WINDS VEERING TO THE N/NW ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN WI THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS PRESSURE RISES UPWARDS OF 1 MB/HR. THIS LOW-LEVEL MASS RESPONSE IS LIKELY A MANIFESTATION OF STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT IMPINGING UPON THE REGION FROM THE NW. THUS...AS SFC CONVERGENCE IS ENHANCED AND MID-LEVEL ASCENT IS MAXIMIZED...CONVECTION SHOULD RAPIDLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON FROM SRN/CNTRL WI EWD INTO WRN/CNTRL MI. INDEED...A DEVELOPING CU FIELD OVER WI PROBABLY REPRESENTS THE INITIAL REGION FOR INITIATION...WITH CONVECTION INCREASING DOWNSTREAM INTO MI...LARGELY FOCUSED BY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER CONVECTION. 18Z RAOBS FROM GRB/DVN ILLUSTRATE STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER THE REGION. IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG HEATING AND AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...THIS THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF INTENSE VERTICAL ACCELERATION IN THE HAIL-GROWTH ZONE...SUGGESTING LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE A THREAT WITH INITIAL QUASI-DISCRETE CELLS. AS UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SQUALL LINE OCCURS HOWEVER...THE PRIMARY THREAT SHOULD TRANSITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...AIDED BY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW OF 40-50 KTS AND STRONG SFC HEATING. FURTHERMORE...OBSERVED PROFILES/MESOANALYSIS DISPLAY SOME VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND EFFECTIVE SRH ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 M2/S2...HIGHLIGHTING THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR TWO AS WELL. AS SUCH...WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Impressive 16z sounding at Green Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 It's warned 1.25" hail report 1 mile NW of me. Seems a bit high with what I was seeing, but I was doing the "out the window" observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 And intuition plus a little science tells me this is only the appetizer for what may occur this evening. Yep. This should do it. Not humid at all so this is a good lightning show with wind/hail - less on the flooding side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Nice beautiful mint plant blown off the table, and the ceramic pot shattered. I need everyone over for mint juleps pronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Sorry for the damage. But I'll take you up on the julep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Lalapalooza gonna get a nice little storm...never fails Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Lalapalooza gonna get a nice little storm...never fails Yep, add a couple hundred thousand to their bill to the city now to resod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Facebook photo of hail from DKB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.