IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 How did they look North of city, too lazy to check if you don't mindGreat for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 any news on the srefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 SREF's are still warm for the city and points south and East what does that imply for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Great for you Thank you sir I appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 We do really well with these types of storm, here around EWR. We will see with tonights run. Still under a Winter Storm Watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Currently 21 Degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 21z SREF is a torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Until last Monday's storm...all of SNE was terribly overdue for snow. West of a line from Hartford down to New Haven...they are still running big time negative snow anomalies...Nature evens things out over the course of time. Remember, many parts of SNE average twice as much snow as the NYC area...and some of the higher spots in the Berkshires & Litchfield Hills average three and four times as much. That's a lot of ground to make up. I enjoy your posts Pamela, Whilst I do agree that Litchfield is in a snow deficit, Norwalk CT and Fairfield County in general, save 2011-2012, has been running on a surplus (average is 30 for Norwalk). This year Easton is 16.5. As for these type of events, I do fear icing as the CT shoreline tends to switch to sleet/freezing rain for an extended period. I expect 3-6 beforehand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Any news on the HRRR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Any news on the HRRR? Loading on my website still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Any news on the HRRR? out of range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Any news on the HRRR?Unusable until tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Any news on the HRRR? Can't really tell much anyway it only goes out 15hrs.. But it seems in line with guidance at the end, not that it matters HRRR isn't good till Sunday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Very early but the NAM looks flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Just a touch flatter, very minor differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Just a touch flatter, very minor differences The low seems a bitter faster no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I enjoy your posts Pamela, Whilst I do agree that Litchfield is in a snow deficit, Norwalk CT and Fairfield County in general, save 2011-2012, has been running on a surplus (average is 30 for Norwalk). This year Easton is 16.5. As for these type of events, I do fear icing as the CT shoreline tends to switch to sleet/freezing rain for an extended period. I expect 3-6 beforehand. Oh yes...Fairfield County has been extremely snowy relative to normal the last decade. My reference was to the winter in progress...and I might have improvidently drawn that line a bit too far to the east....especially as one heads toward the Sound as snow averages there can be compensated for in short order (i.e. last Monday's event). I haven't peaked at the 0z NAM yet...but those intermediate model runs from the SREF's did not sound encouraging. One would imagine that one would be safe (for all snow) from a line from Danbury over to Waterbury...but this storm has had its share of twists & turns...so I'm not sure where the boundary will set up at this point. Thank you for speaking well of me...kindness is always appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The low seems a bitter faster no? definitely faster than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 The low seems a bitter faster no?Just noise, looks like it wants to pinch off at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Just noise, looks like it wants to pinch off at H5. Heavier precip shield out west is much larger as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Dry till at least 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Many of our younger posters have seen too many major snow storms...so it's expected now.I remember how bad the 90s were with the exception of 95-96, so I guess I've seen both worlds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 WAA push is stronger, better front end dump imcomimg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Light snow before sunset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Can't really tell much anyway it only goes out 15hrs.. But it seems in line with guidance at the end, not that it matters HRRR isn't good till Sunday evening It nailed the last storm, so I'd pay close attention to it and the GFS. The Euro and NAM are both dead to me. SERFs are always too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Much stronger precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 Oh yes...Fairfield County has been extremely snowy relative to normal the last decade. My reference was to the winter in progress...and I might have improvidently drawn that line a bit too far to the east....especially as one heads toward the Sound as snow averages there can be compensated for in short order (i.e. last Monday's event). I haven't peaked at the 0z NAM yet...but those intermediate model runs from the SREF's did not sound encouraging. One would imagine that one would be safe (for all snow) from a line from Danbury over to Waterbury...but this storm has had its share of twists & turns...so I'm not sure where the boundary will set up at this point. Thank you for speaking well of me...kindness is always appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 1, 2015 Share Posted February 1, 2015 I agree the lack of blocking and the retreating storm is really killing us here. Let's hope the rest of the winter has more opportunities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 Much stronger precip shield I thought so, did u see out west how far the heavy snows expanded from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 1, 2015 Author Share Posted February 1, 2015 The difference in this run are significant in terms of initial WAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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