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2014/2015 New England Snowfall Predictions


HoarfrostHubb

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with incomplete data and variance in location unless you kept data at your house it's an assumption, simple science really. Yes I believe you average 58-65 per year but unless you can show me hard data your 1-2 range is an assumption

5 miles is close enough for everyone but you. There is no reason why Reading should differ from me....it's one town away and the same elevation. I def. don't average less because I'm a bit further inland. Your stance on this is silly because Reading is a viable coop.
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5 miles is close enough for everyone but you. There is no reason why Reading should differ from me....it's one town away and the same elevation. I def. don't average less because I'm a bit further inland. Your stance on this is silly because Reading is a viable coop.

yeah pretty lucky to have that close by but science is based on real data not assumed data, stating something as fact means there is concrete data to back it up. Reading is one of the few with solid data albeit missing several critical years which may indeed have increased your average beyond your 1-2 dead band.
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yeah pretty lucky to have that close by but science is based on real data not assumed data, stating something as fact means there is concrete data to back it up. Reading is one of the few with solid data albeit missing several critical years which may indeed have increased your average beyond your 1-2 dead band.

 

 

Seems like you are really nitpicking...a reliable coop within 5 miles and very few topographic features around seems pretty solid. Especially when another reliable coop like Bedford to his south-southwest is at 58" average. (we should expect Bedford to be a bit less).

 

 

I dunno, I guess unless you are arguing maybe a 3" margin of error vs 1.5". (but that's my definition of nitpicking on this context...but to each his own)

 

 

The data looks pretty concrete to me in his region with those two coops. I would probably say the area that is the weakest for data is SE MA...there just isn't very good data there. The best site is by far the East Wareham coop...but there is not much to the north of them until you get to Walpole which is iffy these days...the old Walpole coop was more reliable. Plymouth-Kingston is okay...not great.

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Seems like you are really nitpicking...a reliable coop within 5 miles and very few topographic features around seems pretty solid. Especially when another reliable coop like Bedford to his south-southwest is at 58" average. (we should expect Bedford to be a bit less).

I dunno, I guess unless you are arguing maybe a 3" margin of error vs 1.5". (but that's my definition of nitpicking on this context...but to each his own)

The data looks pretty concrete to me in his region with those two coops. I would probably say the area that is the weakest for data is SE MA...there just isn't very good data there. The best site is by far the East Wareham coop...but there is not much to the north of them until you get to Walpole which is iffy these days...the old Walpole coop was more reliable. Plymouth-Kingston is okay...not great.

probably, just saying 1-2 is a tight band with data being missed in critical times, but there is no doubt he's in the 58-65 range. What I did find out during my sick time long hours of research is that accurate consistent snow data is very hard to find, small distances vary greatly, elevation,longitude,latitude play a much greater role than I imagined.
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probably, just saying 1-2 is a tight band with data being missed in critical times, but there is no doubt he's in the 58-65 range. What I did find out during my sick time long hours of research is that accurate consistent snow data is very hard to find, small distances vary greatly, elevation,longitude,latitude play a much greater role than I imagined.

I do not average less than 62", unless you can give me a reason why Id average less than a town closer to the ocean. Complete nitpicking.
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  • 1 month later...

#PF 227

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Steve, that is uncanny.....I agree with your number just about exactly for my area.

I can guess which two analogs you are wighting most heavily.

We...might...go...all...the...........WAY

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  • 3 weeks later...

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