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downeastnc

4-25-14 Severe event

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Tornado watch up for the following counties

 

.    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALAMANCE             ANSON               BEAUFORT
BERTIE               CAMDEN              CASWELL
CHATHAM              CHOWAN              CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND           CURRITUCK           DARE
DAVIDSON             DUPLIN              DURHAM
EDGECOMBE            FORSYTH             FRANKLIN
GATES                GRANVILLE           GREENE
GUILFORD             HALIFAX             HARNETT
HERTFORD             HOKE                HYDE
JOHNSTON             JONES               LEE
LENOIR               MARTIN              MONTGOMERY
MOORE                NASH                NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW               ORANGE              PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK           PERQUIMANS          PERSON
PITT                 RANDOLPH            RICHMOND
ROCKINGHAM           SAMPSON             SCOTLAND
STANLY               TYRRELL             VANCE
WAKE                 WARREN              WASHINGTON
WAYNE                WILSON

 

 

Va

VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AMELIA               BRUNSWICK           CHARLES CITY
CHARLOTTE            CHESTERFIELD        DINWIDDIE
GREENSVILLE          HALIFAX             ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY           LUNENBURG           MECKLENBURG
NOTTOWAY             PITTSYLVANIA        PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE        SOUTHAMPTON         SURRY
SUSSEX               YORK

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Those cells east of Greensboro need to be watched they are the first ones of the day that have "the look" so far.....especially the one right on I40 just east of Greensboro

 

Rotation showing on now radar as well

 

Edit to add that is a big damn tornado watch area wise for around here....

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The National Weather Service has issued Tornado Watch 91 in
effect until 9 PM EDT this evening for the following areas

In North Carolina this watch includes 31 counties

In central North Carolina

Alamance              Anson                 Chatham             
Cumberland            Davidson              Durham              
Edgecombe             Forsyth               Franklin            
Granville             Guilford              Halifax             
Harnett               Hoke                  Johnston            
Lee                   Montgomery            Moore               
Nash                  Orange                person              
Randolph              Richmond              Sampson             
Scotland              Stanly                Vance               
wake                  Warren                Wayne               
Wilson               

 

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 91

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

120 PM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA

COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL

900 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...

A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE

SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOUTH

HILL VIRGINIA TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FAYETTEVILLE NORTH

CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WITHIN THE ERN NC/SE VA

WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON...AS WELL AS ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATER

THIS AFTERNOON INTO CENTRAL NC/S CENTRAL VA. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL

FAVOR SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES GIVEN THE INCREASE IN

INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THIS AFTERNOON...AND AN ISOLATED

STRONG TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WINDS

AND HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS THROUGH THIS

EVENING.

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from SPC the actual probabilities on the watch

 

:yikes:  40% chance strong tornado

 

Tornadoes
 

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

High (70%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes

Mod (40%)

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Those cells east of Greensboro need to be watched they are the first ones of the day that have "the look" so far.....especially the one right on I40 just east of Greensboro

 

Rotation showing on now radar as well

 

Edit to add that is a big damn tornado watch area wise for around here....

 

 

That aint no joke. They're getting organized quickly and moving NE towards my area. Hard to say but the converging bands may come right over top of here or slightly east.

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Most likely going to see first tornado warning of the day on the cell east of Greensboro its getting together quick and they could pull the trigger on a tor warning soon if it continues.

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Most likely going to see first tornado warning of the day on the cell east of Greensboro its getting together quick and they could pull the trigger on a tor warning soon if it continues.

Not really seeing much there, if there is anything, it's very broad.

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Not really seeing much there, if there is anything, it's very broad.

 

Yeah it tried to get tighter for a scan or two but its not so much to see now......a lot of close storms there could make it tough for one to get going there....

 

Might need to watch the ones SW of the triangle they are more discrete and might have a better shot and unfortunately they are headed for Raleigh metro so would have a bigger impact if they can get spun up.

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Just outside Burlington...

 

Time: 2014-04-25 17:38 UTC
Event: 1 HAIL
Source: TRAINED SPOTTER
Remark: QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN GRAHAM

 

Watching that Fayetteville cluster closely. I better go finish up the mowing...

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Its about to get nasty. Storms coming in from the S/W and alot of thunder off in the distance.

 

That cell near Graham and Burlington damn... 65-75 dbz hail city. If the trajectory is right as Im think the worse part of that cell may come pretty close tp mby

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So far nothing has been able to get organized rotation wise, lots of trash and storms cutting each other off, have seen some impressive dbz in a few cells some big hail reports would not be surprising.

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the cell near Fayetteville is really intense now

I take that back, there's the one cell that does look impressive, lol. Tops to 45,000 now.

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