Baum Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 has no support but it's about 1 more shift east from being a nice hit for NW portions of Chicagoland, including Geos. It would only make sense that our flood begins with a thump snow ...this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 sim radar on that NAM run is wild, we dryslot and 850s start crashing right as low top convection swings through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Rgem just a little left of the nam. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I give up this winter gone are the days where 3 days out you had a good idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Gfs left of rgem. La crosse mixes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 12z gfs even steps west quite a bit with heaviest snows in the UP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 lol NAM chuckin' em deep all by itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 pretty easy to punt on the NAM at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 One day to go and still no idea what's gonna happen. Tomorrow is a nowcast hour by hour. Preparing the MN house now for a major thump of snow, driving back to Chicago tonight to prep that house for flooding. All bases covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 It would only make sense that our flood begins with a thump snow ...this year. Haha. Even though I don't want to see flooding, I don't want to deal with concrete snow tomorrow morning either. Dry slot hopefully. Point and click says little no accumulation for anything but rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 One day to go and still no idea what's gonna happen. Tomorrow is a nowcast hour by hour. Preparing the MN house now for a major thump of snow, driving back to Chicago tonight to prep that house for flooding. All bases covered.If I were a Hedger, I put my money on the GFS..... and just a little on the NAM so there was no chance I'd go home empty handed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Haha. Even though I don't want to see flooding, I don't want to deal with concrete snow tomorrow morning either. Dry slot hopefully. Point and click says little no accumulation for anything but rain. OK! where's Geos? willing a dry slot, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 OK! where's Geos? willing a dry slot, really? I know a few people that live in flood prone areas (when frozen ground is an issue) and my basement likes to take on water in these situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Worlds apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I give up this winter gone are the days where 3 days out you had a good idea We never had those days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 WIld...models never agreed, but I feel this year they have been more all over the place than in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 ARW & NMM are apparently coming in SE, so much so that they're worlds apart from the GFS. Info credit: Mr. Money Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 moneyman rules front end hit for Geos. 850s actually close to 0 right when the heavy slug pushes into Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 12z hi res NMM taking the low just west of STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 ARW at HR 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Tomorrow going to be interesting regardless of what happens. Model chaos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 850 low even on the more south/east solutions looks way too far nw for meaningful defo snow in N. IL and one of the major issues i have with the NAM solution...that and limited support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Scratch that, right over STL to IKK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 12z hi res NMM taking the low just west of STL. over Rantoul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 it's gonna have that same killer band of convection thursday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 it's gonna have that same killer band of convection thursday evening. Like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 it's gonna have that same killer band of convection thursday evening. Reminds me of 3/2/12 That was an awesome changeover event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 There are some SREF solutions that support a NAM type track with the surface low but not a majority and the mean is around RFD to Green Bay. Given that and the other models, would think the NAM would correct west at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 would be amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2-4" seems like a good starting point.. we ramp up at 0z if needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.