Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 And Friv just high fived the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 and I'll give it a high 5 myself I bet.. gotta see 78 QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hmm im too young to remember, but I know most of the maps I am looking at showed 6 - 12 inches through the majority of Ohio, but hey at this point 5" is better than nothing lol no, not in '93....that was definitely an eastern and southeeastern OH event. From about i-71 west, pretty much nothing. '96 on the othe hand was a central and southern event....but i believe the nw and extreme north got little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 and I'll give it a high 5 myself I bet.. gotta see 78 QPF... Simulated radar at 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The models are sticking to their guns. NAM right now is at the crucial point that decides whether this is a monster bomb off the east coast or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 And Friv just high fived the 18z NAM. Nah, printing it out and going to the bathroom. jk. I have a hard time a 50-100 mile wide band of very heavy snow forms and dumps nearly .40 qpf in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 no, not in '93....that was definitely an eastern and southeeastern OH event. From about i-71 west, pretty much nothing. '96 on the othe hand was a central and southern event....but i believe the nw and extreme north got little. This look accurate for the '96 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 you pitt folk are good people.... kinda in that forgotten area like us here in ohio..lol anyways, 18z nam continues the slow down...wow LOL! Yes...I kind of have to prod to get info out of people in the model threads without being so blatant as to get banned for asking IMBY posts...We need to get some more Mets from this area posting on here somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Nah, printing it out and going to the bathroom. jk. I have a hard time a 50-100 mile wide band of very heavy snow forms and dumps nearly .40 qpf in 6 hours. QPF amounts are actually quite realistic. A ton of moisture and a sufficiently strong PV...it really doesn't take much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I like the sim radar at 78... looks pretty good to me. I'm so seriously trying to contain myself remembering it's an 18z run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 this doesn't smell like it ends good for anyone not on the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 To be honest, just have very little confidence...there is a reason why truly historic bombing out storms like the one being shown are so rare....everything has to go right. You come from a great city my friend. My family is orginally from there one day I will be back I hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 no, not in '93....that was definitely an eastern and southeeastern OH event. From about i-71 west, pretty much nothing. '96 on the othe hand was a central and southern event....but i believe the nw and extreme north got little. doesnt look all that bad for being a eastern storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 this doesn't smell like it ends good for anyone not on the east coast Yeah 18Z NAM is on a beeline towards the GOM. I still find that solution the most realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 QPF amounts are actually quite realistic. A ton of moisture and a sufficiently strong PV...it really doesn't take much. the big H5 vort in Canada is quite a bit further North. The one in NE Canada..is this allowing the system to be north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 this doesn't smell like it ends good for anyone not on the east coast hey, where's the 850 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBerg Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not sure I would get too excited about the 18Z run of the NAM. If we're seeing the same thing on the next 00Z run, then we may have something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This look accurate for the '96 storm? yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I like the sim radar at 78... looks pretty good to me. I'm so seriously trying to contain myself remembering it's an 18z run.... I am not sure how well the NAM or Euro has been doing in this region but for the SE they both have had the trend to really ramp up precip totals once the event got within 48 hours or so. If you guys have been experiencing the same type of trends the past couple of months then I would expect at least some increases in the totals for the area. Even though it is the 18z NAM this may be what it is beginning to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hey, where's the 850 low anyone post the euro ensembles? any inlands on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 84 hour snow/ice on the ground 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 doesnt look all that bad for being a eastern storm meh, the cutoff was much sharper than that. Trust me, i lived in hilliard and we got 4.....i bet pickerington got 8...zanesville a foot....etc. and sun breaking thru in dayton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 must have some sleet in there since we would of been well over .50 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 anyone post the euro ensembles? any inlands on it? I wouldn't expect any app runners, it would almost be impossible right now as it would need to track straight N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not sure I would get too excited about the 18Z run of the NAM. If we're seeing the same thing on the next 00Z run, then we may have something. Welcome! Love seeing more and more red taggers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 84 hour snow/ice on the ground 18z NAM beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 meh, the cutoff was much sharper than that. Trust me, i lived in hilliard and we got 4.....i bet pickerington got 8...zanesville a foot....etc. and sun breaking thru in dayton. I trust you, like I said i wasnt very old back then. just turned 9. haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I see some places in missouri and iowa getting 3-6 inches but it just doesn't look as impressive as it should with the gulf open and the placement of the low. Looks like the EC low is shearing the storm out as it moves east. Wouldn't that EC storm not allow it to intensify and ride the coast north like the euro showed? Or is a monsterous phased storm able to push the EC storm out of the way? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I wouldn't expect any app runners, it would almost be impossible right now as it would need to track straight N. it would have to phase earlier. The ridging ahead of the trough still seems like crap until it about hits the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 anyone post the euro ensembles? any inlands on it? Harry's not around his board, and he's the only one I know who has access to them. The EURO ensemble mean is apparently a hair east of the OP, but that doesn't preclude there being a lot of range among the individual members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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