buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If you're at cmh the euro is good. But east/north east of Columbus around newark, zanesville, coshocton, half falls as zr. Dilly whats text qpf totals for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 have to be cautious with the euro. I remember leading up to the boxing day storm in Dec'12 the euro consistently showed CMH staying around 0 850 and we ended up with a good amount of mix and sleet. I think there is good reason to believe the eventual nowcast will wobble nw, so we're gonna need a little more buffer to stay all snow and avoid ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 1.14 roughly on the euro. That's zzv, but I'm 35 miles north of there fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Gets to 1.5° at 850 for a time when .44 of that falls. Idk. Makes me nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Gets to 1.5° at 850 for a time when .44 of that falls. Idk. Makes me nervous. details this far out....still to be ironed out. by the way, euro is Ohio Valley weather porn thru 168. Another storm around day 6, most of Ohio has 15-20" snow depth...more actually for the river valley which gets hit the hardest with the day6 storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 have to be cautious with the euro. I remember leading up to the boxing day storm in Dec'12 the euro consistently showed CMH staying around 0 850 and we ended up with a good amount of mix and sleet. I think there is good reason to believe the eventual nowcast will wobble nw, so we're gonna need a little more buffer to stay all snow and avoid ice. Yep. Boxing Day 2012 looked so good for Ohio for days. In the end, it was a quick thump of decent snows 3-6", with a TROWAL over Southern Michigan and Northern Indiana that missed us ... a far cry from the 8-12" that was pegged for days on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yep. Boxing Day 2012 looked so good for Ohio for days. In the end, it was a quick thump of decent snows 3-6", with a TROWAL over Southern Michigan and Northern Indiana that missed us ... a far cry from the 8-12" that was pegged for days on end. We actually got 4" on the backside out of that but it was sleet the first half. Todays12z are going to tell the tale whether this comes nw....I don't feel anymore or less confident than I did 2 days ago. I noticed the 6z rgem is nw so that could be a precursor. Euro ens are still rock solid so who knows. rgem sometimes does this at 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We actually got 4" on the backside out of that but it was sleet the first half. Todays12z are going to tell the tale whether this comes nw....I don't feel anymore or less confident than I did 2 days ago. I noticed the 6z rgem is nw so that could be a precursor. Euro ens are still rock solid so who knows. rgem sometimes does this at 48. Look at this past weekend. That storm started trending NW 36 hours before with several models showing a 6-8" swath north of Chicago to the middle of Michigan ... And look how that turned out. Inevitably, that storm's main snow band set up just to the west of Detroit and even then the models were surely overdone with cold sector QPF. Euro is still an incredible hit here, its consistency has been noted for this event, but its track record for Ohio this winter hasn't been it's usual self. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Look at this past weekend. That storm started trending NW 36 hours before with several models showing a 6-8" swath north of Chicago to the middle of Michigan ... And look how that turned out. Inevitably, that storm's main snow band set up just to the west of Detroit and even then the models were surely overdone with cold sector QPF. Euro is still an incredible hit here, its consistency has been noted for this event, but its track record for Ohio this winter hasn't been it's usual self. also regarding the rgem, didn't it go nw bonkers before the Jan 5th storm? If I recall it had some runs that showed LAF getting rain. so use to getting burned, I can't even feel comfortable when the euro and gfs on the same team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 also regarding the rgem, didn't it go nw bonkers before the Jan 5th storm? If I recall it had some runs that showed LAF getting rain. so use to getting burned, I can't even feel comfortable when the euro and gfs on the same team. What? You're dissing the Canadian, UKIE and JMA? LOL Not to mention look at how we made fun of the Euro a couple of weekends ago for blowing it with those clippers. It is just hard to imagine the NAM would score a coupe versus ALL other models. Now, having said that, I am thinking we get a lot of sleet and very little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What? You're dissing the Canadian, UKIE and JMA? LOL Not to mention look at how we made fun of the Euro a couple of weekends ago for blowing it with those clippers. It is just hard to imagine the NAM would score a coupe versus ALL other models. Now, having said that, I am thinking we get a lot of sleet and very little snow. Pretty sure the NAM was by itself until at least 48 maybe 36 hours out. At least between the NAM, Euro, and GFS. Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Bit surprised ILN went with 5-10" for CMH in their WSW. No mention of icing potential? Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Pretty sure the NAM was by itself until at least 48 maybe 36 hours out. At least between the NAM, Euro, and GFS. Sent from my TF300T In regards to what storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 In regards to what storm? Oops LOL I typed it in my head! I was talking about Jan 5th Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Bit surprised ILN went with 5-10" for CMH in their WSW. No mention of icing potential? Sent from my TF300T I know, but in their discussion they talk about the NAM and the ice potential. Weird! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Oops LOL I typed it in my head! I was talking about Jan 5th Sent from my TF300T What did the NAM show until 36 hours out for that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What did the NAM show until 36 hours out for that one? IIRC it was the one showing the low going west of Dayton. GFS kept it in eastern KY and the Euro was in between. Euro might have been closer to the NAM by 36 hours, can't remember for sure. Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 What did the NAM show until 36 hours out for that one? I don't remember where the nam was with that one. I do remember the day before the storm the rgem was amping it pretty hard and bringing rain into Indy and up to LAF.... I remember Hoosier and Chicagowx freaking out over it....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 IIRC it was the one showing the low going west of Dayton. GFS kept it in eastern KY and the Euro was in between. Euro might have been closer to the NAM by 36 hours, can't remember for sure. Sent from my TF300T So you are saying the it was actually the NAM that was closer to what happened, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Went out and hastily shot a couple of pictures here in Athens...we got around 6.5" and it is still snowing some. Very wet snow that stuck to everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 IIRC it was the one showing the low going west of Dayton. GFS kept it in eastern KY and the Euro was in between. Euro might have been closer to the NAM by 36 hours, can't remember for sure. Sent from my TF300T what was the actual track of that storm? Was it right over cmh?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah I recall being shocked that the NAM scored after being so far NW. But i don't remember the actual track, Buckeye. I wanta say it was west of CMH though like closer to DAY. Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice pic! Congrats man! Sent from my TF300T using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Went out and hastily shot a couple of pictures here in Athens...we got around 6.5" and it is still snowing some. Very wet snow that stuck to everything. 2-3 snow pic.jpg beautiful...now get a pic of the Ridges speaking of southern OH snow, I was wondering if that increases icestorm chances further south now that there's a solid blanket of snow down there....we still have a crusty covering here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 beautiful...now get a pic of the Ridges speaking of southern OH snow, I was wondering if that increases icestorm chances further south now that there's a solid blanket of snow down there....we still have a crusty covering here. Also, that storm keeps creeping more northward on the coast. I assume that means stronger? So that would have implications on this one Wed, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah I recall being shocked that the NAM scored after being so far NW. But i don't remember the actual track, Buckeye. I wanta say it was west of CMH though like closer to DAY. Sent from my TF300T if any model is going to score the nw coupe...it'll always be the nam. Looking at the srefs, I don't think we'll see any wholesale changes on the 12z nam..but I've been surprised before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Also, that storm keeps creeping more northward on the coast. I assume that means stronger? So that would have implications on this one Wed, right? I would think stronger would pull the front further south, but I'm not sure if that would really effect the storm coming up from the sw a day and a half later... above my pay grade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice pic! Congrats man! Sent from my TF300T Thanks! beautiful...now get a pic of the Ridges speaking of southern OH snow, I was wondering if that increases icestorm chances further south now that there's a solid blanket of snow down there....we still have a crusty covering here. I would, but I really don't feel like hiking up there right now The snow pack may make a small difference and the GFS insists that temps won't get much above freezing here, but I think if a stronger surface low plays out than what the GFS shows I'll go above freezing pretty quickly regardless. I think there may be bigger fish to fry this weekend, at least along the Ohio River, so that's what I have my eyes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherzen Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 "Went out and hastily shot a couple of pictures here in Athens...we got around 6.5" and it is still snowing some. Very wet snow that stuck to everything".Nice! "Dirty South" Green looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Ouch...nam with a big ice storm. Possibly over 1/2" Sent from my XT1060 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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