UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Moderate wind blown snow falling now just under an inch on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 3-6" is gonna be the general rule for the Mid HV w/ areas in extreme SE areas receiving 6-8". Hey if i get 6" I'm gonna take it and run! lol.. Earthlight posted a graphic that showed heaviest access of snow as well as areas that could see 1-2 inch rates per hour. Looks like that line cuts through the middle of Orange County, I'm hoping we can get into that but I'll be happy to get 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Moderate wind blown snow falling now just under an inch on the ground At home or work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Earthlight posted a graphic that showed heaviest access of snow as well as areas that could see 1-2 inch rates per hour. Looks like that line cuts through the middle of Orange County, I'm hoping we can get into that but I'll be happy to get 6 I think you are referring to the SPC Mesoscale Discussion, you have a better shot at getting in on that than I. The 10 or so miles that you are further south will certainly work in your favor in this storm. Those inside the blue on that are sure to have lots of fun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yeah I remember you mentioning in the past you knew the area. It's funny cause I never think of it as that much elevation- but it clearly makes a difference with some of these storms. School Rd can be treacherous with snow on it! Really? lol.. That area is mostly 1000'-1300'. Leads right up to Mt Peter & Sterling forest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I think you are referring to the SPC Mesoscale Discussion, you have a better shot at getting in on that than I. The 10 or so miles that you are further south will certainly work in your favor in this storm. Those inside the blue on that are sure to have lots of fun today.Yup- think that was it. Seems like every few miles can make a difference with this particular storm. So I'm curbing my optimism. The blue zone is definitely the fun zone for this one. Let's hope the next storm takes care of us suburbanites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Flurries here w/ a temp of 15f Still only 0.5" of new snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yup- think that was it. Seems like every few miles can make a difference with this particular storm. So I'm curbing my optimism. The blue zone is definitely the fun zone for this one. Let's hope the next storm takes care of us suburbanites Hey, I'm just glad we'll have some snow on the ground with the cold weather moving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Really? lol.. That area is mostly 1000'-1300'. Leads right up to Mt Peter & Sterling forest. Lol - guess cause I ski the Midwest and when I think of high elevation I'm thinking Rockies. Plus I've lived in this area so long you get immune to it when your driving the roads every day. Although i do hunt Sterling and it sure is a b**ch hiking in to some of our spots. But you've made me rethink it so I'll be appreciating my local elevation more lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hey, I'm just glad we'll have some snow on the ground with the cold weather moving it. Amen to that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Coastals really starting to bomb, next hour or two should be really interesting, hopefully that Coastal expands precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Lol - guess cause I ski the Midwest and when I think of high elevation I'm thinking Rockies. Plus I've lived in this area so long you get immune to it when your driving the roads every day. Although i do hunt Sterling and it sure is a b**ch hiking in to some of our spots. But you've made me rethink it so I'll be appreciating my local elevation more lol lol.. As for Orange county the only other place that has similar elevation to MBY is probably SE Orange County. Just to my west all properties sit at or above 1000' and rise to about 1300'. Ive lived in your area for 10 yrs so I know the feeling. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Coastals really starting to bomb, next hour or two should be really interesting, hopefully that Coastal expands precip shield Parts of LI may exceed 18" from this. We may be lucky to see 6" in some spots. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow has picked up in intensity within the last 10 mins.. Lgt to Mod snow falling now.. Temp holding at 14f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow has picked up in intensity within the last 10 mins.. Lgt to Mod snow falling now.. Temp holding at 14f Still light snow here IMBY. Only 1/4"(dusting) down so far. Temp 15.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow has picked up in intensity within the last 10 mins.. Lgt to Mod snow falling now.. Temp holding at 14f Same here. Hopefully it's a good sign if things are picking up by your way too. Just need that precip field to keep expanding for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Same here. Hopefully it's a good sign if things are picking up by your way too. Just need that precip field to keep expanding for us As fast as it picks up it drops down to flurries. If we don't start seeing an expansion of the precip field soon this may be it for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Snow has picked up in intensity within the last 10 mins.. Lgt to Mod snow falling now.. Temp holding at 14f Ive noticed the flake size is beginning to grow, thats a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 As fast as it picks up it drops down to flurries. If we don't start seeing an expansion of the precip field soon this may be it for us. Keep the faith - sounds like it's a slow mover. If once the coastal cranks up and we don't start seeing improvement - we can meet at a bar to lament lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Been steady light/moderate here for a few hours a little over an inch here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Sun starting to dimly shine. A few very small flakes so far. There's a storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just heard that its not doing anything near Pine Bush, that shows how close the cutoff can be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Just some flurries here in the Poconos, had a decent burst of moderate snow several hours ago. Dry air is really eating away at the precip here in Nepa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 From NWS Albany: AS OF 1230 PM EST...VERY IMPRESSIVE FGEN/DEFORMATION BAND HASDEVELOPED OVER CENTRAL NJ AND ACROSS LONG ISLAND. THIS SEEMS TOHAVE ASSISTED WITH CONSOLIDATING THE SNOW ACROSS OUR SOUTHERNZONES WITH THE LATEST HRRR/RUC13 SUGGESTING A BIT LOWER QPF.HOWEVER...EVEN WITH THE LOWER QPF...SEEMS THE SNOW RATIO IS A BITHIGHER SO NO CHANGES TO THE HEADLINES AT THE PRESENT TIME. MAINUPDATE WAS TO SHRINK AND CONSOLIDATE THE POPS/WX GRIDS AND SLIGHTDOWNWARD TREND IN THE QPFS. DID LOWER TEMPS A BIT TOO PER CURRENTOBSERVATIONS AND TRENDS SEEN IN THE 12Z MOS AND HOURLY LAV/LAMP. We've had nothing but flurries here all day, but the snow is starting to show a little bit of a northward trajectory rather than ENE, so it should pick up a little shortly. But I'm thinking seeing anything more than a few inches will be a stretch. 1-3" might do it around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 We've had nothing but flurries here all day, but the snow is starting to show a little bit of a northward trajectory rather than ENE, so it should pick up a little shortly. But I'm thinking seeing anything more than a few inches will be a stretch. 1-3" might do it around here. Sounds right. Folks are quick to assume these cold surface temps = epic ratios, but if we stay in mediocre forcing or even subsidence from the deathband, it'll all be for naught. On the other hand, knowing there is the potential for high ratios, an uptick in precip intensity could drop a quick 4" here and there. Not our storm, so I'll be happy with whatever we get to whiten up the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 this thread is more forgiving than the others... so i'll say it here. might be a weeniecast, but it looks like the stuff building in e pa is making a run more north than east... and that's going to deliver for us.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Starting to pick up somewhat here by me - winds are kicking up too. 13F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 this thread is more forgiving than the others... so i'll say it here. might be a weeniecast, but it looks like the stuff building in e pa is making a run more north than east... and that's going to deliver for us.... It's ok- you can get away with that in here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 That heavy band is expanding north into lower Hudson valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 very very lgt snow.. Temp of 13f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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