IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Upton also smelling the coffee this afternoon and increasing rainfall totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 HPC updated 7 day totals. With such high amounts in the gulf coast region makes me believe they are considering a tropical distrubance for that time period. The bullseye matches the GGEM "landfall" well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Hey guys, I'm coming up your way tomorrow for the NYY-TEX game at 1:05...any worries about delay/postponement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 NAM pretty dry through Saturday ...about .75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 NAM pretty dry through Saturday ...about .75"The 00z GFS remains very wet. 2-4" over the next five days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 The 06z NAM was between 1.25-1.50" of rain with much more as you move northwest. It was about 2.5" for the far NW corner of NJ. The 06z GFS was focused further east with between 2.0" and 2.5" of rain for the next four days focused over eastern NJ and with 3.0"+ amounts from the Jersey shore north and eastward. The GFS has been much more consistent over the past few days than the NAM. Either way, HPC is highlighting the region for a slight risk of flash flooding today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 If...the 12z NAM is correct it keeps the main precip batch today northwest of NYC and from about the city eastward over the weekend. Would leave a bit of a "rain hole" over extreme NE NJ and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 If...the 12z NAM is correct it keeps the main precip batch today northwest of NYC and from about the city eastward over the weekend. Would leave a bit of a "rain hole" over extreme NE NJ and NYC. any scenario seems possible ..going to be very hit and miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 27, 2013 Author Share Posted June 27, 2013 The 12z guidance looks more optimistic through the next 48 hrs than the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 The 12z guidance looks more optimistic through the next 48 hrs than the last few days. PR_000-048_0000.gif I like how you cherry picked the dryest guidance to say that lol The 12z GFS is plenty wet. 2-3"+ over the next four days with more to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 So weekends completley washed out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 So weekends completley washed out? No. The GFS is mostly dry tomorrow and Saturday with scattered showers/storms. It has most of the rain tonight and again on Sunday. At this point I don't think we're seeing any washouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 27, 2013 Author Share Posted June 27, 2013 I like how you cherry picked the dryest guidance to say that lol The 12z GFS is plenty wet. 2-3"+ over the next four days with more to come. What are you talking about? The GFS has the same theme through the next 48 hrs. Beyond that we'll have to watch where later runs place the heaviest rainfall. But this is a long term potential anyway over many days to a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 The GFS has been pretty consistent on another surge of 2"+ Pwats on Sunday and Monday. I don't think it will be a complete washout. But I think we could see multiple rounds of showers and t-storms both days. Localized flooding will be the main threat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 Since everything will be very convective than I think it's highly possible many places will bust in either direction, so I'm not putting too much stock on exact rainfall amounts. All you is a few strong storms that end up training over you and you pick up 2-3"+ amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 27, 2013 Share Posted June 27, 2013 18z GFS continuing general theme of nailing the US east coast over the next two weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 That was one of the wettest GFS runs for the next seven days that we have had recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 18z GFS continuing general theme of nailing the US east coast over the next two weeks how many times can you post the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 how many times can you post the same thing How many times are you going to troll a thread? Take that number and divide by two and you'll have your answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 12z Euro for NYC: Mon, July 1st: 1"-1.25" of rain. An all day event (high temp of 76-80) Tue, July 2nd: 1"-1.25" of rain. An all day event (high temp of 76-80) Wed, July 3rd: Scattered rain (high temp of 80-85) Thur, July 4th: .60"-.75" of rain from 8am to 8pm (high temp of 75-79) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Euro has 2"-3" of rain areawide starting tomorrow evening and right through Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 What did the Euro have today for rain over the next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 What did the Euro have today for rain over the next week? sun night - wed morning : 2 - 3 inches area wide. mon into tue looks the wettest. More sattered by wed and more isolated by thu/fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 Lack of heavy showers over NE NJ and NYC today. The best convergence this afternoon was with stalled front to our NW. Also little shortwave going to our east, robbed us of some dynamics: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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