Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 72.2/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Logan back around to NE...that was short lived. But ... credit to the NAM for seeing SWerlies during the morning at least. My wind appears to have back also into the E or even ENE here in Ayer. We've been getting sky-light sun splashes for that past hour and a half, and the temp went to 71, but it feels like it's cooled back a few since the wind turned back around. There's just not enough deep layer push to really get the warm front back through the area. I'm still thinking, however, that the convection has some hybrid warm frontal characteristic and may finally scour out. Watch tomorrow pop to 86/70, ...if for no other reason, just make the MOS busting complete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Deep deep sun and warm sector here AFTERNOON..com/user/TollandKev/media/image-1_zpsfd504836.jpg.html][/url] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 4-5pm highs today most likely...been a slow process like watching paint dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Make a trip up to the top of Mt Wachusett if you want to torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Make a trip up to the top of Mt Wachusett if you want to torch.We torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Deep deep sun and warm sector here AFTERNOON..com/user/TollandKev/media/image-1_zpsfd504836.jpg.html][/url] The boundary is amorphous ...you are not truly in the deep layer warmth yet. You're in the neutral zone. Scott, we knew yesterday ...that BD incursion turned out to be under-modeled; too aggressive, too dense, too heavy to turn things around given the amount of counter-balancing forcing for warm frontal movement. Just overwhelmed it, and still its on going as the easterlies are fighting back. I'm wondering, however, if it doesn't get as far inland this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Slow process...its like watching paint dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 The boundary is amorphous ...you are not truly in the deep layer warmth yet. You're in the neutral zone. Scott, we knew yesterday ...that BD incursion turned out to be under-modeled; too aggressive, too dense, too heavy to turn things around given the amount of counter-balancing forcing for warm frontal movement. Just overwhelmed it, and still its on going as the easterlies are fighting back. I'm wondering, however, if it doesn't get as far inland this time. With the low approaching from the west tonight...no way those east winds get far. Tomorrow will be juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Kevin's favorite model, the NOGAPS has the season's last snow for this weekend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 The boundary is amorphous ...you are not truly in the deep layer warmth yet. You're in the neutral zone. Scott, we knew yesterday ...that BD incursion turned out to be under-modeled; too aggressive, too dense, too heavy to turn things around given the amount of counter-balancing forcing for warm frontal movement. Just overwhelmed it, and still its on going as the easterlies are fighting back. I'm wondering, however, if it doesn't get as far inland this time. Its warm , it's sunny, it's humid . As far as I'm concerned I'm in the warm sector. Fook this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 no 80's for today. stuck in the muck here and high 60's.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Its warm , it's sunny, it's humid . As far as I'm concerned I'm in the warm sector. Fook this weekend Ha haaa.... I'm just busted balls...but technically...heh. Re the weekend -- I seriously hope that happens. Oh pleazy weazy with a cherry on top, make that happen. Lord.... please, I pray.... What's awesome there is that by the end of next week there are some precursors in the large scale circulation that suggest bona fide 90+ torridity is in the cards. I love anarchy in the skies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 challenging forecast next week. wondering if we see boundary slide south of us and force cool/damp low level marine layer into SNE for some period of time later tue-thur Yeah it may be quite the airmass change going from Tuesday to Wednesday or so. one of those stretches where the difference in sensible weather could be huge either across SNE or just in general for the region. anecdotally it seems like everything has verified stronger/colder to our north - complete opposite of the last few springs it feels like - so i hesitate to go against that boundary sagging south and flipping the LL flow to the east yeah. perhaps this week it's the more typical marine influence that holds temps in check. it's all in the lowest levels though so i just don't know (the week ahead). euro definitely runs that little wave along and drives the front S...but the 850s never really respond so it's all like the bottom couple thousand feet. could be a disaster if it locks in like that. but conversely if you break out into sun, it's so shallow, you could be OK. guess it's only saturday so things will change. Looking forward to a nice summery week that BOX is forecasting . Hope they're right LOL from Saturday. have to bump this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 LOL from Saturday. have to bump this.Well a 12 hour period of backdoor with 4-5 days of summer ain't bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Good posts from Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Funny how the Berkshires are the warmest right now in SNE...temps even in the upper 70s in some spots there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Well a 12 hour period of backdoor with 4-5 days of summer ain't bad thurs and Fri don't look all that summery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 boundary definitely just slid back south of this area. wind shifted to the north and temp just fell from 70F to 60F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Temp continues to rise. 74.8/68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Weird day down here. Started out warm...then back door came through with sheet drizzle and cloudy sky's. Now filtered sunshine and humid here. Great forecasting by scooter and Phil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Weird day down here. Started out warm...then back door came through with sheet drizzle and cloudy sky's. Now filtered sunshine and humid here. Great forecasting by scooter and Phil LOL, did not think NYC would bust like that. This certainly surprised me. Didn't like it up here..but even NYC got backdoored almost all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Actually...the Euro isn't far from the NOGAPs -- it just has the cold pocket in central NYS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 75.1/69. Man is it sticky out there. May not hit 80 here but BDL will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Starting to think we're about done for highs for today, actually... If you loop this image, you can see that a meso cool pool has been created by that convection activity, and is moving straight in this direction... The real warmth is way back in PA still... Also an interesting feature, you can see that the backdoor air mass has formulated into a meso-beta scale anticyclone, and spins clockwise on the lower Jersey area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 22, 2013 Author Share Posted May 22, 2013 Meh. back below 70 here in Ayer... FIT down to 70 now ...both with E wind... warm front failure, big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 60 is the high so far at CON. Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 Guess it just depends on where you are. Not a phail pike south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted May 22, 2013 Share Posted May 22, 2013 High of 66.4 earlier, now down to 62. Feels great, but a little muggy. I'd rather have this then 80 with a Td of 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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