Chicago WX Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Nah, I'm sticking with 6". Nutso amounts to my NW. Hope you bust low. 32/30 at 10am at LAF. Up to 0.81" storm total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 .NEAR TERM /REST OF TODAY/...ISSUED AT 957 AM EST TUE FEB 26 2013BASED ON REPORTS FROM NORTHERN THIRD TO HALF OF THE FORECASTAREA...APPEARS THAT ICE IS ACCUMULATING ON TREES...POWERLINES...AND ELEVATED SURFACES...FAIRLY EFFICIENTLY IN SOME AREAS.SURFACE WETBULB TEMPS OFF RAPID REFRESH REMAIN BORDERLINE ACROSSOUR NORTH THROUGH MIDDAY...AND THUS EXPECT TEMPS TO REMAIN NEARTHE FREEZING MARK OR JUST ABOVE. WHILE THIS MAY NOT HAVESIGNIFICANT IMPACT FOR ROADS...ELEVATED SURFACES WILL CONTINUE TOACCUMULATE ICE...WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME BRANCHES TO FALL AND/ORPOWER LINES TO BE IMPACTED...ESPECIALLY WITH WINDS CONTINUING TOBE GUSTY. THUS...HAVE CHOSEN TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY THROUGH 1 PMEST. Sounds like a reasonable decision. Saw some trees starting to droop a bit on the drive in and one messed up stoplight. Not much accums in downtown LAF/Wlaf but in more open areas. Just enough of an urban heat island effect in a marginal situation, I guess. Doesn't look like temps are going to budge for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 0828 AM HEAVY SNOW MORRIS 41.37N 88.43W02/26/2013 E0.0 INCH GRUNDY IL TRAINED SPOTTERMODERATE WINDBLOWN SNOW JUST BEGINNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 epic stretch for KC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Another NAM run another blitzing. Key thing to keep an eye on today is temps. We jumped to 1.6c at the sfc as of 9am at YYZ. Don't want that number to get too out of hand. Sunny and sitting right at 32F right now here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Hope you bust low. 32/30 at 10am at LAF. Up to 0.81" storm total. what was average model qpf down there yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordoFabulous Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 All plain rain in Muncie with a little bit of ice clinging to the trees, not enough to see any significant bending. I'm happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Sounds like a reasonable decision. Saw some trees starting to droop a bit on the drive in and one messed up stoplight. Not much accums in downtown LAF/Wlaf but in more open areas. Just enough of an urban heat island effect in a marginal situation, I guess. Doesn't look like temps are going to budge for a while. It's teetering. My car in the lot has ice on it, but it's "slushy". The big pine trees on the west side of the complex here are a little saggy at the top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Nah, I'm sticking with 6". Nutso amounts to my NW. I'm still shocked to see EC not pulling any warnings let alone some watches. Were less than 12 hours away from this storm beginning. This is creating a bad reputation for EC as if they dont already have one, lol . I'm still in line with my forecast from yesterday, lets see if anything changes through the day. Temperatures are key, this storm's juicy, **** why cant it be a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 what was average model qpf down there yesterday? Ballpark of 1.00-1.25". Newest NAM has 1.70" total, but that includes wrap around stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Sunny and sitting right at 32F right now here. Toronto's the hot spot. The flow off the warm lake waters is hurting us a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLMKA Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Heavy snow switched to rain in Peoria around 0730. Had 1.5" of cement on my car before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Temperature is up to 33 here with overcast skies. I'm going to stick with my 6-8" call. No way I see 10-12" in my backyard. Temperatures are too marginal, ground isn't all that cold. I think 10" worth of snow may fall from the sky, but don't think that amount will accumulate. Yes, there was December 1992, but that was in mid December, when the sun angle was it's lowest. Once the sun comes up tomorrow, there's no way we'll accumulate much. This is going to be a slush storm. EC may be making the right call for the city of Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 DMX finally decided to go with an advisory for 3-6", heavier on the SE end of the WWA. Nice surprise after nail biting this over the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Hope you bust low. 32/30 at 10am at LAF. Up to 0.81" storm total. Me too. We'll see. So FZRA for LAF? There's a twist. I would have figured 2M temps would have been too warm. Although I'm assuming it's just elevated objects getting glazed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Nice bowme hit...A couple cases of Schlitz Tall Boys and maybe a can or 2 of Camo and he'll be set: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Ballpark of 1.00-1.25". I didn't know they were that wet...still looks like they'll be right on the money which is nice. We've definitely gotten off the drought slide. love all the arrival lines on MKE's map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Freezing rain has begun here in Elkhart/Goshen area with gusts from the east up to 29 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Temperature is up to 33 here with overcast skies. I'm going to stick with my 6-8" call. No way I see 10-12" in my backyard. Temperatures are too marginal, ground isn't all that cold. I think 10" worth of snow may fall from the sky, but don't think that amount will accumulate. Yes, there was December 1992, but that was in mid December, when the sun angle was it's lowest. Once the sun comes up tomorrow, there's no way we'll accumulate much. This is going to be a slush storm. EC may be making the right call for the city of Toronto. Yup. Gained another degree the last hour. Writing's on the wall here. Still should be a decent moderate snowfall but nothing out of this world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Temperature is up to 33 here with overcast skies. I'm going to stick with my 6-8" call. No way I see 10-12" in my backyard. Temperatures are too marginal, ground isn't all that cold. I think 10" worth of snow may fall from the sky, but don't think that amount will accumulate. Yes, there was December 1992, but that was in mid December, when the sun angle was it's lowest. Once the sun comes up tomorrow, there's no way we'll accumulate much. This is going to be a slush storm. EC may be making the right call for the city of Toronto. I remember that event we had a major Ice event here with a couple inches family phoned my parents from TO said 16" fell. I remember being extremely jealous of my cousins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Heavy snow switched to rain in Peoria around 0730. Had 1.5" of cement on my car before the changeover. ouch, you are under a warning for 3-7 right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Me too. We'll see. So FZRA for LAF? There's a twist. I would have figured 2M temps would have been too warm. Although I'm assuming it's just elevated objects getting glazed. Yep, elevated now. But surfaces were iced over/icey earlier this morning. Had some sleet too. IND issuing a WWA was a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm sticking with my 10" for the GTA, maybe 8" for those along the lakeshore. 14" north of the 407 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Pretty bad model failure with the Feb 25 0z and 12z runs...looking at what's going on in central Iowa. Des Moines...rip city. METAR KDSM 261454Z 01016KT 1/4SM R31/2200V4000FT +SN FZFG VV004 M01/M03 A2977 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/2 SLP090 SNINCR 2/5 P0017 60030 T10111028 55005 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yup. Gained another degree the last hour. Writing's on the wall here. Still should be a decent moderate snowfall but nothing out of this world. Lets see how much dynamic cooling we can see later in the day. Brett tweeted yesterday i believe, how Lake Ont is running a bit colder than normal. The sun is out right now, lol. Still have a decent snow pack, about 3-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Up to a tenth of an inch of ice but 1-2" of sleet now in my point forecast. Haven't seen a good sleet storm in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Pretty bad model failure with the Feb 25 0z and 12z runs...looking at what's going on in central Iowa. Des Moines...rip city. METAR KDSM 261454Z 01016KT 1/4SM R31/2200V4000FT +SN FZFG VV004 M01/M03 A2977 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/2 SLP090 SNINCR 2/5 P0017 60030 T10111028 55005 $ yeah NAM had like nothing even just west of the river at 12z yesterday much less back to DSM...massive failure indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zero26800 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 at 34 in NE Ohio, hoping that we get a nice surprise as well....but probably asking too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I remember that event we had a major Ice event here with a couple inches family phoned my parents from TO said 16" fell. I remember being extremely jealous of my cousins Yes, it was the biggest storm of my childhood. School cancelled. Family friends who were acting in a musical downtown were stranded, were put up in a hotel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Lets see how much dynamic cooling we can see later in the day. Brett tweeted yesterday i believe, how Lake Ont is running a bit colder than normal. The sun is out right now, lol. Still have a decent snow pack, about 3-5". We'll obviously get some dynamic cooling, but the warmer the boundary layer the more difficult it is to overcome. I think the first 3-5 hours now of pcpn is shot south of the 401. Probably RA mixed with SN with no accums. You're still probably ok. We'll change to accumulating snow overnight, but the loss of that prime snow accumulation time will hurt us in the city in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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