weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 well, pete had 47...i rounded... Pete's beenknownto change is forecast ....lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Pete's beenknownto change is forecast ....lol.. Yeah, wait until 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Congrats Scooter on the 00z GFS...just like the Euro, you get your 100 hour snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Congrats Scooter on the 00z GFS...just like the Euro, you get your 100 hour snowstorm. LOL check out that blocking on the GFS. Something has to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 LOL check out that blocking on the GFS. Something has to happen. This is unlikely to play out perfectly, but if this weekend can deliever (and not even an epic solution, just a 7-10" type storm) and 2/26 can be just cold enough for the interior...this has the potential to be a 2 week stretch that goes down in lore around MBY. It could also be pretty mundane too. But the high end ceiling for this stretch is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This is unlikely to play out perfectly, but if this weekend can deliever (and not even an epic solution, just a 7-10" type storm) and 2/26 can be just cold enough for the interior...this has the potential to be a 2 week stretch that goes down in lore around MBY. It could also be pretty mundane too. But the high end ceiling for this stretch is ridiculous. It really does have a huge ceiling. The Atlantic is killing it right now. Not often we can say that this winter, but it's doing it now. Eventually that ridge out west should help make an environment conducive for a cutoff near the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 It really does have a huge ceiling. The Atlantic is killing it right now. Not often we can say that this winter, but it's doing it now. Eventually that ridge out west should help make an environment conducive for a cutoff near the east. Yeah I said this a couple days ago....the signal for a cutoff in the east was pretty awesome just looking at the height anomalies to our north and west on the ensembles....its now appearing on guidance in the OP runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Wow what a weenie pattern on the GEFS matching the Euro/GFS OP runs and the Euro ensembles. Don't expect spring on March 1st...or anytime near after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Wow what a weenie pattern on the GEFS matching the Euro/GFS OP runs and the Euro ensembles. Don't expect spring on March 1st...or anytime near after that. Good, nature needed a return to normalcy after the last few years. Early season mosquitoes FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Wow, Euro is nearly all snow for interior SNE N of the pike in the hills for the Feb 26-27 event...very close call. That event is def interesting for those parts. Its been trending colder. Wouldn't be surprised if debbie-downer Hubbdave sees mostly snow from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 So is there still a signal for a bomb in the March 1-2 timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Wow, Euro is nearly all snow for interior SNE N of the pike in the hills for the Feb 26-27 event...very close call. That event is def interesting for those parts. Its been trending colder. Wouldn't be surprised if debbie-downer Hubbdave sees mostly snow from that. Can anyone tell us what areas south of the pike might expect? Esp since most people live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 So is there still a signal for a bomb in the March 1-2 timeframe? How much snow will you miss before then? Will they close Logan stranding you in India for the 5 day snow event?...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Can anyone tell us what areas south of the pike might expect? Esp since most people live there Dont worry about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Wow, Euro is nearly all snow for interior SNE N of the pike in the hills for the Feb 26-27 event...very close call. That event is def interesting for those parts. Its been trending colder. Wouldn't be surprised if debbie-downer Hubbdave sees mostly snow from that.Heyyyy...I was mentioning yesterday it looked good...This is the time of year I clean up. Sorry if you taint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 How much snow will you miss before then? Will they close Logan stranding you in India for the 5 day snow event?...lol. You had to articulate my greatest fear! I get in early afternoon on the 28th, to Logan. Then I leave again on March 3. Oy! I hope we can get enough cold air involved in the next 2 weeks. GYX is talking rain outside the mountains next week. At one point it looked like a big coastal storm on March 1. But did that become the 27th storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 You had to articulate my greatest fear! I get in early afternoon on the 28th, to Logan. Then I leave again on March 3. Oy! I hope we can get enough cold air involved in the next 2 weeks. GYX is talking rain outside the mountains next week. At one point it looked like a big coastal storm on March 1. But did that become the 27th storm? Keep your fingers crossed. We're in a parade of big storms and developing epic blocking. Something great is unfolding before our very eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skivt2 Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 I pray! Ski vacation starting 3/16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Keep your fingers crossed. We're in a parade of big storms and developing epic blocking. Something great is unfolding before our very eyes. Yes I've been following fairly closely from over here. A little worried about cold air...I hope the block can tap it enough. GYX not saying much about next week except for a warmer system with rain. That is disconcerting. But we can take our chances with a parade of storms. Anyhow I should come back to a nice snowpack. Seems like the biggest opportunities besides this weekend will come after Feb 27 and last for 10+ days because the blocking gets established mid next week. You would think next weeks mid-week storm would trend colder and then perhaps we do get a shot for a biggie on March 2. Who knows.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Yes I've been following fairly closely from over here. A little worried about cold air...I hope the block can tap it enough. GYX not saying much about next week except for a warmer system with rain. That is disconcerting. But we can take our chances with a parade of storms. Anyhow I should come back to a nice snowpack. Seems like the biggest opportunities besides this weekend will come after Feb 27 and last for 10+ days because the blocking gets established mid next week. You would think next weeks mid-week storm would trend colder and then perhaps we do get a shot for a biggie on March 2. Who knows.... I think we have plenty of chances right up to the equinox and maybe beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Dont worry about it.So what do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 So what do you think? Well verbatim I would think preliminary rain to snow, but ending as flurries or S+? I don't even know what's going to happen Sunday nevermind that event..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 Can anyone tell us what areas south of the pike might expect? Esp since most people live there A rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 A rainstorm.So its 100% rain from ORH south and 100% snow north? That doesn't seem like it makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 So its 100% rain from ORH south and 100% snow north? That doesn't seem like it makes sense No, but north of the pike is where the best chance for snow would be. I'm probably not going to get all snow from that, but it could give my area and N MA/S NH a decent front end thump before a changeover...then maybe back to light snow for the ending. Its a ways out, so who knows where it might trend in the next few days. But its def wagons north on that event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 No, but north of the pike is where the best chance for snow would be. I'm probably not going to get all snow from that, but it could give my area and N MA/S NH a decent front end thump before a changeover...then maybe back to light snow for the ending. Its a ways out, so who knows where it might trend in the next few days. But its def wagons north on that event. So basically what you're saying is its a Rainer south of you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2013 Author Share Posted February 21, 2013 So basically what you're saying is its a Rainer south of you? Looks like it right now for the most part outside of brief snow at the onset perhaps and maybe to end. Its still 6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Kevin, you worry way too much dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 Kevin, you worry way too much dude.agree and it's a fault . I've been like that since childhood. I'm just a worrier. Probably why I'm half full cup instead of half empty kind of person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 agree and it's a fault . I've been like that since childhood. I'm just a worrier. Probably why I'm half full cup instead of half empty kind of person Well they all can't be snow. It def starts as rain for a while I think. But, think of it this way..it potentially sets us up for a fun period down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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