buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The 0z Euro track looked great, but had very low QPF for some reason. Wondering if we could squeeze out a last minute to change to light snow Monday night for a light dusting Christmas morning? Probably just wishful thinking 12zggem is on board for a primary to KY and transfer as well. These setups where a primary tracks into the lower eastern OV and then transfers are tenuous at best. More often than not the primary becomes stronger than modeled. You end up with the dreaded WTOD situation....snow to the west, north, and east (cad),.... we get slop. I'd rather see this morph into a good ole fashioned app runner....which I think is just as possible of a scenario as any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 .... Wondering if we could squeeze out a last minute to change to light snow Monday night for a light dusting Christmas morning? Probably just wishful thinking both the ggem and the ukmet have a decent low pessure riding right up the Ohio river hr 108. Temps probably an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 20, 2012 Author Share Posted December 20, 2012 Question...if we can somehow get two or three inches of snow...would it not affect our temps this weekend..trend to colder highs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12zggem is on board for a primary to KY and transfer as well. These setups where a primary tracks into the lower eastern OV and then transfers are tenuous at best. More often than not the primary becomes stronger than modeled. You end up with the dreaded WTOD situation....snow to the west, north, and east (cad),.... we get slop. I'd rather see this morph into a good ole fashioned app runner....which I think is just as possible of a scenario as any. lol, was just checking the 12z runs and thought to myself 'I bet I'm gonna see buckeye post about the WTOD' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 lol, was just checking the 12z runs and thought to myself 'I bet I'm gonna see buckeye post about the WTOD' ...been licked by her many times. I'd rather see this come up further east. Worst case is a track from say W.TN ....need it to come up from E. TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 ...been licked by her many times. I'd rather see this come up further east. Worst case is a track from say W.TN ....need it to come up from E. TN The WTOD has not seemed to have made an appearance the last several winters. The last time I can think of it really hurting one of our events was during the Valentine's storm of 2007. It hasn't really shown up since. I suppose it's only a matter of time, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 The WTOD has not seemed to have made an appearance the last several winters. The last time I can think of it really hurting one of our events was during the Valentine's storm of 2007. It hasn't really shown up since. I suppose it's only a matter of time, though. I swear I had nothing to do with the 12z euro run... WOW.... if only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 I swear I had nothing to do with the 12z euro run... WOW.... if only What did it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 What did it show? powerhouse app runner....Alabama to Buffalo deepens to 981 I would imagine Pittsburgh to Columbus gets crushed now we just have to hold serve for 5 or 6 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 powerhouse app runner....Alabama to Buffalo deepens to 981 I would imagine Pittsburgh to Columbus gets crushed Why oh why couldn't this be 5 days out? I mean, just one time!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 powerhouse app runner....Alabama to Buffalo deepens to 981 I would imagine Pittsburgh to Columbus gets crushed now we just have to hold serve for 5 or 6 days I get about 9 inches and Columbus about a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 powerhouse app runner....Alabama to Buffalo deepens to 981 I would imagine Pittsburgh to Columbus gets crushed now we just have to hold serve for 5 or 6 days You thinking it winds up as a coastal like DT has been saying? I wonder if he thinks that an app runner is possible with the set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12z Euro for CMH WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.8 -4.0 1018 76 45 0.00 550 536 WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.4 -3.5 1008 78 100 0.11 545 538 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.9 -8.6 1000 88 100 0.54 535 535 THU 06Z 27-DEC -5.1 -11.3 1001 86 99 0.44 525 524 THU 12Z 27-DEC -7.9 -12.6 1008 79 99 0.19 525 519 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Why oh why couldn't this be 5 days out? I mean, just one time!!!!!!! well the signal for a storm in that general area has been there now for several days. i figured at some point the euro would show this solution, not that it would verify, just that it would show it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12z Euro for CMH WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.8 -4.0 1018 76 45 0.00 550 536 WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.4 -3.5 1008 78 100 0.11 545 538 THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.9 -8.6 1000 88 100 0.54 535 535 THU 06Z 27-DEC -5.1 -11.3 1001 86 99 0.44 525 524 THU 12Z 27-DEC -7.9 -12.6 1008 79 99 0.19 525 519 12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here. Poster material. Couldn't ask for a better track for a spread the wealth type storm for OH. We can always come back and laugh at or bow down to this run of the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here. LMAO!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Poster material. Couldn't ask for a better track for a spread the wealth type storm for OH. We can always come back and laugh at or bow down to this run of the euro. Well we had a big one on March '08 so it is almost 5 years since that so why not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 My plan is working like magic... Keep it going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 Well we had a big one on March '08 so it is almost 5 years since that so why not? No reason it can't happen. Then again, I can't remember one time that I've seen a model hold serve for 5/6 days in a row. There is model agreement which isn't a bad thing at all. Aren't all the big ones modeled well in advance? I'll give it a possible, but not probable at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 NWS ILN forecast for Columbus next week: Monday: Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 50%. Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40. Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 20s. Wednesday: Rain and snow likely. Blustery with highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 70% Wednesday Night: Snow likely. Brisk with lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 70% Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of snow. Brisk with highs in the lower 30s. These are very high chances for a 5-7 days out. The AFD isn't out, but they must really like our chances for a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 20, 2012 Share Posted December 20, 2012 12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here. Top 20 Columbus Snowfalls 1. March 7-8, 2008: 20.5" 2. February 14-17, 2003: 15.5" 3. November 23-29, 1950: 15.2" 4. February 16-17, 1910: 15.0" 5. January 6-7, 1910: 12.7" 6. April 3-5, 1987: 12.6" 7. February 11-12, 1910: 10.6" 8.. February 15-16, 2010: 10.4" 9. January 8-9, 1884: 10.2" 10. January 13-14, 1917: 10.1" 11. March 19-20, 1906: 10.0" 12.February 7-8, 1971: 9.9" January 16-17, 1978: 9.9" February 5-6, 2010: 9.9" 13. February 13-14, 1914: 9.6" 14. January 13-15, 1968: 9.5" February 27-28, 1984: 9.5" 15. January 1-2, 1904: 9.3" 16. March 5-6, 1962: 9.2" 17. December 25-26, 1890: 9.1" 18. January 6-7, 1996: 9.0" 19. December 19-21, 1960: 8.8" 20. February 15-16, 1903: 8.7" I don't know, having 4 years in the top 20 for the past decade, including 3 in the top 10, maybe it means we're just in a more big-snow era, similar to the late 19th-early 20th century. Anything's possible, but I wouldn't exactly be counting on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 a little breezy out there...holy sh*t....constant roar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 21, 2012 Author Share Posted December 21, 2012 Is it just me or is the snow expanding in coverage in Indiana? Looks good!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 we have intermittent face-stinging, wind driven sleet. Looks like a nice snowshield about an hour and a half away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 Top 20 Columbus Snowfalls 1. March 7-8, 2008: 20.5" 2. February 14-17, 2003: 15.5" 3. November 23-29, 1950: 15.2" 4. February 16-17, 1910: 15.0" 5. January 6-7, 1910: 12.7" 6. April 3-5, 1987: 12.6" 7. February 11-12, 1910: 10.6" 8.. February 15-16, 2010: 10.4" 9. January 8-9, 1884: 10.2" 10. January 13-14, 1917: 10.1" 11. March 19-20, 1906: 10.0" 12.February 7-8, 1971: 9.9" January 16-17, 1978: 9.9" February 5-6, 2010: 9.9" 13. February 13-14, 1914: 9.6" 14. January 13-15, 1968: 9.5" February 27-28, 1984: 9.5" 15. January 1-2, 1904: 9.3" 16. March 5-6, 1962: 9.2" 17. December 25-26, 1890: 9.1" 18. January 6-7, 1996: 9.0" 19. December 19-21, 1960: 8.8" 20. February 15-16, 1903: 8.7" I don't know, having 4 years in the top 20 for the past decade, including 3 in the top 10, maybe it means we're just in a more big-snow era, similar to the late 19th-early 20th century. Anything's possible, but I wouldn't exactly be counting on that. What happened Dec 22-23, 2004? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 What happened Dec 22-23, 2004? WTOD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 What happened Dec 22-23, 2004? that gradient was so incredibly tight that you had something like 10" on the far west side of franklin county (Columbus) and an icestorm/slop on the east side. Columbus airport is on the east side so I bet the 'official' snowfall for that is less than 5" (guessing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 WTOD technically... correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted December 21, 2012 Share Posted December 21, 2012 What happened Dec 22-23, 2004? I think Columbus had quite a bit of mixing. Heaviest snow was around my area in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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