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Ohio and surrounding states (Let's talk winter!)


Steve

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The 0z Euro track looked great, but had very low QPF for some reason.

Wondering if we could squeeze out a last minute to change to light snow Monday night for a light dusting Christmas morning? Probably just wishful thinking :santa:

12zggem is on board for a primary to KY and transfer as well.

These setups where a primary tracks into the lower eastern OV and then transfers are tenuous at best. More often than not the primary becomes stronger than modeled. You end up with the dreaded WTOD situation....snow to the west, north, and east (cad),.... we get slop.

I'd rather see this morph into a good ole fashioned app runner....which I think is just as possible of a scenario as any.

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12zggem is on board for a primary to KY and transfer as well.

These setups where a primary tracks into the lower eastern OV and then transfers are tenuous at best. More often than not the primary becomes stronger than modeled. You end up with the dreaded WTOD situation....snow to the west, north, and east (cad),.... we get slop.

I'd rather see this morph into a good ole fashioned app runner....which I think is just as possible of a scenario as any.

lol, was just checking the 12z runs and thought to myself 'I bet I'm gonna see buckeye post about the WTOD'

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...been licked by her many times.

I'd rather see this come up further east. Worst case is a track from say W.TN ....need it to come up from E. TN

The WTOD has not seemed to have made an appearance the last several winters. The last time I can think of it really hurting one of our events was during the Valentine's storm of 2007. It hasn't really shown up since. I suppose it's only a matter of time, though.

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The WTOD has not seemed to have made an appearance the last several winters. The last time I can think of it really hurting one of our events was during the Valentine's storm of 2007. It hasn't really shown up since. I suppose it's only a matter of time, though.

I swear I had nothing to do with the 12z euro run...

WOW....

if only

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powerhouse app runner....Alabama to Buffalo deepens to 981 I would imagine Pittsburgh to Columbus gets crushed

now we just have to hold serve for 5 or 6 days :axe:

You thinking it winds up as a coastal like DT has been saying? I wonder if he thinks that an app runner is possible with the set up?

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12z Euro for CMH :o

WED 12Z 26-DEC -0.8 -4.0 1018 76 45 0.00 550 536

WED 18Z 26-DEC -1.4 -3.5 1008 78 100 0.11 545 538

THU 00Z 27-DEC -2.9 -8.6 1000 88 100 0.54 535 535

THU 06Z 27-DEC -5.1 -11.3 1001 86 99 0.44 525 524

THU 12Z 27-DEC -7.9 -12.6 1008 79 99 0.19 525 519

12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here.

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Well we had a big one on March '08 so it is almost 5 years since that so why not?

No reason it can't happen. Then again, I can't remember one time that I've seen a model hold serve for 5/6 days in a row. There is model agreement which isn't a bad thing at all. Aren't all the big ones modeled well in advance? I'll give it a possible, but not probable at this point.

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NWS ILN forecast for Columbus next week:

Monday: Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 50%.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain. Lows in the upper 20s.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs around 40.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 20s.

Wednesday: Rain and snow likely. Blustery with highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 70%

Wednesday Night: Snow likely. Brisk with lows in the upper 20s. Chance of snow 70%

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of snow. Brisk with highs in the lower 30s.

These are very high chances for a 5-7 days out. The AFD isn't out, but they must really like our chances for a good storm.

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12-18" windblown snow.... lock it up. Afterall nothing unusual about that here.

Top 20 Columbus Snowfalls

1. March 7-8, 2008: 20.5"

2. February 14-17, 2003: 15.5"

3. November 23-29, 1950: 15.2"

4. February 16-17, 1910: 15.0"

5. January 6-7, 1910: 12.7"

6. April 3-5, 1987: 12.6"

7. February 11-12, 1910: 10.6"

8.. February 15-16, 2010: 10.4"

9. January 8-9, 1884: 10.2"

10. January 13-14, 1917: 10.1"

11. March 19-20, 1906: 10.0"

12.February 7-8, 1971: 9.9"

January 16-17, 1978: 9.9"

February 5-6, 2010: 9.9"

13. February 13-14, 1914: 9.6"

14. January 13-15, 1968: 9.5"

February 27-28, 1984: 9.5"

15. January 1-2, 1904: 9.3"

16. March 5-6, 1962: 9.2"

17. December 25-26, 1890: 9.1"

18. January 6-7, 1996: 9.0"

19. December 19-21, 1960: 8.8"

20. February 15-16, 1903: 8.7"

I don't know, having 4 years in the top 20 for the past decade, including 3 in the top 10, maybe it means we're just in a more big-snow era, similar to the late 19th-early 20th century. Anything's possible, but I wouldn't exactly be counting on that.

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Top 20 Columbus Snowfalls

1. March 7-8, 2008: 20.5"

2. February 14-17, 2003: 15.5"

3. November 23-29, 1950: 15.2"

4. February 16-17, 1910: 15.0"

5. January 6-7, 1910: 12.7"

6. April 3-5, 1987: 12.6"

7. February 11-12, 1910: 10.6"

8.. February 15-16, 2010: 10.4"

9. January 8-9, 1884: 10.2"

10. January 13-14, 1917: 10.1"

11. March 19-20, 1906: 10.0"

12.February 7-8, 1971: 9.9"

January 16-17, 1978: 9.9"

February 5-6, 2010: 9.9"

13. February 13-14, 1914: 9.6"

14. January 13-15, 1968: 9.5"

February 27-28, 1984: 9.5"

15. January 1-2, 1904: 9.3"

16. March 5-6, 1962: 9.2"

17. December 25-26, 1890: 9.1"

18. January 6-7, 1996: 9.0"

19. December 19-21, 1960: 8.8"

20. February 15-16, 1903: 8.7"

I don't know, having 4 years in the top 20 for the past decade, including 3 in the top 10, maybe it means we're just in a more big-snow era, similar to the late 19th-early 20th century. Anything's possible, but I wouldn't exactly be counting on that.

What happened Dec 22-23, 2004?

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