TheTrials Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Agreed. Terrible pattern continues on 12z GFS. Nothing different at all. But Steve D said..... Lol Just played 18. Beautiful out. Cold under performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 But Steve D said..... Lol Just played 18. Beautiful out. Cold under performing. Well the area is around 40 so I think it's slightly below expected levels. Plus they have 20s back in the forecast for the city and only 30s for highs tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 New York City, Central Park Lat: 40.78 Lon: -73.97 Elev: 144 Last Update on Dec 10, 12:51 pm EST Mostly Cloudy 40 °F (4 °C) Looks like its about 5 degrees below normal high and about 4 degrees short of the forecasted high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Tonight LGA and NYC will finally go below 32. I believe Newark hasn't done it either yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 New York City, Central Park Lat: 40.78 Lon: -73.97 Elev: 144 Last Update on Dec 10, 12:51 pm EST Mostly Cloudy 40 °F (4 °C) Looks like its about 5 degrees below normal high and about 4 degrees short of the forecasted high... Nope. NYC and LGA were above average today. Slightly. NYC hit 46 and LGA hit 47. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Nope. NYC and LGA were above average today. Slightly. NYC hit 46 and LGA hit 47. Arrived early in the am then ..Had to be like one of those midnight or shortly there after highs... and dropping ever since? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Beautiful out. Cold under performing. I disagree with this statement. The temperatures were modeled to get into the lower to mid 40s throughout the reigion today per yesterday's 18z NAM. Wheras OBS show us very close to the modeled temperatuer yesterday, with the 40 Degree contor in about the same spot as the 18z NAM had it. Of course if you like cold weather, it certainly is beautiful out there... but with a temp of 42 degrees and a NW wind making it feel in the mid to upper 30s, few non-cold lovers would consider this to be "beautiful" weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 10, 2011 Author Share Posted December 10, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Cold below normal day in sw ct (highs) finally, felt great, actually stayed below forecasted highs during the day, CAA was impressive after very above normal nighttime lows. Happy Festivus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Read on sne thread 12z euro is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Read on sne thread 12z euro is awful Yep. I think we will see the pattern changing by either the end of December or the 1st week of January. In JB's latest video, he sees the cold and snowy weather coming back to the east near the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Yep. I think we will see the pattern changing by either the end of December or the 1st week of January. In JB's latest video, he sees the cold and snowy weather coming back to the east near the holidays. H Jb would find away to see cold on snow on July 4th to.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 12Z Euro does not surprise me at all, I had been saying 10-14 days ago I expected a massive blow torch around mid-month or slightly later before it cooled down again, the thing is the first 10 days have been much warmer than I ever anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 JB just tweeted that he thinks that a major cold blast will invade the U.S the whole week next week due to the major ridge in Alaska. Groundhog day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 I disagree with this statement. The temperatures were modeled to get into the lower to mid 40s throughout the reigion today per yesterday's 18z NAM. Of course if you like cold weather, it certainly is beautiful out there... but with a temp of 42 degrees and a NW wind making it feel in the mid to upper 30s, few non-cold lovers would consider this to be "beautiful" weather. I was joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 JB and Upton also mentioned about this potential coastal storm Errr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 12Z Euro does not surprise me at all, I had been saying 10-14 days ago I expected a massive blow torch around mid-month or slightly later before it cooled down again, the thing is the first 10 days have been much warmer than I ever anticipated. If its not gonna snow lets have 70 and sun 40 and clouds sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 12Z Euro does not surprise me at all, I had been saying 10-14 days ago I expected a massive blow torch around mid-month or slightly later before it cooled down again, the thing is the first 10 days have been much warmer than I ever anticipated. Damn, I had my hopes set on the perfect northeast snow storm pattern that DT promised us mid month. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Damn, I had my hopes set on the perfect northeast snow storm pattern that DT promised us mid month. LOL. At this point I feel safe saying we're going to give December 1984 and 2001 a run for their money, not sure we'll break the 44.5 or whatever it was in 01 but we may come damn close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Nope. NYC and LGA were above average today. Slightly. NYC hit 46 and LGA hit 47. They both had midnight highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 High of 36* here.. Should drop into the mid teens tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 12Z Euro does not surprise me at all, I had been saying 10-14 days ago I expected a massive blow torch around mid-month or slightly later before it cooled down again, the thing is the first 10 days have been much warmer than I ever anticipated. I read somewhere on this forum that HM thinks that the pattern will fully change in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 I read somewhere on this forum that HM thinks that the pattern will fully change in January. HM and I have generally been thinking the same thing the last 4-6 weeks. I don't disagree there will be a shift in January with a period of colder conditions but I think we're talking a January 1999 or January 2000 type deal where by February its bang back into the blowtorch again, I would be amazed if we do a complete 180 and the rest of the winter stays cold but I could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 HM and I have generally been thinking the same thing the last 4-6 weeks. I don't disagree there will be a shift in January with a period of colder conditions but I think we're talking a January 1999 or January 2000 type deal where by February its bang back into the blowtorch again, I would be amazed if we do a complete 180 and the rest of the winter stays cold but I could be wrong. I think we get two good months goose, not just january Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 The GFS and ECMWF are starting show some changes to the stratospheric vortex, the week before Christmas. If trends continue, we should start seeing some big changes, affect us, sometime during the 12/25 - 1/5 period. We'll probably torch again before that. With the warm anomalies moving over the Aleutians first: http://www.cpc.ncep....t70_nh_f240.gif http://wekuw.met.fu-...ast=all&lng=eng Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 I disagree with this statement. The temperatures were modeled to get into the lower to mid 40s throughout the reigion today per yesterday's 18z NAM. Wheras OBS show us very close to the modeled temperatuer yesterday, with the 40 Degree contor in about the same spot as the 18z NAM had it. Of course if you like cold weather, it certainly is beautiful out there... but with a temp of 42 degrees and a NW wind making it feel in the mid to upper 30s, few non-cold lovers would consider this to be "beautiful" weather. It was a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 The GFS and ECMWF are starting show some changes to the stratospheric vortex, the week before Christmas. If trends continue, we should start seeing some big changes, affect us, sometime during the 12/25 - 1/5 period. We'll probably torch again before that. With the warm anomalies moving over the Aleutians first: http://www.cpc.ncep....t70_nh_f240.gif http://wekuw.met.fu-...ast=all&lng=eng Maybe Steve d was right he did say around Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 I know it's a D10 OP output, but the ECM suggests the potential for record warmth: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 The GFS and ECMWF are starting show some changes to the stratospheric vortex, the week before Christmas. If trends continue, we should start seeing some big changes, affect us, sometime during the 12/25 - 1/5 period. We'll probably torch again before that. With the warm anomalies moving over the Aleutians first: http://www.cpc.ncep....t70_nh_f240.gif http://wekuw.met.fu-...ast=all&lng=eng DT also said the same thing that you just posted. Great minds think alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 DT also said the same thing that you just posted. Great minds think alike. Except dt is a *beep* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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