tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 the kinking of the isobars at 126 almost makes it looks like it wants to to a coastal transfer on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Is it me or is this looking more promising given how deep the energy is digging. Could the secondary pop and be where the primary energy is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 i do keep seeing a little low form right off the coast of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benfica356 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 yea at 123 it does look like a coastal wants to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 jeez.. our 850 mb temps wanna approach 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 sub 988 over state college at hr 135 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 It's not looking good at 126 hours. The low off the coast is gone and we warm up with rain. Looks like a dry slot comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 we get .25-.75 region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Thats no secondary guys. It almost looks like a warm front or some form to me with strong warm advection along it. It could also be a spurious model feature that doesnt verify. The southerly winds on this thing will hurt any chance of frozen for the I-95 corridor. If one looks at the 850 vorticity you can see a vortmax off the Carolina's. Thats where the precip there is coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 cold front through phl and abe at hr 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 To my untrained eye it definitely looked like it wanted to try to pop a secondary there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 we get .25-.75 region wide Cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 big rain with those southerlies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 this is a long shot, but if we can get this front to slow and take on a big negative tilt and get a wave to develop on it, then it could get interesting, ala what the euro had like 3 days ago. I think 2 of the gfs ens members had this at 0z to. Long shot though, very longgggggggggggggggggggggggg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 looks like there could be a big time severe weather outbreak in Florida with that kind of wind energy coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 folks on the west side are getting dumped on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 this is a long shot, but if we can get this front to slow and take on a big negative tilt and get a wave to develop on it, then it could get interesting, ala what the euro had like 3 days ago. I think 2 of the gfs ens members had this at 0z to. Long shot though, very longgggggggggggggggggggggggg Still time for this to trend in our favor. It's going to be a long shot like you just said but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 folks on the west side are getting dumped on.... west of the Apps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM22 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 anything promising in the longer range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 folks on the west side are getting dumped on.... Congrats Chicago - Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Looks like a cold and boring pattern coming up again after the cutter moves through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 That thing that everyone thinks is a secondary actually is causing some havoc with the main frontal band as the energy ahead joins up with the main front and almost misses the NYC area. I suspect the stuff your seeing off the coast intiially will dissappear in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 wow at those isobars! major lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 west of the Apps? pitt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 anything promising in the longer range? The Euro had a c ouple of retrogading storms in the long range. wow at those isobars! major lake effect. Some areas will get hammered. I wouldn't be shocked to see some areas get close to 100 inches of snow for this month. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 That thing that everyone thinks is a secondary actually is causing some havoc with the main frontal band as the energy ahead joins up with the main front and almost misses the NYC area. I suspect the stuff your seeing off the coast intiially will dissappear in future runs. so thats basing why your saying its pretty dry, for such a strong storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 road trip west! vodka cold rushing in big time .. frozen soaked ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 still dry through hr 186... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 Look here to compare with other GFS runs. At 96hrs the ridge heights are sharper across the Northwest. That gives more room for the shortwave dig across the Central Plains. Also at 120hrs, the 50/50 low is much weaker than previous runs: http://www.wxforecas...ntorun/all.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 I know its terrible to get a block this great and not have anything promising for us... I just hope we do not go the month of December, which has a chance to be the coldest since 2000, empty handed. I do think we get SOMETHING. Then again, in 2000 we went relatively slow until the 30th. Might be the case this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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