Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 54 hours - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 looking good at 72 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Big trend toward the NAM Marked difference vs 12z...out to 72 hours now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I posed this question earlier but don't think anybody answered - When will our shortwave in question be over a decent sampling region? Another 30 hours? maybe slightly more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Another 30 hours? maybe slightly more. So still a lot of time for tweaks. I wish we had a better handle on this I would prefer not to drive in snow (even if it's not sticking much) and I might have to venture out on a road trip come this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Big trend toward the NAM Marked difference vs 12z...out to 72 hours now The GFS certainly has trended towards the NAM. The 72 hour looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 0Z RUNS ARE HUGE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 4 mb stronger at 78 hr. low in winston salem nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Precip seems to barely graze DC. Coastal pops a decent ways offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 So still a lot of time for tweaks. I wish we had a better handle on this I would prefer not to drive in snow (even if it's not sticking much) and I might have to venture out on a road trip come this weekend. I wish we had a better handle on this so I know whether or not to book a train ticket back home to MD from Poughkeepsie (yes, I'd come back even for a clipper that drops 2" ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 man this thing is going to make landfall in maine 972mb at 114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Precip seems to barely graze DC. Coastal pops a decent ways offshore. Richmond to DC seem to be primed for some fluffy who cares how much...the white stuff falling is good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 man this thing is going to make landfall in maine 972mb at 114 I made a midlo sig?! Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 amazing in 3 runs 0z vs 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The trends were obviously very good on this run. Now that being said, I'm afraid that we're just in the wrong spot. The initial clipper impulse might give 3-6" snows to DC proper, but then by the time the ULL captures it and hooks it back, it'll be too late for us, and SNE might cash in. Anyone else feel the same way? Absolutely correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The think on the 00Z one thing to watch is the circulation associated with the system offshore as the clipper comes east. That is part of the problem in the GFS, it's too close in to allow the flow to back around enough to get the better precipitation into our area. So watch that feature and the strength of the clipper vort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 What am I missing? lol 3-6?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The think on the 00Z one thing to watch is the circulation associated with the system offshore as the clipper comes east. That is part of the problem in the GFS, it's too close in to allow the flow to back around enough to get the better precipitation into our area. So watch that feature and the strength of the clipper vort. Imagine if we can get the low to pop closer tot he coast and even sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I like the NAM and GFS being a little south right now. It will creep north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 18z dgex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 So still a lot of time for tweaks. I wish we had a better handle on this I would prefer not to drive in snow (even if it's not sticking much) and I might have to venture out on a road trip come this weekend. As long as it's well-forecasted (lol), if it's only a couple inches and temperatures are close to freezing, decent-sized roads shouldn't be too bad. You shouldn't be going too fast on small roads either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 18z dgex Too bad it's the 18z dgex. That looks nice for a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Too bad it's the 18z dgex. That looks nice for a clipper. Thats in addition to what the NAM gives the areas ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 first guess 1-3 for me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 first guess 1-3 for me? I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I'll take it. I'd say 2-4 and Bmore 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 first guess 1-3 for me? Looks like everything is moving in the right direction. Seems like 2009 again in that regard. There's something freaky about this Dec. 5 date. Just don't go postal if the models trend away from us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 first guess 1-3 for me? you personally? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I'd say 2-4 and Bmore 1-2. I'd wait on such a bullish call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 What did the models look like in this range in 2007? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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