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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
  2. brooklynwx99
    kinda wild that the rippage on the GFS is while the block is still maintaining strength. the big dog isn't even popping up yet
  3. brooklynwx99
    luckily there is potential beforehand for snowfall. that's just when the pattern ends which is a ways away
  4. brooklynwx99
    very good agreement on an anomalous, west-based -NAO, 50/50 ULL, and vort digging into the Rockies. if you're looking for a bigger storm, this is the timeframe to watch. makes sense, as retrograding Scandinavian blocks often lead to larger storms when they decay
  5. brooklynwx99
    pretty stunning blocking signal around that time. vort digging into the Rockies, confluence in place, and a rotting west based block
  6. brooklynwx99
    you tell me. rotting west based -NAO, huge 50/50 signal, and vort digging through the Rockies
  7. brooklynwx99
    just going to leave this here
  8. brooklynwx99
    i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
  9. brooklynwx99
    yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
  10. brooklynwx99
    the -PNA is temporary. that trough in the west swings through and it's full steam ahead
  11. brooklynwx99
    Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  12. brooklynwx99
    Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  13. brooklynwx99
    Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  14. brooklynwx99
    excuse me, you said that's a +NAO? in what world is this a +NAO
  15. brooklynwx99
    the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high
  16. brooklynwx99
    lol what the fuck
  17. brooklynwx99
    EPS has 24” mean snowfall for BOS
  18. brooklynwx99
    this is with like 12-18” on the mean already btw
  19. brooklynwx99
    absolutely obscene
  20. brooklynwx99
    and this is before this pattern sets up. absurd
  21. brooklynwx99
    absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada
  22. brooklynwx99
    trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog
  23. brooklynwx99
    just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that mean. the block is still strong over the Davis Strait. the largest storm from this pattern likely hasn't even occurred yet and NYC/BOS still have 18" on the mean. wild
  24. brooklynwx99
    just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that snowfall mean. not after the block breaks down, which is when you'd probably get your largest storm. it's beyond lmao
  25. brooklynwx99
    if this is "not bad" then expectations have gotten ever so slightly inflated
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