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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    it's early March. it's a climatologically snowier period than much of December, that would be fine. late March I would agree, but that's not an issue at this time of year if you have strong blocking you can snow to the coast until March 20th or so
  2. brooklynwx99
    idk about "blocking"... this is a signal for a legit west-based retrograding block. about as strong as you'll see
  3. brooklynwx99
    I don't see a signal like this evaporating. this is probably the best way to get a legit west-based block. it's strengthening, moving forward in time, and bolstered by the effects of the SSW will we get anything out of it? who knows, but I would be surprised if there wasn't a large storm if this block does indeed come to fruition
  4. brooklynwx99
    a -PNA is fine when you have a west-based block like that. east-based would let a SE ridge pop, but I think the -PNA would just keep the pattern active with a Davis Strait block as depicted
  5. brooklynwx99
    I am totally fine with the -PNA there if we have a west based block. wavelengths are short enough that it's not as much of an issue as Dec 2021, for example. also, it would give a continuous stream of shortwaves to roll underneath. great pattern verbatim
  6. brooklynwx99
    the EPS now has a classic progression with the cutoff Scandi high retrograding towards the Davis Strait. I know that everyone is snakebitten, but this block is becoming stronger and moving up in time hard not to get a bit excited when you see a retrograding block like this
  7. brooklynwx99
    the EPS now has a classic progression with the cutoff Scandi high retrograding towards the Davis Strait. I know that everyone is snakebitten, but this block is becoming stronger and moving up in time hard not to get a bit excited when you see a retrograding block like this
  8. brooklynwx99
    this is a pretty classic progression with the cutoff Scandi high retrograding towards the Davis Strait. same way we got that December block
  9. brooklynwx99
    i agree with you. was just being sarcastic good to see that typical response to blocking here and not that SE ridge crap
  10. brooklynwx99
    nah it’s not happening because persistence yadda yadda yadda we’re all just weenies
  11. brooklynwx99
    nah. base state. no more snow
  12. brooklynwx99
    really nice change for the GEFS. that block keeps getting stronger… great signal for that range
  13. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it’s really when the block decays. that’s when you get the big dogs historically
  14. brooklynwx99
    absolute monster block. wild
  15. brooklynwx99
    blocking is also trending stronger and moving forward in time on the EPS. nice trends with the PNA out west too
  16. brooklynwx99
    retrograding ridge is now showing up on the mean. nice to see again, most of the members with a SE ridge don't have the blocking at all or they keep it east-based and over Iceland. the vast majority of members with a legit central/west-based -NAO have the typical 50/50 response
  17. brooklynwx99
    i mean... this is kinda sorta how that December block formed. same kinda Scandi retrograding block, and it got picked up around the same time I agree with you in that this is how you'd want to see a block evolve. it's certainly more reliable than the shitty wave-break stuff. the SSW also bolsters the case for it
  18. brooklynwx99
    I'm also looking at the indies and it looks like if we get that block, there most likely won't be SE ridge issues. the vast majority of members with a SE ridge are the ones that keep the block over Iceland or don't develop it at all only a couple members with the blocking truly link it with a SE ridge
  19. brooklynwx99
    nice to see the retrogression on the mean, too. that is legit
  20. brooklynwx99
    blocking is becoming stronger and moving up in time. this is compared to 12z yesterday that is a very strong signal for this range
  21. brooklynwx99
    this retrograding Scandi block is pretty classic looking. hopefully we can keep this on guidance
  22. brooklynwx99
    hey, I’m good with that if we end up here
  23. brooklynwx99
    I don’t think it’s impossible, but the GEFS indies show that if a legit -NAO develops, it is far more likely that it forces the typical 50/50 response rather than a full latitude ridge therefore, I’ll keep it in the back of my mind, but I’m not gonna say it’s likely or anything
  24. brooklynwx99
    i know, I’m not making a direct comparison, just stating that I don’t think a -PNA would be that big of a deal this late in the year if we get a legit block to develop
  25. brooklynwx99
    i think it’s harder to see the -PNA screw things up than in December due to the shorter wavelengths March 2018 had a pretty deep -PNA but the block worked its magic
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