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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. that still doesn’t even look bad with the absolutely insane block in place. let the run play out and then look at the ENS
  2. the blocking also got stronger so I don’t mind that shift I’d rather a vigorous wave coming out of the west than a piece of crap
  3. this still looks amazing. wow
  4. the EPS made a pretty significant shift towards a farther SW 50/50 that would help suppress height rises ahead of the main S/W overall, still looks mint
  5. the EPS made a pretty significant shift towards a farther SW 50/50 that would help suppress height rises ahead of the main S/W overall, still looks mint
  6. EPS runs inland but the 500mb is super ripe for a major storm. fine for this range
  7. the major storm signal is still there… all that matters at this range. let’s see what the EPS does in a bit
  8. the GEFS has pretty much totally caved to the EPS/GEPS with its handling of the WC S/W. looks like next weekend is now a legit threat given that the models are kicking a shortwave under the block this is probably the highest potential pattern since March 2018. there will be multiple opportunities for high-end threats
  9. meteorological intuition won out. thank God lmao I was honestly getting a bit worried for a little while
  10. nice subtle shift here to provide more wave spacing with the 50/50
  11. this is the most loaded pattern I have seen since 2016, probably. multiple opportunities for high-end threats
  12. GEFS has finally come full circle to the EPS/GEPS. astounding
  13. MUCH more amped S/W diving into the Rockies on this run. there has been a total cave by the GEFS today. it’s not really a question at this point IMO. something will pop on many members this run
  14. here’s the main thing IMO… look at the trend to have less and less interaction between the ULL in the Pacific and our S/W of interest, as well as the stronger blocking this lack of interaction (now even a ridge on the 00z run today!) allows for the S/W to escape E rather than get sucked W. this is a huge development towards the more favorable foreign models
  15. this could be someone’s new avatar that is absurd lmao
  16. the CMC does eject a stronger vort into the flow… this is really what does it
  17. yeah I think this continues to move towards the EPS/GEFS line of thinking. definitely not in the other direction
  18. either way, the main thing will be how the ENS behave. this is such a cracked out and exotic pattern that the OP runs are going to vary wildly
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