NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Solar cycle doesn’t peak til 2025… probably have at least a 2 year window for another whirl. It was visible from the Shenandoah last year too, so maybe 3 years?
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I posted this earlier but then deleted after doing more digging… that is apparently in reference to the forecast for the early morning today hours that didn’t pan out, if I now understand it correctly.
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Don’t think anyone really knows, but the NWS SWPC says CMEs will arrive “later today” — I guess if it was late enough we’d have a shot. https://x.com/nwsswpc/status/1789647663484334251?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
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Surprised it’s not warned with how LWX gives them out like candy
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Set an alarm for 4:00am with the full expectation that it’s a waste of time. But if it’s not, maybe I’m the only photographer who gets the elusive Capitol + aurora shot!
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I don’t know, but it’s local news reporters and not randos, so I’m assuming they aren’t lying. I’m surprised to see the ob myself.
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https://x.com/traviskoshko/status/1789480743330091478?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Hmm… folks might want to go west and hope for the best.
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Seems like folks are seeing it in Michigan - hopefully the action is better for us pre-dawn or tomorrow night. The storms rolling in obviously won’t help though.
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4:30 alarm!
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From Google: You can see bZ here. Right now it's fallen to -5... IIRC it was -50-ish last night. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
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Quick read of Twitter suggests we aren’t gonna see anything come sunset… Bz is hovering around zero. Need that to change dramatically… which it can, but nothing yet.
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Honestly… aurora is epic. Very cool because of scarcity. But on pure “what my eyeballs can see” the rainbow is cooler. If both were equally rare, I’d take the rainbow.
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Crazy vivid. Feels like I’m twice as close to it as usual. Can see a secondary rainbow after the violet on the first too… not sure what’s up with that.
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This aurora looks different than yesterday’s…
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I’d set an alarm for 4am, assess, and drive if needed. Might be clear by then anyway.
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Looking at satellite it looks like more clouds will be coming, but think even DC should clear up for at least a bit. Would be a nice surprise, especially if the timing mentioned earlier is right.
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Pivotal has cloud cover modeling as a map for most of the models. I just peek at the HRRR usually and hope it has a clue. Think people also like the hi-res Canadian.
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Keep seeing conflicting info about whether tonight or tomorrow night will be better. I guess you just stick your head outside and find out. I kind of assume tonight won’t be as crazy, if only because I haven’t seen the crazy pics from Europe like yesterday. That was what motivated me to get off my ass FWIW - HRRR is clearing clouds out by 3am. Might be worth an alarm.
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Dang, just looked up Reddish Knob. What a cool spot. Will have to visit my sister at JMU next fall and go up there for the foliage… bet that would be killer.
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I feel like the best odds are looking to be to the general SW of the DC area again, though some of the hi-res seem to have breaks. Maybe I’ll try a 3am alarm if things are looking active again.
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Another quick thought - this wouldn’t have been nearly as cool for the general public (and honestly, myself) without the massive widespread availability of exposure and night quality cameras on modern phones. I was thrilled to see the red glow, but soooo much cooler through the pictures. Kinda the opposite of the total solar eclipse where an iPhone gets none of it.
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Occurred to me that there could be a universe where a total solar eclipse reveals aurora. Probably basically impossible, but the timing wasn’t that far off in the grand scheme of things!
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Won’t travel out far west again tonight, but if the skies are clear that way and folks missed it last night, they totally should! Hope everyone manages to get lucky sometime over the next few days, if they haven’t already.
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Almost went to Ravens Roost tonight! Awesome photos… congrats.
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I knew this was the case, but crazy how much even 3s exposure on an iPhone picks up things the eyes can’t see. There were two 5-10 periods tonight where it was very clear it was red. Beyond that, needed a technological assist.
