NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Ignore me! Read more, post less. [emoji6] Thought it was looking more like its AI component for a second… WxBell was releasing partial info from later in the run. Didn’t turn out as hoped.
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Dangerous prognosticating from someone who doesn’t really know what he’s doing but I think the 12z EURO is gonna be a step in the right direction for us.
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06z AI Euro shows the path to a successful Thurs/Friday. Surface is still too warm, but with the 850s I imagine this is snow. Pretty identical to its 00z run too. Slightly better timing allowing accumulations to start overnight could = success
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One may solve the other a little bit but yes, a lot needs to go right here. I know I was still sorta in yesterday but I’m feeling out this morning. All in on Dec. 5th still though.
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We gotta shove the track of the Thursday/Friday storm south, consensus is looking like a path that is unworkable for most of us beyond a thump for our very special favored friends.
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That kinda counts as getting it done for November. PSU did blow that out of the water today though, lmao
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Seems like surface temps and 925s are an issue across the board. Largely evening/overnight timing probably still gets it done for favored spots.
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Gosh, 00z GFS is close for TDay. Verbatim a decent storm for NW burbs, close in burbs probably get a little bit of winter again.
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Im heartened by the fact the CPC agrees with the models as per their outlook. I’d be disappointed to not get 1” on the ground in the next 3 weeks within the beltway. That’s my bar, which is fairly ambitious given recent Decembers.
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Dec. 5th is a lock this year. Book it. Been saying it for weeks.
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Wonder when the last time the local airports reported that as an ob was? -
I thought the 12z EURO was a step in the right direction. Too early to call.
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CMC still looks interesting. Probably fighting a losing battle for our turkey day storm but not calling it quits yet
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Next.
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hello from 10’ of elevation land! as those yellows draw closer the flake size is increasing. Looks more like snow and less like drizzle.
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We’ll flip back to snow in heavier bands.
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I’m stuck looking out an office window, but light RA/SN mix it seems near Ford’s Theater.
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Good news is we seem to be running ahead of schedule as far as that band pushing south, even if it doesn’t feel like it. Can maybe hold off a little bit of the temp rise and get more of us a shot at snow TV.
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For better or worse I’m with @Ji lol. Knowing it “would’ve been” snow in 4 weeks doesn’t ease my concerns. Our odds are so low by default we gotta try and win whenever possible. No moral victories
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Yeah I think that’s a fair read. GFS with some more oomph might’ve snowed but it was just a weak wave.
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00z GFS is a snoozer 00z CMC has classic I-95 and east screwjob Turkey Day storm
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Seriously, turn it on if you aren’t watching. Snow game of the year potential.
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Starting to come down good. Makes it easier to watch this snoozer. Go Steelers!
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Do you also have 2” of snow on the ground to go with it [emoji6] It is pretty regardless impressive though!
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Do you also have 2” of snow on the ground to go with it [emoji6] It is pretty regardless impressive though!
