NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Better dynamics definitely seem to be down in the Tidewater area. Feel like no sunshine here bodes poorly for interesting severe.
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Just got the tornado watch notification. Little surprised.
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Honestly, this looks like tornado damage from Culpeper last night. Eating my crow now! https://x.com/harrythomvi/status/1795126961896927506?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
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I’ll admit it, that’s better than I thought it looked. Who knows. It is also possible for debris to get lofted with strong winds in general. I did notice the “TDS” and circled it in RadarScope and thought it aligned more with a dead zone on radar than the circulation, but this could be one of the many reasons I don’t work for LWX! Edit: that said if LWX thought it was on the ground recently I doubt they’d’ve dropped the warning
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I’m skeptical personally… didn’t look like it lined up with the rotation, which looked very broad. If any eventual survey comes up with something, I’ll eat my words, though!
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If I squint my eyes I can see it… but whatever, better safe than sorry.
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Seems justified with the wind damage reports coming in… the segment running up 29 looks particularly nasty. We’ll see if it makes it!
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Lame. Was considering “storm chasing” tomorrow in EMD since I have no exciting Memorial Day plans. Let something spin up as it goes over the Bay and go from there. Guess I’ll see what happens tomorrow.
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Today’s answer was: not at all!
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Feels like a storm day. I’m trying to be out and about from 6-8 or so… hoping it blows through fast or not at all!
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Couple folks caught the aurora in Shenandoah again. Good for them! But night one was definitely the move.
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Solar cycle doesn’t peak til 2025… probably have at least a 2 year window for another whirl. It was visible from the Shenandoah last year too, so maybe 3 years?
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I posted this earlier but then deleted after doing more digging… that is apparently in reference to the forecast for the early morning today hours that didn’t pan out, if I now understand it correctly.
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Don’t think anyone really knows, but the NWS SWPC says CMEs will arrive “later today” — I guess if it was late enough we’d have a shot. https://x.com/nwsswpc/status/1789647663484334251?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
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Surprised it’s not warned with how LWX gives them out like candy
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Set an alarm for 4:00am with the full expectation that it’s a waste of time. But if it’s not, maybe I’m the only photographer who gets the elusive Capitol + aurora shot!
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I don’t know, but it’s local news reporters and not randos, so I’m assuming they aren’t lying. I’m surprised to see the ob myself.
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https://x.com/traviskoshko/status/1789480743330091478?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Hmm… folks might want to go west and hope for the best.
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Seems like folks are seeing it in Michigan - hopefully the action is better for us pre-dawn or tomorrow night. The storms rolling in obviously won’t help though.
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4:30 alarm!
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From Google: You can see bZ here. Right now it's fallen to -5... IIRC it was -50-ish last night. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
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Quick read of Twitter suggests we aren’t gonna see anything come sunset… Bz is hovering around zero. Need that to change dramatically… which it can, but nothing yet.
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Honestly… aurora is epic. Very cool because of scarcity. But on pure “what my eyeballs can see” the rainbow is cooler. If both were equally rare, I’d take the rainbow.
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Crazy vivid. Feels like I’m twice as close to it as usual. Can see a secondary rainbow after the violet on the first too… not sure what’s up with that.
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This aurora looks different than yesterday’s…
