NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Lame. Was considering “storm chasing” tomorrow in EMD since I have no exciting Memorial Day plans. Let something spin up as it goes over the Bay and go from there. Guess I’ll see what happens tomorrow.
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Today’s answer was: not at all!
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Feels like a storm day. I’m trying to be out and about from 6-8 or so… hoping it blows through fast or not at all!
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Couple folks caught the aurora in Shenandoah again. Good for them! But night one was definitely the move.
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Solar cycle doesn’t peak til 2025… probably have at least a 2 year window for another whirl. It was visible from the Shenandoah last year too, so maybe 3 years?
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I posted this earlier but then deleted after doing more digging… that is apparently in reference to the forecast for the early morning today hours that didn’t pan out, if I now understand it correctly.
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Don’t think anyone really knows, but the NWS SWPC says CMEs will arrive “later today” — I guess if it was late enough we’d have a shot. https://x.com/nwsswpc/status/1789647663484334251?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
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Surprised it’s not warned with how LWX gives them out like candy
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Set an alarm for 4:00am with the full expectation that it’s a waste of time. But if it’s not, maybe I’m the only photographer who gets the elusive Capitol + aurora shot!
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I don’t know, but it’s local news reporters and not randos, so I’m assuming they aren’t lying. I’m surprised to see the ob myself.
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https://x.com/traviskoshko/status/1789480743330091478?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Hmm… folks might want to go west and hope for the best.
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Seems like folks are seeing it in Michigan - hopefully the action is better for us pre-dawn or tomorrow night. The storms rolling in obviously won’t help though.
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4:30 alarm!
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From Google: You can see bZ here. Right now it's fallen to -5... IIRC it was -50-ish last night. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
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Quick read of Twitter suggests we aren’t gonna see anything come sunset… Bz is hovering around zero. Need that to change dramatically… which it can, but nothing yet.
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Honestly… aurora is epic. Very cool because of scarcity. But on pure “what my eyeballs can see” the rainbow is cooler. If both were equally rare, I’d take the rainbow.
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Crazy vivid. Feels like I’m twice as close to it as usual. Can see a secondary rainbow after the violet on the first too… not sure what’s up with that.
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This aurora looks different than yesterday’s…
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I’d set an alarm for 4am, assess, and drive if needed. Might be clear by then anyway.
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Looking at satellite it looks like more clouds will be coming, but think even DC should clear up for at least a bit. Would be a nice surprise, especially if the timing mentioned earlier is right.
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Pivotal has cloud cover modeling as a map for most of the models. I just peek at the HRRR usually and hope it has a clue. Think people also like the hi-res Canadian.
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Keep seeing conflicting info about whether tonight or tomorrow night will be better. I guess you just stick your head outside and find out. I kind of assume tonight won’t be as crazy, if only because I haven’t seen the crazy pics from Europe like yesterday. That was what motivated me to get off my ass FWIW - HRRR is clearing clouds out by 3am. Might be worth an alarm.
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Dang, just looked up Reddish Knob. What a cool spot. Will have to visit my sister at JMU next fall and go up there for the foliage… bet that would be killer.
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I feel like the best odds are looking to be to the general SW of the DC area again, though some of the hi-res seem to have breaks. Maybe I’ll try a 3am alarm if things are looking active again.
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Another quick thought - this wouldn’t have been nearly as cool for the general public (and honestly, myself) without the massive widespread availability of exposure and night quality cameras on modern phones. I was thrilled to see the red glow, but soooo much cooler through the pictures. Kinda the opposite of the total solar eclipse where an iPhone gets none of it.
