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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Yeah, I hesitate to dream but wonder if there is a world we can maximize both the Tuesday afternoon/evening pushes and the Wednesday morning push. I kind of assume one depends on the other a bit… guess what the GFS is really doing is slamming RIC hard with both.
  2. It’s not a sun angle thing, though it’s not not a sun angle thing. It’s 90% a temp worry in the most urban part of DC thing. If it’s 2 degrees warmer than expected during the day I’m screwed.
  3. Yeah - and this looks like a much more realistic thermal gradient with the mixing to the south… no offense meant. I’d rather it be all snow everywhere so we don’t have to sweat ptype but this “looks” like how our storms go.
  4. I’m glad this has shifted to Tuesday night. That was one of my stretch goals going into today. Was worried we’d waste a lot of snow daylight Tuesday.
  5. I wish they’d get their maps straight, because their same site has the best possibility of >6” along and north of 66. But whatever. I’m sure some are computer generated and these are labeled as experimental… just moderately annoyed at the inconsistency
  6. Very nice for the 19th-20th. Not seeing a lot of enthusiasm for this weekend.
  7. Yep - it pushed the start time back about 4 hours and pushed the heavy snow overnight. For two runs that end pretty much identical, you can see how much slower the accumulating snow is. Overnight is helpful, though
  8. 12z EURO has the CAD hang on better for the Pt.2 (Pt. 3?) Wednesday night-Thursday morning. Pretty icy for NMD, I-81
  9. wetter, def a hair souther. Ends up being noise. Apologies for the roller coaster
  10. wow, yeah. Delayed not denied. Much heavier early Wednesday morning.
  11. yep - deleted my post. It's a little nuanced since the southern "edge" really didn't move all that south, but the heaviest band did and the northern fringe is gone. Sorta semantics but the heavy band is what's important to us.
  12. Got some initial concerns with this EURO run at hr50 - but gonna let it play. Just looks weaker
  13. Setting the table for something else at Day 10 too
  14. I was gonna say it’s kinda GFS-like, but maybe you are further in the run.
  15. They try to - but not sure the GFS succeeds. I have no ill-will toward the RIC folks but the fact that the EURO shows nothing like that has to raise substantial flags.
  16. GFS not too far from something Friday - hits south VA.
  17. @stormtrackerexpand this thread to cover Thursday? GFS now shows pretty much no stoppage in the snow - albeit very very light, on Wednesday
  18. It’s a jog south IMO - storm still has the moisture.
  19. Don’t think it’s gonna be as good, though
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