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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Not to be a hater, but it was said several times we were supposed to be tracking discrete threats by this weekend. In a weird way, I guess we are… they are just 15 days out.
  2. This is why we lose people. We’re looking 3 weeks ahead (fine… 2.5) and have been tracking epic patterns for weeks. I think it’s actually a credit to modeling that I’m starting to go insane. We’ve seen this look for so long you’d swear up and down it’s been 15 days away for a month. And it’s still 15 days away.
  3. Gotta get some light trolling out before we have something trackable. Unless we never do, in which case I guess it’s open season
  4. I remember when I pulled the EURO control for last week (as in seeing how much snow it showed for the week we just went through) and it had an area wide 4-10” with like 3 back to back events. At least when that becomes the OP we’ll have fun outcomes to look at again
  5. I totally understand the pattern is epic and I don’t know why I’m taking on the role of deb but how come we still can’t buy a digital snowstorm within 16 days
  6. I’m willing to believe there has been no can kick until I read that the GEFS is amazing at the end of its run… which I swear to god we said 5 days ago. Maybe it’s different levels of amazing
  7. This pattern change feels like it’s been 15 days away for 3 weeks… even if it hasn’t been
  8. https://x.com/burgwx/status/1752750920650150368?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg can we get Tomer to start posting here?
  9. I don’t know if I look at that and see dead… I see long shot. Seen a few folks on Twitter arguing it’s trending better. We’ve got a couple days to make something happen
  10. Last banter post I’ll do in here today… I can’t get with a system that calls the two storms we had in January both SECS. If all but the quietest residential streets are cleared in one day it’s just a storm
  11. I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+
  12. We’ve even tracking discrete threats! We’ve had 2 storm threads made this past week
  13. Of the members that get precip up here it looks like a roughly 50/50 split between snow and rain
  14. Unironically it’s where we want it at this range. I’d even take it there 5 days to go. Problem I think is temps. Not sure they are workable
  15. Seems like a tall task honestly. Going to start preparing my panic so I’m in peak form by the 10th
  16. Well, the NAM had the general idea of really heavy pockets of precip that “could’ve” flipped the rain to snow, maybe with better timing.
  17. We know Travis Kelce is gonna get lucky tonight… maybe we can too
  18. Agree for shorter-term. Mid-Long range… basically anything is on the table Meant to respond to @Maestrobjwa
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