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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Not how this works at all but I’d trade the LR for the VD storm it put out this run. I’ll take snow as soon as I can get it over uncertain future prospects
  2. Gonna need a new “it’s so over/we’re so back” index for 2024-2025
  3. I’ve been trolling a bit in the long range thread but I’m actually a believer. That said, I know I “joked” a couple days ago about Tomer not being into this pattern. It really doesn’t seem like he is. I know he’s more focused on NYC than DC, but he at least ostensibly bunches them together in his analysis. https://x.com/burgwx/status/1754303304689914314?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg He’s a smart fella. We’ve got smart fellas here too, of course.
  4. Not to be a hater, but it was said several times we were supposed to be tracking discrete threats by this weekend. In a weird way, I guess we are… they are just 15 days out.
  5. This is why we lose people. We’re looking 3 weeks ahead (fine… 2.5) and have been tracking epic patterns for weeks. I think it’s actually a credit to modeling that I’m starting to go insane. We’ve seen this look for so long you’d swear up and down it’s been 15 days away for a month. And it’s still 15 days away.
  6. Gotta get some light trolling out before we have something trackable. Unless we never do, in which case I guess it’s open season
  7. I remember when I pulled the EURO control for last week (as in seeing how much snow it showed for the week we just went through) and it had an area wide 4-10” with like 3 back to back events. At least when that becomes the OP we’ll have fun outcomes to look at again
  8. I totally understand the pattern is epic and I don’t know why I’m taking on the role of deb but how come we still can’t buy a digital snowstorm within 16 days
  9. I’m willing to believe there has been no can kick until I read that the GEFS is amazing at the end of its run… which I swear to god we said 5 days ago. Maybe it’s different levels of amazing
  10. This pattern change feels like it’s been 15 days away for 3 weeks… even if it hasn’t been
  11. https://x.com/burgwx/status/1752750920650150368?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg can we get Tomer to start posting here?
  12. I don’t know if I look at that and see dead… I see long shot. Seen a few folks on Twitter arguing it’s trending better. We’ve got a couple days to make something happen
  13. Last banter post I’ll do in here today… I can’t get with a system that calls the two storms we had in January both SECS. If all but the quietest residential streets are cleared in one day it’s just a storm
  14. I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+
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