NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Was a gorgeous run. Nice time for it.
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I’ve paid attention to enough severe events where the HRRR is just wrong, but think it’s probably an apples to oranges comparison. If the HRRR is right it’ll be very hard to ignore at short range next time… at least until it’s wrong again.
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It’s not dissimilar to the sim radar on the NAMs - this is mostly supposed to be virga though, mPING does indicate some of it is making it.
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EURO juiced up. Would kill for north shift, but maybe the GFS isn’t loony with 10” somewhere
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sorry, I was a year old. Needed the reminder
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I googled March 2001 and saw a cool Facebook post from a guy named Jay’s Wintry Mix. Really taught me a lot
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The rain/snow line as depicted doesn’t work for me here. Toss
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The big ones lock in early… we say for the 3rd time this year gearing up for what we’ll find out is a 3-5” snowstorm 10 days later
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I want to ride one storm out in the city - haven’t experienced any snow here yet. Anytime it snowed last year I fled back into NW Arl and was infamously out of town on Jan 6 this year. Worth a go this time… models swear it won’t make a difference. not gonna risk it on a coastal though.
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Stations around me are still at 35. Terrible. Will need to move out of the city-most part of the city after next year if I can help it.
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HDRPS with a more GFS-like heavy band but brutal cutoff for NE MD. North move(s) can only do much against dry air, I guess?
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Toggling hr 24 it looks norther. May just be heavier. Prob doesn’t matter. southern end def got trimmed - heaviest stuff def went north. May not matter to you but could around DC
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Little wobbles will matter. I’d like 4” please. Seems doable.
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It was norther thru 9pm but ended up neutral/worse for most of us. Figures
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Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20”
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ICON/RGEM a hold to modestly better.
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Yes - sleet total (ignoring wave #2)
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The SREFS and their cores look pretty good but we banned them from this forum so i'll hold off
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3k looks like it tries to get the sleet up toward DCA at 9/10pm. @stormtracker knows we mix every storm no matter what
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1pm-ish?
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Mix line makes it up to Dale City around 10pm - but you gotta smell the sleet...
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yeah, that's the 6hr map... aka more than what the HRRR shows in total
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hubba hubba
