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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Nice storm Tuesday late morning-early night - seeing if there is a second wave Wednesday morning.
  2. can't really tell if it's more north or just wetter... good either way
  3. RGEM is a weird evolution - there is an end-of-run flip to sleet/FRZA here too
  4. ends up worse once you get north of DC, unfortunately
  5. Unless we are concerned about sun angle (maybe we are) my favorite part of the run is that it doesn't really go below 29 degrees in DC. For you that means mid/low 20s. I think you'd accumulate at those temps, though I understand we'd all like it to be heavier
  6. this is with stuff still lurking SE - in theory at least ice OTW
  7. i haven't flipped to the snow map yet but i don't see how this wouldn't accumulate?
  8. It’s a more juiced second wave and first wave… we actually get good rates (.75-1” hour) around 7pm on Tuesday. Not just slow steady something.
  9. Well… that might reset my slowly lowering expectations a bit
  10. About 0.2” of it around DC - so not a non factor. But a touch drier.
  11. 18z and 12z next to each other just for fun - they really are basically the same, just knock .1" precip off around DCA, which is all i look at
  12. GEFS was a little drier - also generally more keyed onto the second pulse of energy. Best panels are 1-7am Wednesday
  13. Idk, I see your location is in Georgetown? Isn't that where it always rains? /s - thanks
  14. I think when I joined this forum back in 2013 the separate RIC "subforum within the forum" thread already existed but I think ya'll should just shove into the main thread. PAers have always been allowed even though their climate =/ anything close to D.C. when I moved to Cville for the briefest moment I considered posting in the RIC subforum but just plowed ahead. Had an obs thread that was pretty much just me once or twice lol
  15. surprised to see that even my local DC stations are in the 32/31 range - no accretion on the balcony yet but wonder if I can glaze up as the sun sets.
  16. Some light snow hangs around the area thru 105. Not doing much, though
  17. if the GFS isn't crazy for once and we can get the north trend of yore... please...
  18. Something like that - there are more hours then I like where the surface temps are over 32 in DC. Might need to go to the other side of the river for this one? @stormtracker not poo-pooing our event but I kinda assume if it snows 0.3"/hr in DC at 34 during the daytime it never snowed in the first place?
  19. I guess it depends how you prefer your snow but arguable "downside" of this run is that the snowfall rate is like 0.3"/hr max... long ass snowstorm.
  20. my bar remains at 2" - which has allowed me to keep some sanity. I might up it to 3" if the surface could get a bit colder somehow
  21. So maybe I was harsh - there is the more solid push Tuesday then something that appears sorta separate… but it all kinda blends. This is probably a better map.
  22. You kinda are - this doesn’t include the lingering snow and the start of the second wave, which was included in the maps people posted earlier… this is only the “meat”
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