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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    WxBell at 180 - I’m not smart enough for 500mb but it’s burying it in the gulf so don’t think the ICON wants in this go.
  2. NorthArlington101
  3. NorthArlington101
  4. NorthArlington101
    Even the Spire wanted to party somehow ended up owning like $20 of spire stock and it’s been doing well. Can’t be because of the weather model.
  5. NorthArlington101
    It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice
  6. NorthArlington101
    18z normal EURO a hold.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Peep the digital snow thread post for what the GFS had 9 days ago for this storm. GFS is excellent in this range /s (but what if I’m not joking)
  8. NorthArlington101
    Pretty close. I can only get 24hrs we have to subtract from the previous storm. Add like 4” to that idk
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  11. NorthArlington101
    I meant to say RUN it back. Let’s do it
  12. NorthArlington101
    It’s been an exhausting few weeks. Let’s roll it back.
  13. NorthArlington101
    LWX practically states this in their disco but assuming that their better access to internal snow model ratios is part of the reason they are perhaps more aggressive than some of us think they should be? Fairly “simple” boom scenario compared to 10:1 maps of initially really strong ratios, heavy WAA precip, and a slightly too aggressive warm nose? Realize that’s all a lot to ask for
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  15. NorthArlington101
    Was gonna say you could argue a sliiiightly faster flip. But all in all you have to call it a hold.
  16. NorthArlington101
    We’re not gonna have any problems with this GFS run
  17. NorthArlington101
    It’s a hair wetter by hr40. Could also just be faster. Both ok with me
  18. NorthArlington101
    Not gonna lie you are younger than I assumed you were
  19. NorthArlington101
    This might just be vibes but in my head I could make a compelling case the GEM suite has been the most consistent the last 48 hours. I feel like it shot things way north first but still always have DC-north a compelling 6-10” floor. Idk what 500mb looks like
  20. NorthArlington101
    Would obviously take it as it lies (feel like I've said that a lot today) but a tick north on the ICON, too. Wrong direction.
  21. NorthArlington101
    This is kinda noise level to me but might be IMBY bias - re: your post below, fair enough.
  22. NorthArlington101
    It's better than the NAM? At this point I lock this in 100% with no thought if you mean the mostly FRZA as opposed to sleet though, I agree
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  24. NorthArlington101
    I'm not yet okay
  25. NorthArlington101
    better snow to the south of us but didn't save it from a mediocre outcome. Only using Kuchera given the chatter about better than 10:1
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