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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Nah… it is. Caved
  2. NorthArlington101
    12z EURO looks colder for PD. We'll see shortly... might still be too suppressed
  3. NorthArlington101
    75 hours out... makes you want to join @WEATHER53's cult. Or let AI take over weather forecasting
  4. NorthArlington101
    They lost 8" of snow this run. They've got some nice people there but I prefer when we all win and lose together. Sorry even worse though... Boston gained like 8". Still time for them to go down in flames too
  5. NorthArlington101
    Bad news folks - EURO doesn't look like the UKIE. Went north and joined the screw NYC crew
  6. NorthArlington101
    That southern cutoff tho. Wacky depiction. Curious what the output on Pivotal would be (run might've broke Pivotal) or if someone has a WeatherModels account.
  7. NorthArlington101
    00Z CFS looked pretty good
  8. NorthArlington101
    Telling for SNE. Misery loves company. And I love company
  9. NorthArlington101
    Need to let ships emit SO2 again. Good idea to curb it... bad unintended consequences. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/lower-sulfur-warmer-oceans-scientists-debate-unintended-impact-of-imo-2020/
  10. NorthArlington101
    I’ve considered it. A smart person would’ve booked refundable hotels in different spots and waited til a few days before to pick the best shot based on the forecast. If I pull it off… I’m probably driving somewhere the day before and sleeping in my car
  11. NorthArlington101
    That’s actually what’s been scaring me the most. No real cold. The ens look below normal but it’s below normal in late Feb. and early March… it takes a little more especially if the time of day ends up not ideal.
  12. NorthArlington101
    I’m comparing it to the 06z EPS since that was a decent run and I see no reason to panic over the NAM yet. Well know soon enough ig
  13. NorthArlington101
    How far out are you? I’m stuck at 39. Nothing comes out slower than the NAM when someone is watching it
  14. NorthArlington101
    fwiw… the days of the hits are PDIII MECS (long duration 10-12”) Mar 3-4 HECS (20-30 central VA, PSU fringed with 8”) March 25 SECS (end of run, at least 6-8”) how could a bad pattern produce that EPS Control run [emoji6]
  15. NorthArlington101
    If anything I’m a double agent pushing people over the edge. I’m still tracking the VDay storm. I’ll be tracking through May if we’re unlucky enough to get the chance
  16. NorthArlington101
    It’ll have shifted 200 miles south by then. You’ll wish you stayed Here’s the EPS median gif. Similar story. 06z was the biggest tick.
  17. NorthArlington101
    as @DDweatherman just showed it has continued to be the world’s slowest bleed south with the EPS mean. Looks about identical to the GEFS mean now.
  18. NorthArlington101
  19. NorthArlington101
    Panic is fine and great but in NYC and SNE? Where every model has them getting 6”+ right now? They seriously need to stop looking forward for a second and enjoy this week Maybe if I looked closer at their forecast I’d realize it’s a mirage but from the outside looking in they should prep their Jebwalk materials and then take everything after that as gravy
  20. NorthArlington101
    To the folks leading the good fight… I salute you. If things pan out well, us quitters won’t deserve what we get. If they don’t pan out… I legit worry we’re gonna lose like 5 good posters with how relentless the trolling may be. Good lord
  21. NorthArlington101
    What always gets my goat is that you need basically every model to agree it’ll snow for it to snow. Even down to 24 hours. But the second one model starts throwing warning signs about the long range it feels like it’s right. I understand it’s just because our hit rate is low but it’s demoralizing. That’s why I always track whatever we’ve got and why January was so awesome. Cause we clawed them back from the dead. Broke tradition
  22. NorthArlington101
    The long range looks could’ve been great and it all can fall apart and we’ll get shut out. Very valid. In my little poll I posted I voted for 0-2”. Vibes have been off. Delays that aren’t delays. Not enough digital snow. We’ll see
  23. NorthArlington101
    Some people just enjoy tracking… this is something to track. Outside shot at glory. Nobody thinks we’ve got one for sure lol
  24. NorthArlington101
    Would be nice to have every model on board but I can live with leaving the RGEM at range behind
  25. NorthArlington101
    It’s not too late for DC but I’m skeptical. PA/MD border is in the game. Maybe even down to Baltimore. I need something to track so I’ll stick with it til game time
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