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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. It's fine for them to hedge low... they are big snow depth map guys. Nothing they say changes the outcome. We're all weenies.
  2. yeah it's not a rug pull in the slightest - just @Ji feeding the flames
  3. Final EURO run before flakes start around DC - good luck everyone!
  4. Wanted to post the kuchie but it’s awful - rates must be like 5:1? So here’s the 10:1 instead. Looking at temps I can’t possibly understand why they are so low
  5. We get smacked pretty good first - 4-6" before mixy to rain?
  6. Both but I’d take either - usually when it snowed I’d take like a 10 mile walk around Grounds, up O’Hill, through the woods… but don’t feel the need to do all that!
  7. Rotunda pics!! Counting on you.
  8. This is total snow on the 3k by 4pm - and quite frankly unless your temps are good right now I wouldn't expect this to stick (or if you are in the blues where they have rates)... i assume this part of the storm is a wash in dc til at least 5. Won't care if I've got 0" on the ground til 6pm or so then i'll go insane
  9. It's not really supposed to do anything notable for NOVA/DC until like 4pm, if that. Real accumulations are after 7pm. No panic yet.
  10. Snowing and sticking in Harrisonburg, per family. I think Harrisonburg & Cville are in great spots today. Time to go back to school!
  11. Some nice pics from a colleague with snow in Richmond. Congrats to the folks down south!
  12. Still running on TT but looks like it'll take the metros over 5" so I'm willing to take that
  13. 3k smacks DC metro right in the face too. North shift from 06z - still running.
  14. Was a gorgeous run. Nice time for it.
  15. I’ve paid attention to enough severe events where the HRRR is just wrong, but think it’s probably an apples to oranges comparison. If the HRRR is right it’ll be very hard to ignore at short range next time… at least until it’s wrong again.
  16. It’s not dissimilar to the sim radar on the NAMs - this is mostly supposed to be virga though, mPING does indicate some of it is making it.
  17. EURO juiced up. Would kill for north shift, but maybe the GFS isn’t loony with 10” somewhere
  18. sorry, I was a year old. Needed the reminder
  19. I googled March 2001 and saw a cool Facebook post from a guy named Jay’s Wintry Mix. Really taught me a lot
  20. The rain/snow line as depicted doesn’t work for me here. Toss
  21. The big ones lock in early… we say for the 3rd time this year gearing up for what we’ll find out is a 3-5” snowstorm 10 days later
  22. I want to ride one storm out in the city - haven’t experienced any snow here yet. Anytime it snowed last year I fled back into NW Arl and was infamously out of town on Jan 6 this year. Worth a go this time… models swear it won’t make a difference. not gonna risk it on a coastal though.
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