NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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apple weather app showing 12" of snow next tues/weds... the (general public) hype is coming
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lwx disco, emphasis mine:
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This is a 24 hour mean - that's a "woof woof" big dog signal right there. Timeframe has been locked in for 2-days and keeps looking better. 24hr median is equally nutso
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It looks a lot like 00z - 6z went was less icy. But we're talking .1" of difference, though that obviously matters quite a bit
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thump to rain for the 12th
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It's the most meh of all guidance still for sure - but this would be impactful NW. It's ~28 in PSU-land, it's not super heavy, it should accrete.
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Small potatoes compared to what we are eyeing but EURO took a jump south for Saturday ices everyone up pretty good again... any of this precip that isn't snow is ice
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Kinda looks like the Wednesday/Thursday event tbh. Train tracks or whatever
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Eh, looked okay to me. I do prefer the hi-res depictions with a tiny bit of WAA snow before the sleet/FRZA before we mostly dryslot.
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Washes away but interesting run for sure. I’d feel pretty good about something if I wasn’t in the city, and if things keep trending towards the GFS maybe the blind squirrel found a nut. thread?
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Ice goes further south, colder, probably more impactful since it’s overnight. Maybe a little lighter on the precip totals but made up for by chill/timing.
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Mixed precip moves in in earnest around 1am - earlier runs today had stuff in the area closer to noon
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00z GFS even souther and more diffuse - gonna be a different outcome.
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I’m gonna lean compromise but even that EURO is fairly impactful up there - 0.2” of ice accreting slowly. Rough pre-storm airmass will lessen the blow but trees/power lines won’t care much.
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icy impacts Wednesday are probably unlikely inside the city but I think our typically colder spots are looking at an event that'll get them a WAA -- may deserve a thread at 00z.
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It’s consistent for Wednesday but you are sure that won’t happen
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think it’ll get washed out Thursday anyway
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bump
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the 24hr median at 10 days is almost 2"... unbelievable confidence in something. The Jan 6th storm didn't appear on the 24hr median til ~wk out.
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hooooly... the median is over 6".
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You looking at the storm at the 14th? That one is cutter city
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i'm very excited for the next ~3 weeks but also telling myself this is the best it could get... right now it's long range MECS window after MECS window, but it'll feel soooo awful if they all miss. Digital snow can't miss
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