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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. the 24hr median at 10 days is almost 2"... unbelievable confidence in something. The Jan 6th storm didn't appear on the 24hr median til ~wk out.
  2. You looking at the storm at the 14th? That one is cutter city
  3. i'm very excited for the next ~3 weeks but also telling myself this is the best it could get... right now it's long range MECS window after MECS window, but it'll feel soooo awful if they all miss. Digital snow can't miss
  4. Another model cycle, another run where the GFS isn’t caving off a wintry Wednesday…
  5. NAMs have some light ice tonight actually for the northern folks.
  6. Not to nearly the same extent but 00z EURO for awareness
  7. Gonna be getting no sleep in about a week if this holds
  8. true - forgot it was sorta on this one too. yeah - sizable jump. Interesting
  9. GFS not caving... about 4 days out. Good old fashioned GFS (/sorta ICON) v. the world.
  10. It’s a nutty run. Like 3 back to back hits. Still a little Wednesday too.
  11. Dumb question but I can’t find those maps on the winter site anymore - you got a link?
  12. GFS remains insistent on ice Wednesday/Thursday.
  13. EURO was good last night for threat after threat… kept us in the game over and over. Could obviously go 0/5, but at least we keep swinging
  14. Kinda falls apart - but that’s the timeframe the EPS likes a lot. Hoping we are entering an active tracking period, at least
  15. CAD holds through 120 - nice ice storm on the back of the sleet/snow.
  16. Idk maybe it’s out to lunch but it is actually cold at the surface and ICON/Euro made moves to it. Hmm.
  17. Step in the right direction but GFS remains alone as genuinely impactful… it’s now a nice snow event for NMD, sleet for DC/NOVA, and ice further south.
  18. Our best posters have been saying forever our best window for the rest of winter is Feb. 15 - Mar. 15, so anyone canceling winter was silly. After Feb. 8th or so has looked really active on the ens for a bit - so I’m interested starting then. I can’t really buy the GFS’s output for Wednesday yet, but I’m hankering for something to track. Need a good distraction right now.
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