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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. The one thing I noticed were warmer 850s… not by much but every tick in the wrong direction makes it harder to go back in the right direction.
  2. I think most people are very frightened by a touch warmer at this juncture to be honest
  3. I've looked at that exact 389k listing on Zillow before. Tempting...
  4. RGEM holds for I-81 and other favored spots but the RA/SN line jumped NW
  5. me to the I-81 crew after seeing the 18z NAM
  6. it's pathetic... it's almost beautiful. I-95 jackpot though and "colder"
  7. 18z NAM actually is better lol. Looks a bit colder - might be picking up on at least some light WAA snows as the system moves in too. Falls apart really fast. Mountains will hate it. But likely better for DC. "South and very weak" scenario.
  8. It’s always the storm after the storm… after the storm. I’m more interested in MLK Day. Tuesday has no shot in the metro. Hope I’m wrong but don’t see it going well. Bet @clskinsfan will be fretting and end up with 5” anyway tho
  9. i think it's one of those things where it's better now than it used to be - but there are better sampling capabilities on land for sure. If that kind of thing didn't matter for forecasting still you wouldn't have RAOB balloon launches or anything, I'd imagine
  10. also, fwiw, the 10th percentile on the EPS. you'd like to think this is the (10:1) floor w/ where things stand... but you never know.
  11. worse on the fringes (metros). Better for favored zones and those who might get tempted to chase out that way
  12. pretty cheap hotels... might be worth dipping into my vacation slush fund. I'd been hoping that if D.C. was a fail, I could at least go west and take advantage of some free housing (family) along the I-81 corridor. But not sure it's worth the chase. May be a Friday call
  13. Might be able to drive in and drive out in the same day... hotel room not even needed
  14. 850s bad for almost everyone, surface toasty unless you are in the mountains or along I-95. Gets worse and worse the more you look at it.
  15. Not even worth chasing - lame outcome. to echo PSU
  16. flips back to snow at the end but not nearly as good as other models - tough sledding in D.C (literally)
  17. actually it's worse - you are raining by 4:00pm it's kind of a disaster
  18. looks very similar from a RA/SN line perspective by hr78. Gotta be west of the beltway
  19. 850s are sooooo close, but surface temps are shot. That said, UKIE thermals are lol. Cville is placed into an isolated freezer with the 6" of snow it gets this run
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